NHL 23-24 Picks

@dyamarik

 Exactly my thoughts 

More leans

Ingram over 29.5 saves @1.92

Saros over 28.5 saves 1.92

Blackwood over 29.5 saves @1.80

1 locked in

Ingram over 29.5 saves @1.92  0.5 to win 0.46

Over this in 3 of last 5. The 2 unders were vs mtl and chi. And both those teams got 30 sog.

Lak avg 32.8 sog this season and last 5

Ari allowing 32.8 sog per game and 35.7 last 5

Only thing I don't like is Ingram got pulled vs lak 5 games ago...Hopefully he has short memory

Lak got 41 and 27 vs ari so far this season.  Like them in between that range today. And the game they got 27 they got out to a huge lead early and sat on it

Looking for a 12+ shot period from kings

Like him in the 28-33 range

GL all

Leans went 3-5 and I found 2 losers...

went to bed with mcjesus at 4sog....woke up they adjusted him to 3 sog....if they didn't count the penalty shot as a shot on goal that is fucked up....I'll have to check game log

Kings scored on the 2nd shot of game Basically made my bet instant loser....goalie needs to save at least the 1st 3-4 shots for save prop to have a chance . Kings also sat on lead

Mcjesus

Ingram

Overall 19-11 +3.285 units

0-0 +0  1-unit plays

19-11 +3.285  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 6.57 units

On this date last year I was 16-12 

Got 4-5 circled for tomorrow 

1 locked in

Pasta over 4.5 sog @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 4 of last 5

Over this in 3 of last 5 road games

Avg over 9 shot attempts per game

Avg over 4.5 sog per game

Bruins dads are on the road trip. Bit of extra motivation. 

Had 8 last game vs a tough hedman matchup and only 2.5 PP mins

Prefer if barkov out again but not make or break

Like than bruins coming off a blown lead loss

Only thing I don't like is panthers a bit tighter than Tampa and bit tighter than last year and their D are healthy

Like him in the 4-6 range

GL all

Other leans

Eichel over 3.5 sog @1.98

Macdaddy over 4.5 sog @1.75...hate odds

Mcjesus over 3.5 sog @2.20... hate matchup

J.hughes over 3.5 sog @1.75 ...hate odds 

M.tkachuk over 3.5 sog @1.98

Waiting on save props but doubt ill like any

BOL Dubz

GL Dubz.  I will prolly parlay Kuchie and Valeri again.

Pasta  bad read on my part. He had better numbers vs tb.....

Lines getting sharper tough to find good value

Overall 19-12 +2.785 units

0-0 +0  1-unit plays

19-12 +2.785  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 5.57 units

Leans

willy over 4.5 sog @2.10

Leon over 3.5 sog @2.32

M.tkachuk over 3.5 sog @1.87

Macdaddy over 4.5 sog @1.85

Quinny over 2.5 sog @1.87

Waiting on save props 

@Gainsford@dyamarik

cheers fellas gotta get er turned around in here

Leans

Connor over 3.5 sog @2.02

Leon over 3.5 sog @1.95

E.kane over 3.5 sog @1.87

Waiting on save props

@Fuse

 Fuser ur on a nice little run

more leans

saros over 26.5 saves @1.87...faced 36 vs jets 2 weeks ago

merzlikins over 30.5 saves @1.91....was hoping for 28.5 or 29.5....canes should pelt him

1 locked in 

merzlikins over 30.5 saves @1.88  0.5 to win 0.44

over this in 4 of last 6

canes had 41, 42 and 43 vs cbj last year

canes avg 33.9 sog at home

cbj allow 32.3 sog on road

canes should come out with huge effort after getting thrashed by tb last game

only thing i dont like is i am 1-4 betting merzy past 2 seasons....he almost always gets pulled when i bet him

looking for a 13+ shot period from canes

like him in the 29-35 range

GL all

I'll tail - Canes can put up shots in bunches, and after the debacle against Bolts, I expect a good effort here.  Tickling playing the Over, as well. 

@dyamarik

had my eyes on this one for a few days.....waiting on gibson/dostal line, may play that as well

my luck he gonna let in one of the 1st 2-3 shots....coming off a strong 1-goal allowed performance

ive bet merzy 5 times the past 2 seasons.....hes got pulled in 3 of the 5 games, and the other 2 i got hooked and won the other

im 7-8 betting cbj goalies past 2 seasons....so merzy has fucked my profit there

thx Brother

@dyamarik

 @GASportsDoc

thanks fellas, shoulda gone full unit but my merzy history deterred me

merzy

Overall 20-12 +3.225 units

0-0 +0  1-unit plays

20-12 +3.225  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 6.45 units

not seeing many spots in the upcoming days

1 locked in

Dostal over 30.5 saves @1.88  0.5 to win 0.44

over this in 4 of 7

faced 35+ shots in 5 of 7, 2 games he faced under 35 were vs phi, ari

oil had 49, 45, 53 and 32 vs ducks last year

oilers offensive juggernaut, they should pelt him at home tonight

was looking at shot props for almost every oiler, taking this instead

oil avg 36.1 sog at home

ana allows 34 shots per game on road

only thing i dont like is he had 2 bad games in a row, due for a decent game i hope

looking for a 13+ shot period from oil

like him in the 29-35 range

GL all

dostal pulled in the 2nd....was not due for a good game apparently

bleeding juice at this point

Overall 20-13 +2.725 units

0-0 +0  1-unit plays

20-13 +2.725  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 5.45 units

1 locked in

M.tkachuk over 3.5 sog @1.92  0.5 to win 0.46

Over this in 4 of last 6

Over this in 2 of last 3 on road

Playing against his little brother Brady tonight...most motivation he can ever have in  a game

Had 5, 7 and 2 vs his brother last year

Should play 20+ mins

Only thing I don't like is ott is way more rested than fla. Fla played 3 games in the span ott played 1

Debating matt/brady to score a goal ...both plus money so u only need 1 to score for profit

Matt only scored in 1 of the 3 games so going with  the sog prop

Like him in the 3-5 range

GL all

1 locked in

Martin over 27.5 saves @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 3 of his last 6

Bos had 35, 39 and 31 vs cbj last year

Bos avg 30.8 shots last 5 vs tougher teams. The one loose team was habs and they got 44

Cbj allow 34.0 shots last 5

Cbj on b2b should be tired legs for bos to take advantage of

Bos coming off 2 losses. Expecting some effort tonight

Looking for a 11-12+ shot period from bos

Like him in the 27-33 range

GL all

1-1...Tkachuk spends the 3rd in the penalty box..

Overall 21-14 +2.625 units

0-0 +0  1-unit plays

20-13 +2.625  0.5-unit plays

A flat 1-unit bettor would be up 5.25 units

Leans 

M.tkachuk over 3.5 sog @1.98

Willy over 4.5 sog @2.12

Waiting on save props

1 locked in

Saros over 27.5 saves @1.88   0.5 to win 0.44

only over this in 1 of last 3

faced 33 and 45 vs pens last season, 33 @home

pens avg 33.9 shots per game, #1 in league

pens avg 32.0 last 5 games vs 5 pretty tough teams

preds allowing 31.8 sog last 5

like that rust back tonight, he throws pucks on net

only thing i dont like is preds only allowing 28.1 shots at home, or if pens get lead and sit on it

looking for a 11-12+ shot period from pens

like him in the 27-33 range

GL all