NHL 23-24 Picks

@dubz4dummyz

 I like this one..think I will tail, sorry. 

@GASportsDoc

 no worries its a great +EV play, and if you make +EV plays you will profit in the long run

i was debating full unit but the numbers show the preds tightening it up

 Thank you sir

@GASportsDoc

 29 but we will take it

Saros

I'll update after a couple more picks

Nothing tonight unless they screw up a save prop  line

Leans....really like the board 

Fla -1.5 @2.10

Avs -1.5 @2.25

Waiting on props

1 locked in

Primeau over 29.5 saves @1.80  1 to win 0.8

Over this in 2 of last 3

Fla avg 33.9 shots per game and are mostly healthy

Mtl allow 34.2 shots per game.  3rd worst in league

Fla has 37 and 38 on road trip so far . Mtl loosest of the 3 teams on the trip

Mtl on a b2b and had to fly in from clb last night. Should be tired legs for fla to take advantage of 

Main worry is if fla gets a lead and sits on it

Looking for a 12+ shot period from fla

Like him in the 29-35 range

GL all

More leans

M.tkachuk over 3.5 sog @1.93

Blackwood over 30.5 saves @1.92

Varlamov over 29.5 saves @1.80

Ingram over 28.5 saves @1.85

1 locked in 

Blackwood over 30.5 saves @1.92  0.5 to win 0.46

Over this in 5 of last 8

Sharks have allowed 40, 39, 30, 44 and 37 their last 5 road games

Sharks allow 36.8 shots per game most in the league by a wide margin

Bos lost 3 straight, they should come out with a good effort tonight at home even though its the worst team in league. Good bounce back spot

Only thing I don't like is sj playing better and bos not a huge pucks on net team. But if they were ever gonna go over their season avg this is the spot imo

Like that bos at home. Last weak team they played at home they got 44 sog (mtl) 

Looking for a 13+ shot period from bos

Like him in the 29-35 range

GL all

Primeau can't believe panthers didn't get 30+

Blackwood,

Update after more picks 

1 locked in

Kahkonen over 30.5 saves @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 2 of last 4

Nj 33+ sog in 4 straight home games

Nj avg 32.4 sog 

Sharks allow 37.0 sog on road

Only thing I don't like is b2b but both teams on b2b so even rest. And dougie  might not play he usually good for 2+ shots a game.

Looking for a 12+ shot period from nj at home

Like him in the 29-35 range

GL all

Too bad you skipped Valrmy last night - that was easy $$$.  I watched a bit of that game, and Canes were dominant with everything but final score. 

GL tonight Brother 

@dyamarik

 Ya I chickened out after circling that one....was hoping for bit lower than 29.5 incase he let in 4-5  but it flew over anyways

Khakis

Update at some point. Found updates clutter thread. 

Don't like the board much today.  Might have a prop or 2

1 locked in

gibby-dibby-doo over 27.5 saves @1.85   0.5 to win 0.425

only over this in 1 of last 6

avs have 44, 44, 46 and 38 last 4 vs ducks, 38 was 2 weeks ago...dostal let in 8 goals

avs avg 32.1 sog this season

ducks allow 31.6 sog 

only thing i dont like is avs only avg 25.6 sog last 5... 4 pretty tough teams in there tho and for most part they had lead and sat on it

looking for a 11+ shot period from avs

like him in the 26-32 range

GL all

looks solid dubz 

gibby

1 locked in

Blackwood over 29.5 saves @1.85   0.5 to win 0.425

over this in 6 of last 9

sj allowed 35+ sog in 5 of last 6 road games

nyr avg 31.7 sog at home, should get at least that vs sj

sharks allow 37.2 sog/game

only thing i dont like is sj has rest advantage and nyr on b2b

looking for a 12+ shot period from nyr

like him in the 29-34 range

GL all

Woodyblack

Update after few more picks

Leans

Kuchie over 4.5 sog @2.12

Waiting on saves but that miggt be it

Looking at tomorrow as well

1 locked in

J.hughes over 4.5 sog @1.88  0.5  to win 0.44

Over this in 6 of 7 since return from injury

Playing his big brother tonight, huge motivation.  Both his parents will be at game as well to watch their 3 boys play

Had 8 and 9 vs nucks last year

Scored in 5 of 6 games against his big bro,  will be looking at goal prop

Should play 20+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 4-7 range

GL all

@dyamarik

 Shoulda played kuchie....oh well

More leans

Panarin  over 3.5 sog @ 2.25

Q.hughes over 2.5 sog @1.85

Waiting on saves 

More leans

Merzlikens over 29.5 saves @1.85

Gibson over 28.5 saves @1.92

Kahkonen over 30.5 saves @1.95

1 locked in

Merzlikins over 29.5 saves @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 6 of last 9

Kings avg 32.6 sog last 5

Cbj allowing 35.4 sog last 5

Only worry is if kings get lead and sit on it, especially on the road 

Looking for a 12+ shot period from lak

Like him in the 28-34 range 

GL all

Jackie 

Merzy I forgive u buddy 

Leans

Kuchie over 4.5 sog @2.02  

1 locked in

Kuchie over 4.5 sog @2.02  0.5 to win 0.51

Over this in 8 of last 10. 2 unders were vs fairly tight wpg and car.

Over this in 4 of last 5 home games

Had 8 vs pit last week

Pens allowing 31.5 sog on season and 33.0 last 5

Like a strong home effort from tb tonight after 4-2 loss to pens last week

Stammer/kuchie/point should be fired up a bit for crosby/malkin

Should play 19+ mins 

Main worry is if they don't get many PP mins. Last game only had 3 penalties 

Like him in the 4-6 range 

GL all

BOL tonight