Already grabbed Rangers -135 ML
These are my early leans for tomorrow:
Rangers/Canes Under 5.5
Early Leans: Flyers/Toronto Over 5.5
Chicago in regulation vs. Ducks
Canadiens/Flames Under 5
New Jersey ML at Avalanche
Senators/Yotes Under
Canucks ML vs. Islanders
Washington Caps over Sharks
It will be interesting to see how these leans change but if they do change it will be because of my gut feeling.
Nothing special for today, just a bunch of opposing trends:
Caps lost 4 straight games when allowing more than a single goal. 4-0 last 4 vs. Pacific, 2-10 last 12 in San Jose, 4-23-1 last 28 in San Jose. Over 14-4-8 last 26 on road vs. teams with a home winning % above .600 but Under 4-1-1 last 6 vs. Pacific. Sharks 5-1 last 6 vs. Metro and Under 14-3-4 last 21 vs. Metro. Sharks won 4 straight games when allowing 3 or less goals. Sharks 12-5 last 17 vs. teams with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-2 last 7 meetings in San Jose.
Preds/Kings Over 7-3 last 10 meetings in LA. Preds Over 4-0 last 4 vs. Pacific, Over 8-0 last 8 vs. West, Preds 1-4 last 5 games vs. Kings. L.A 1-7 last 8 on 3 or more days rest, 4-1 last 5 vs. Central, Over 4-1-2 last 7 vs. Central, Quick 4-8-2 with a .894 sv% vs. Preds.
Islanders 14-6-3 since Dough Weight took over, 6-2 last 8 vs. teams with a losing record, 2-5 last 7 following a win, Over 4-1-1 last 6 vs. teams with a losing record. Canucks 0-4 last 4 home games, 7-20 last 27 vs. East, 1-25 on the power play last 10 games, 10-4 last 14 at home vs. teams with a road winning % below .400, 8-20 last 28 vs. Metro, Under 7-0-4 last 11 home games vs. teams with a road winning % below .400. Under 3-1-1 last 5 meetings and Road team 5-2 last 7 meetings.
Devils have been shutout in 3 of 4 games. Devils lost 8 straight but they came really close vs. Stellar competition. Devils 6-13 last 19 vs. West, 0-5 last 5 in Colorado, 1-6 last 7 vs. Colorado overall. Devils 0-6-2 last 8 games overall. Over is 5-0-3 last 8 vs. Central. Over 3-0-2 last 5 vs. teams with a losing record. Avalanche lost 13 of 15 when allowing more than a single goal. Over 13-5-1 last 19 vs. teams with a winning % below .400, Under is 8-2 last 10 meetings in Colorado and Under 18-5-3 last 26 meetings.
Flames Elliot 10-1-1 last 12 games. 5-3-1 with a 3.17 GAA vs. Habs in his career. Flames 7-0 last 7 vs. East, 7-1-1 last 9 vs. Habs in Calgary, 2-30 on the power play past 11 games. Over 11-2-1 last 14 games on 3 or more days rest, Over 23-10-2 last 35 vs. Atlantic. Habs 5-0 last 5 road games, Under 6-0-1 last 7 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Under 9-2-1 last 12 road games overall.
Senators Over 5-1 last 6 on 0 days rest. Won 5 straight when allowing 3 or less goals. 13-6 last 19 vs. Yotes. Scored 3 or more in 6 of 7 games vs. Yotes. 25-11 last 36 vs. Pacific, Condon 0-2-0 with a 4.58 GAA vs. Yotes. Ottawa is playing really good hockey right now. Ottawa is 1-3 last 4 games on 0 days rest but 5-3 last 8 on 0 days rest. Yotes 0-4 last 4 on 3 days rest. Over 6-2-1 last 9 vs teams with a winning record and Over 6-1 last 7 meetings between these two teams.
Rangers/Canes Over 3-1-2 last 6 meetings and Over 5-2-5 last 12 in Carolina. Rangers 9-3 last 12 in Carolina, 5-1 last 6 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Rangers 2.10 goals per game in their past 10 games, 6-1 last 7 road games scoring 19 goals vs. 13 allowed. 4 of past 8 road games went to Overtime or a shootout. Over 21-7-8 last 36 vs. Metro for Rangers. Canes Under 6-1 last 7 home games, 2-10 last 12 games overall. Canes 1.60 goals per game past 10 games. Under 8-2 last 10 games overall. Canes have scored 10 goals in their past 7 home games vs. 17 against. 5-1 last 6 home games vs. teams with a winning % above .600, Canes Over 3-1-1 last 5 vs. Metro.
Flyers Over 3-1-1 last 5 road games. Under 4-0-1 last 5 games following a win and Under 9-4-2 last 13 vs. Atlantic. Leafs Anderson 5-0 with a 2.71 GAA vs. Flyers. Leafs Under 6-2 last 8 at home vs. teams with a road winning % below .400, Over is 7-1 last 8 meetings between the two and 4 of 5 meetings in Toronto have had at least 7 goals.
Wild 11-1 last 12 vs. Atlantic, 15-3 last 18 road games. Under 18-6-8 last 32 vs. Atlantic, Under 3-0-1 last 4 in Tampa, Over 5-1 last 6 road games, Over 9-2-2 last 13 on road vs. teams with a winning home record. Tampa Under 5-1-2 last 8 vs. West, Under 9-3 last 12 vs. teams with a winning % above .600, 7-20 last 27 vs. teams with a wining % above .600, 1-5 last 6 home games vs. teams with a winning % above .600. Home team 8-0 last 8 in this series and Under 8-2 last 10 meetings.
Ducks 0-8 last 8 games following a win. 4-0 last 4 vs. Central, Under 9-2-5 last 16 following a win, Over 3-1-2 last 5 games overall with Ducks scoring 10 goals in their past 3 games. Chicago won 7 straight games and 12 of 13. Chicago is 14-4-4 last 22 vs. West. 5-1 last 6 vs. Ducks but road team 4-1 last 5 in this series. Under 1-0-3 last 4 meetings and Under 11-3-1 last 15 meetings in Chicago.
Doing the Rangers pick again to get it at -110 ML
Adding
Wild -115 ML
Rangers/Canes Under 5.5 (-130)
Devils -115 ML
Washington -115 ML
Leans:
Preds ML
Senators ML
Senators/Yotes Under 5.5
Jersey/Avs Under 5
Canadiens/Flames Under 5
Montreal ML
Chicago in regulation
Ducks/Chicago Under 5.5
Leafs ML
Islanders have been a poor road team for the whole season pretty much. I know they are playing well right now but Canucks have been fairly good at home all season. Islanders have been in some tough road games as well though but usually at the losing end. They have the much better team and the goaltender can have really good performances but overall I like the way Canucks have played at home during the season even though they lost their past 4 home games. I would lean Under in this one more than a side.
I'm not backing Canucks in this one it was just an early lean based off what I've seen this season.
Good luck to you and everyone else on here. Hopefully we all kill it today.
it's up to 8 so far and this is what I'm choosing between
Flyers/Leafs Over 5.5
Canadiens/Flames Under 5
Predators +125 ML
Over 5 in the Nashville/L.A. game
Devils/Avs Under 5
Islanders/Canucks Under 5
I think the Chicago in regulation is sketchy right now especially coming off a 4 day break. That might be enough to kill their streak. But I already have the play and I'll keep it.
Also the Under 5.5 in that game is making me worry. Lots of weapons out there and one team is coming off a break while the other team came back from behind to beat Nashville in a thrilling game and maybe they carry that momentum here. Both teams are scoring a lot right now.
I'll keep both plays but those are the ones that I can't stop thinking about
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