Yesterday 2-0 +200 YTD 30W 16L + 1445 65% On Posted Plays Other Respected Plays 29W - 11L
Let's hope the drama is over & we can get back to what's important, wagering on more winners than losers. I brought some of the confusion on myself, by talking about betting splits. What I didn't pass on, is that all big Sportsbooks know who is square & who is sharp. The raw numbers that people see on various websites, mixes the 2 together (I'm talking about Action network, Vegas insider etc.). So, you really can't look at the raw numbers, (that are posted), & make the assumption that a higher handle than ticket count is sharp action. Sometimes it is, sometimes it's not. The breakdown, I get, filters out the large wagers made by wealthy squares & real sharp action. So, I hope I put that subject to rest.
The 2nd thing that was brought up. Why if the line moved from 1.5 to -2.5 because of the report that Lawrence might not play? Then why is it staying at 2.5 & not moving back to 1.5 when everyone knew that Lawrence WOULD play? This is actually a good question. And here's my answer. The reason that it did not move is that at -2.5 the Sportsbooks were still getting equal action on both sides of the game. So, why move the line? Just rake in the Vig & stay put. You're, in a win-win situation. I stated that you would NEVER see a 3 in a million years, if you go back and read my post. You might still see a -1.5, but as it turned out, it wasn't necessary. I hope this brings some clarity to that subject. Now, let's digress.
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Yesterday 2-0 +200 YTD 30W 16L + 1445 65% On Posted Plays Other Respected Plays 29W - 11L
Let's hope the drama is over & we can get back to what's important, wagering on more winners than losers. I brought some of the confusion on myself, by talking about betting splits. What I didn't pass on, is that all big Sportsbooks know who is square & who is sharp. The raw numbers that people see on various websites, mixes the 2 together (I'm talking about Action network, Vegas insider etc.). So, you really can't look at the raw numbers, (that are posted), & make the assumption that a higher handle than ticket count is sharp action. Sometimes it is, sometimes it's not. The breakdown, I get, filters out the large wagers made by wealthy squares & real sharp action. So, I hope I put that subject to rest.
The 2nd thing that was brought up. Why if the line moved from 1.5 to -2.5 because of the report that Lawrence might not play? Then why is it staying at 2.5 & not moving back to 1.5 when everyone knew that Lawrence WOULD play? This is actually a good question. And here's my answer. The reason that it did not move is that at -2.5 the Sportsbooks were still getting equal action on both sides of the game. So, why move the line? Just rake in the Vig & stay put. You're, in a win-win situation. I stated that you would NEVER see a 3 in a million years, if you go back and read my post. You might still see a -1.5, but as it turned out, it wasn't necessary. I hope this brings some clarity to that subject. Now, let's digress.
I'm playing in the NBA Nets Under 116.5 Team Total, so far. I might have more later.
Likewise, I will be going to the Devils-Bruins hockey gm later tonight.
My gut tells me it will be a tight checking, low scoring game, but my numbers say the odds-makers put up a solid number, as well. Never force a play. This is a very important game for Devils moral IMO. It should be a real test, to see if they turned things around from their lack luster resent performances.
Respected money coming in on The Golden Knights. Might be back later with another play in the NBA.
Best Of Luck! Please Bet Responsibly. ================= Let's Go!
0
I'm playing in the NBA Nets Under 116.5 Team Total, so far. I might have more later.
Likewise, I will be going to the Devils-Bruins hockey gm later tonight.
My gut tells me it will be a tight checking, low scoring game, but my numbers say the odds-makers put up a solid number, as well. Never force a play. This is a very important game for Devils moral IMO. It should be a real test, to see if they turned things around from their lack luster resent performances.
Respected money coming in on The Golden Knights. Might be back later with another play in the NBA.
Best Of Luck! Please Bet Responsibly. ================= Let's Go!
Another automatic play for me, at this time of the year, is 2nd Wong teaser Raider's + 8.5 & Buffalo - 2 (still alive with Jaguars win teased with Buffalo -2)
Some people might feel that that Raiders playing in cold weather, as well as the emotional effect of the Franco Harris death, would put you on the Steelers, but in this case I feel you have to play the numbers over the teams. Cold weather Wong teasers hit at a very high %.
Also playing a popular public team, Lions - 2.5 as well as the Bengals - 3 strictly because I believe you never throw yourself in front of a fast moving train. I am well aware that the Patriots are receiving all the steam. Many sharps are on the Patriots. I will take my chances on a red-hot team over the obvious contrarian side. If this one shoots up to 3.5 a half hour before kick-off, it becomes the best bet. Finally, Titans-Texans Under 35.5. Both teams should have trouble scoring many points. Be back at around 4PM EST with an Eagles-Cowboys play.
Best Of Luck, Please Bet Responsibly ============= Let's Go!
1
Another automatic play for me, at this time of the year, is 2nd Wong teaser Raider's + 8.5 & Buffalo - 2 (still alive with Jaguars win teased with Buffalo -2)
Some people might feel that that Raiders playing in cold weather, as well as the emotional effect of the Franco Harris death, would put you on the Steelers, but in this case I feel you have to play the numbers over the teams. Cold weather Wong teasers hit at a very high %.
Also playing a popular public team, Lions - 2.5 as well as the Bengals - 3 strictly because I believe you never throw yourself in front of a fast moving train. I am well aware that the Patriots are receiving all the steam. Many sharps are on the Patriots. I will take my chances on a red-hot team over the obvious contrarian side. If this one shoots up to 3.5 a half hour before kick-off, it becomes the best bet. Finally, Titans-Texans Under 35.5. Both teams should have trouble scoring many points. Be back at around 4PM EST with an Eagles-Cowboys play.
Best Of Luck, Please Bet Responsibly ============= Let's Go!
4W 2L so far on Saturday's wagers. Raider's + 8.5 teaser & Middle Tenn + 7 bowl bets still pending. Will be back on Sunday around noon with my plays, if any. Wishing everyone here at Covers forum, a very MERRY CHRISTMAS!
Merry christmas
0
Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:
4W 2L so far on Saturday's wagers. Raider's + 8.5 teaser & Middle Tenn + 7 bowl bets still pending. Will be back on Sunday around noon with my plays, if any. Wishing everyone here at Covers forum, a very MERRY CHRISTMAS!
Recap without autopsies. Friday to Sunday My Posted Plays 6W 4L + + 160 YTD 36W 20L + 1665 Respected Plays (Used to be called Sharp Plays)
1-2 YTD 30W 13L == Highly doubt I will get involved in tonight's Football Games. Lean Chargers, but not enough to wager on them.
I have already wagered on tomorrow's 12PM bowl game.
I laid 3.5 with Georgina Southern. If you decide to follow, I would suggest not waiting as I see a bunch of 4's already, & I truly believe it could close as high as 5 tomorrow. I hope I will find something in hockey as well.
If any respected money comes in on the NBA, I will post it later.
Best Of Luck, Enjoy The Holidays
Bet Responsibly, & Be A Winner. Let's Go!
0
Recap without autopsies. Friday to Sunday My Posted Plays 6W 4L + + 160 YTD 36W 20L + 1665 Respected Plays (Used to be called Sharp Plays)
1-2 YTD 30W 13L == Highly doubt I will get involved in tonight's Football Games. Lean Chargers, but not enough to wager on them.
I have already wagered on tomorrow's 12PM bowl game.
I laid 3.5 with Georgina Southern. If you decide to follow, I would suggest not waiting as I see a bunch of 4's already, & I truly believe it could close as high as 5 tomorrow. I hope I will find something in hockey as well.
If any respected money comes in on the NBA, I will post it later.
Recap without autopsies. Friday to Sunday My Posted Plays 6W 4L + + 160 YTD 36W 20L + 1665 Respected Plays (Used to be called Sharp Plays) 1-2 YTD 30W 13L == Highly doubt I will get involved in tonight's Football Games. Lean Chargers, but not enough to wager on them. I have already wagered on tomorrow's 12PM bowl game. I laid 3.5 with Georgina Southern. If you decide to follow, I would suggest not waiting as I see a bunch of 4's already, & I truly believe it could close as high as 5 tomorrow. I hope I will find something in hockey as well. If any respected money comes in on the NBA, I will post it later. Best Of Luck, Enjoy The Holidays Bet Responsibly, & Be A Winner. Let's Go!
Hey Red,
BOL with your play tomorrow, buddy!!!
All the best
0
Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:
Recap without autopsies. Friday to Sunday My Posted Plays 6W 4L + + 160 YTD 36W 20L + 1665 Respected Plays (Used to be called Sharp Plays) 1-2 YTD 30W 13L == Highly doubt I will get involved in tonight's Football Games. Lean Chargers, but not enough to wager on them. I have already wagered on tomorrow's 12PM bowl game. I laid 3.5 with Georgina Southern. If you decide to follow, I would suggest not waiting as I see a bunch of 4's already, & I truly believe it could close as high as 5 tomorrow. I hope I will find something in hockey as well. If any respected money comes in on the NBA, I will post it later. Best Of Luck, Enjoy The Holidays Bet Responsibly, & Be A Winner. Let's Go!
Late respected money coming in on the Rangers. Red is at the game. Not seeing any value in tonight's hockey myself. Would lean Oklahoma State, in the late bowl football game, but not enough to play. Steam gong the other way. Never chase a losing bet. Best of Luck!
0
Late respected money coming in on the Rangers. Red is at the game. Not seeing any value in tonight's hockey myself. Would lean Oklahoma State, in the late bowl football game, but not enough to play. Steam gong the other way. Never chase a losing bet. Best of Luck!
Autopsy of yesterday's plays. I can't complain about losing a game that I laid 3.5 on, that closed at - 6. Georgia Southern, just didn't get the job done. Plain & simple. I've decided to post only hockey plays in this forum. I'll try posting other sports in the appropriate forums, & hope the trolls stay away. Also, my consulting responsibilities are taking up a great deal of my time, so it's becoming more difficult to find time to post plays online. I'll see how it goes. Tonight I'm wagering on
Golden Knights - 1/2 -115 Reg
Best Of Luck ============== Please Bet Responsibly. Never Chase A Losing Day.
Autopsy of yesterday's plays. I can't complain about losing a game that I laid 3.5 on, that closed at - 6. Georgia Southern, just didn't get the job done. Plain & simple. I've decided to post only hockey plays in this forum. I'll try posting other sports in the appropriate forums, & hope the trolls stay away. Also, my consulting responsibilities are taking up a great deal of my time, so it's becoming more difficult to find time to post plays online. I'll see how it goes. Tonight I'm wagering on
Golden Knights - 1/2 -115 Reg
Best Of Luck ============== Please Bet Responsibly. Never Chase A Losing Day.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.