good afternoon Red, I like 2 positions in NHL tonight the juice is high so I play them in parlays and do OK for kicks and giggles.... Bruins/Devils @2nd period over 1.5. Bruins 24-7 over for year and 13-2 on the road,,Devils 27-7 year and 15-4 at home...so both 51-16 year and Hm.RD 25-7.... next. Det/Penguins DET 25-7 year and 13-2 on RD Pitt is 26-7 year and 10-6 HM (9-1 last 10 ). so 51-14both year and 23-8 Hm & RD. good luck
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good afternoon Red, I like 2 positions in NHL tonight the juice is high so I play them in parlays and do OK for kicks and giggles.... Bruins/Devils @2nd period over 1.5. Bruins 24-7 over for year and 13-2 on the road,,Devils 27-7 year and 15-4 at home...so both 51-16 year and Hm.RD 25-7.... next. Det/Penguins DET 25-7 year and 13-2 on RD Pitt is 26-7 year and 10-6 HM (9-1 last 10 ). so 51-14both year and 23-8 Hm & RD. good luck
Follow the stats, that you believe are most important. Just a word of caution, though. Odds-makers are well aware of the stats that you are looking at. At a certain point, these stats get baked into the lines they put up. I'll give you an example. Vegas have been sensational on the road, so far this year (I know, I wagered on them tonight) Lol. I think you will find that their odds on road games will be adjusted so that after a while betting on them will lose all value. This is the reason that we have to learn how to make a solid line on our own, IMO. I don't know what's wrong with the Devils, at this point in time. But, as long as they're in a funk, it's very hard to wager on them. I generally don't advocate betting parleys. The only time I think they have value is when using extremely high favorites. Those, I can understand.
Do you live in Brooklyn? My hometown. I have a residence there, as well as in Las Vegas. But, my heart is still in Brooklyn.
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@brooklyn1
Follow the stats, that you believe are most important. Just a word of caution, though. Odds-makers are well aware of the stats that you are looking at. At a certain point, these stats get baked into the lines they put up. I'll give you an example. Vegas have been sensational on the road, so far this year (I know, I wagered on them tonight) Lol. I think you will find that their odds on road games will be adjusted so that after a while betting on them will lose all value. This is the reason that we have to learn how to make a solid line on our own, IMO. I don't know what's wrong with the Devils, at this point in time. But, as long as they're in a funk, it's very hard to wager on them. I generally don't advocate betting parleys. The only time I think they have value is when using extremely high favorites. Those, I can understand.
Do you live in Brooklyn? My hometown. I have a residence there, as well as in Las Vegas. But, my heart is still in Brooklyn.
Trying to catch up on hockey, after a hectic bowl season. Went 1-1 on the last posted plays - 10 which brings my record on posted plays to YTD 37W 22L + 1545
Tonight I'm going with Devils-Wings Under 6.5 - 105 Devils allowed more than 40 shots on goal, in their last game. I'm sure the coaches will remind them of that fact, during their practices. Expecting Husso to be back to form tonight.
Best Of Luck ========== Let's Go!
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Trying to catch up on hockey, after a hectic bowl season. Went 1-1 on the last posted plays - 10 which brings my record on posted plays to YTD 37W 22L + 1545
Tonight I'm going with Devils-Wings Under 6.5 - 105 Devils allowed more than 40 shots on goal, in their last game. I'm sure the coaches will remind them of that fact, during their practices. Expecting Husso to be back to form tonight.
GL Red -hope you had profitable Bowl season. I tailed a former Covers NCAAF guy (he used to "Assassinate" Bookies) and he went bananas. I think I was up 10 units on 1 unit bets.
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GL Red -hope you had profitable Bowl season. I tailed a former Covers NCAAF guy (he used to "Assassinate" Bookies) and he went bananas. I think I was up 10 units on 1 unit bets.
Follow anyone you think is hot, but best of all, learn how to be a decent handicapper yourself. People will come & go, out of your life. But the one person you can always depend on is facing you in your mirror, every day.
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@dyamarik
Follow anyone you think is hot, but best of all, learn how to be a decent handicapper yourself. People will come & go, out of your life. But the one person you can always depend on is facing you in your mirror, every day.
Totally agree, and the logic the guy follows is sound, so not a complete blind tailing. But his strategy was spot on this year - take the teams that have something to play for like big group of Seniors going out on top, popular player graduating, bet against Big name school playing in shit bowl type of angles.
I am just too busy to try and cap multiple sports (all my energy goes into NHL), but I can guarantee you that in my 20+ years capping gambling and posting on these sites, I never have, nor ever will, bash a poster for a bet the I made based on their picks. I called the book or clicked the mouse, not them.
Appreciate you posting in the Forum - great addition to the team here.
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@Redlad
Totally agree, and the logic the guy follows is sound, so not a complete blind tailing. But his strategy was spot on this year - take the teams that have something to play for like big group of Seniors going out on top, popular player graduating, bet against Big name school playing in shit bowl type of angles.
I am just too busy to try and cap multiple sports (all my energy goes into NHL), but I can guarantee you that in my 20+ years capping gambling and posting on these sites, I never have, nor ever will, bash a poster for a bet the I made based on their picks. I called the book or clicked the mouse, not them.
Appreciate you posting in the Forum - great addition to the team here.
Not crazy about anything on this busy night, but I'm not sold that the Devils are all the way back to their easy season form. I'm going to take a shot with Under the Devils Team total of 3.5 even. They have not played that well at home lately, so I believe there is some value in taking the Under tonight.
As always, Best Of Luck ======== Please Bet Responsibly ====== The Only Locks Are On Windows & Doors. ===== Let's Go!
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Yesterday 1-0 +100 YTD 38W 22L + 1645
Not crazy about anything on this busy night, but I'm not sold that the Devils are all the way back to their easy season form. I'm going to take a shot with Under the Devils Team total of 3.5 even. They have not played that well at home lately, so I believe there is some value in taking the Under tonight.
As always, Best Of Luck ======== Please Bet Responsibly ====== The Only Locks Are On Windows & Doors. ===== Let's Go!
@DB51daBEARS Thanks, Bear Devils are going with 1st string goal-keeper Vanecek tonight.
Hey Red,
I see that...a little surprising because our Blueshirts head into Trenton on Saturday for a 1pm division game. Is he gonna continues with Vitek then as well? Can't rightly grouse about last night; I fell for Lindy's shoulder fake as he yapped about Hischier and Tatar having a maintenance day Tuesday and being available if needed last night. I figured with St Louis and NYR just over the next hill, maybe he'd rest them to be ready. They both only played about 15-16 minutes last night (incl. PPTOI) and Hischier had 2 SOG and Tater zero SOG, but they both picked up an assist so I guess he made the right call lol.
Also...just looked back at my latest batch of notes (from 12/21 til now) and teams on the b2b are 3-6 (not including BUF-OTT who were both on the b2b).
Cheers buddy
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Quote Originally Posted by Redlad:
@DB51daBEARS Thanks, Bear Devils are going with 1st string goal-keeper Vanecek tonight.
Hey Red,
I see that...a little surprising because our Blueshirts head into Trenton on Saturday for a 1pm division game. Is he gonna continues with Vitek then as well? Can't rightly grouse about last night; I fell for Lindy's shoulder fake as he yapped about Hischier and Tatar having a maintenance day Tuesday and being available if needed last night. I figured with St Louis and NYR just over the next hill, maybe he'd rest them to be ready. They both only played about 15-16 minutes last night (incl. PPTOI) and Hischier had 2 SOG and Tater zero SOG, but they both picked up an assist so I guess he made the right call lol.
Also...just looked back at my latest batch of notes (from 12/21 til now) and teams on the b2b are 3-6 (not including BUF-OTT who were both on the b2b).
The problem with just blindly playing against teams on b2b, is that the odds-makers will bake that fact into the lines they put out. They are well aware that some people will follow that trend, causing you to lose any value that we all should be looking for. You have to pick your spots, IMO. Thanks for commenting on my thread, my friend.
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@DB51daBEARS
The problem with just blindly playing against teams on b2b, is that the odds-makers will bake that fact into the lines they put out. They are well aware that some people will follow that trend, causing you to lose any value that we all should be looking for. You have to pick your spots, IMO. Thanks for commenting on my thread, my friend.
I didn't mean to suggest anybody should play them blindly because they're on a b2b. But it's just another factor to consider, like last night with NJ being on the b2b after playing in DET on Wednesday. Lots of things to consider, but b2b can be significant also, not only for the wear/tear and travel if the team's on a roadie, but also the goalie situation, and of course lots of other factors. That's what I was trying to say but I should have clarified. It's not a sure thing by any stretch, especially if a very good team is in Montreal or Anaheim for a b2b. Thanks, Red.
Cheers buddy
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Hey Redlad,
I didn't mean to suggest anybody should play them blindly because they're on a b2b. But it's just another factor to consider, like last night with NJ being on the b2b after playing in DET on Wednesday. Lots of things to consider, but b2b can be significant also, not only for the wear/tear and travel if the team's on a roadie, but also the goalie situation, and of course lots of other factors. That's what I was trying to say but I should have clarified. It's not a sure thing by any stretch, especially if a very good team is in Montreal or Anaheim for a b2b. Thanks, Red.
You make a good point concerning the rotation of goalkeepers. You know Blackwood was supposed to start for the Devils last night, but he hurt his hand in the warm-ups. It took me off The Blues, so sometimes you can outsmart yourself, Lol. Nevertheless, starting goalkeepers are important in setting the odds. But, normally that is also baked into the lines. Sometimes you can actually find value in betting on teams in b2b situations, especially the 3 games in 4 nights scenarios. The only time I think that is very important is late in the year, when a team is traveling into altitude, such as Calgary. I hope this makes sense to you. Best Of Luck!
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@DB51daBEARS
You make a good point concerning the rotation of goalkeepers. You know Blackwood was supposed to start for the Devils last night, but he hurt his hand in the warm-ups. It took me off The Blues, so sometimes you can outsmart yourself, Lol. Nevertheless, starting goalkeepers are important in setting the odds. But, normally that is also baked into the lines. Sometimes you can actually find value in betting on teams in b2b situations, especially the 3 games in 4 nights scenarios. The only time I think that is very important is late in the year, when a team is traveling into altitude, such as Calgary. I hope this makes sense to you. Best Of Luck!
It does make sense, for sure...and pretty much everything you talk about makes sense to me lol. The Forum has been highlighting 3rd game/4 night a lot this season, and rightly so. And I'm old enough to know that the art and the science of wagering is a life-long learning experience.
Yes, I've outsmarted myself more than once in the last month, and it's so disappointing when I do that. And sometimes you realize it even before the puck drops and I wouldn't want to bet the other side also just to pay the book his due and get out of the bet grrrrrr!!!
As far as betting ON b2b teams, for sure it's not a "no go" restriction. I've done it with success if the team and the situation is right. And that's why I had to post a reply (#47) saying I should have clarified what I meant. I can recall quite a few times this season where a team on a b2b faces a team that was too well-rested and the b2b guys got the W...and many other situational factors that made the b2b team the right side.
Thanks again, Red, appreciate you
Cheers
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@Redlad
It does make sense, for sure...and pretty much everything you talk about makes sense to me lol. The Forum has been highlighting 3rd game/4 night a lot this season, and rightly so. And I'm old enough to know that the art and the science of wagering is a life-long learning experience.
Yes, I've outsmarted myself more than once in the last month, and it's so disappointing when I do that. And sometimes you realize it even before the puck drops and I wouldn't want to bet the other side also just to pay the book his due and get out of the bet grrrrrr!!!
As far as betting ON b2b teams, for sure it's not a "no go" restriction. I've done it with success if the team and the situation is right. And that's why I had to post a reply (#47) saying I should have clarified what I meant. I can recall quite a few times this season where a team on a b2b faces a team that was too well-rested and the b2b guys got the W...and many other situational factors that made the b2b team the right side.
Capitals - 155 I really like this spot for the Capitals. I made the line - 180, so I jumped on this last night as soon as Draft Kings put up their numbers.
After my bet, they immediately moved to - 165, but I still see - 160 around at other Sportsbooks.
I also went Under 6.5 -110 in the same game At My Bookie. They moved to - 115 I was told. Game opened at 6 flat. My numbers made it 6U, so I see value with 6.5 on this play, as well. Also, these 2 teams usually play low scoring games when facing each other.
I also like Black Hawks team total to go Over ==== Here's how I played it
Black Hawks Over 2.5 goals - 135 1/2 Unit Black Hawks Over 3.5 + 145 1/2 Unit
So if the Blacks Hawks score exactly 3 goals, I win +10 ==== If They score 4 or more, I win 1 Unit + 145 on the latter wager.
If they score less than 3, I lose 1 Unit with - 135 on only 1/2 a Unit. Always trying to maneuver into a favorable position. That's why it's so important to shop for the best numbers, if you're serious about coming out a winner, in the long run, when betting on sports. I have a slight advantage because Draft Kings allows me to bet into their opening numbers, (on all sports) because of my affiliation with them.
Best Of Luck ========== Always Bet Responsibly ============== Let's Go!
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Yesterday 1-0 +100 YTD 39W 22L + 1745
Today's Plays
Capitals - 155 I really like this spot for the Capitals. I made the line - 180, so I jumped on this last night as soon as Draft Kings put up their numbers.
After my bet, they immediately moved to - 165, but I still see - 160 around at other Sportsbooks.
I also went Under 6.5 -110 in the same game At My Bookie. They moved to - 115 I was told. Game opened at 6 flat. My numbers made it 6U, so I see value with 6.5 on this play, as well. Also, these 2 teams usually play low scoring games when facing each other.
I also like Black Hawks team total to go Over ==== Here's how I played it
Black Hawks Over 2.5 goals - 135 1/2 Unit Black Hawks Over 3.5 + 145 1/2 Unit
So if the Blacks Hawks score exactly 3 goals, I win +10 ==== If They score 4 or more, I win 1 Unit + 145 on the latter wager.
If they score less than 3, I lose 1 Unit with - 135 on only 1/2 a Unit. Always trying to maneuver into a favorable position. That's why it's so important to shop for the best numbers, if you're serious about coming out a winner, in the long run, when betting on sports. I have a slight advantage because Draft Kings allows me to bet into their opening numbers, (on all sports) because of my affiliation with them.
Best Of Luck ========== Always Bet Responsibly ============== Let's Go!
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