Notorious for being a chalk day. I’ll look later if I choose to play.
favorites are on fire lately
season = 2024 and D and date > 20241024 and site = away
9 dogs 27 favorites. And I still have close to 10 units won.
Notorious for being a chalk day. I’ll look later if I choose to play.
favorites are on fire lately
season = 2024 and D and date > 20241024 and site = away
9 dogs 27 favorites. And I still have close to 10 units won.
Notorious for being a chalk day. I’ll look later if I choose to play.
favorites are on fire lately
season = 2024 and D and date > 20241024 and site = away
9 dogs 27 favorites. And I still have close to 10 units won.
D and 21 > game number > 10 and 50 > PRSW > 33 and o:PRSW > 46 and o:streak < 5 and day = Sunday and o:rest = 0 and line>100
dog is Kraken not really a team I like but the Bruins are not stealthy and on a back to back do they have the depth?
Kraken +150
D and 21 > game number > 10 and 50 > PRSW > 33 and o:PRSW > 46 and o:streak < 5 and day = Sunday and o:rest = 0 and line>100
dog is Kraken not really a team I like but the Bruins are not stealthy and on a back to back do they have the depth?
Kraken +150
@spottie2935
FYSA: SEA are also on B2B and 3 of 4 and early start 5PM off a night game. I know Boston on the same rest, but they had early Sat game and probably got home to Boston at a reasonable hour. Seattle most likely got to hotel in Beantown at 1:00 or 2:00 AM after game in Ottowa.
Like the play, but this lack of decent rest for Seattle has me a bit worried... good luck today bud
@spottie2935
FYSA: SEA are also on B2B and 3 of 4 and early start 5PM off a night game. I know Boston on the same rest, but they had early Sat game and probably got home to Boston at a reasonable hour. Seattle most likely got to hotel in Beantown at 1:00 or 2:00 AM after game in Ottowa.
Like the play, but this lack of decent rest for Seattle has me a bit worried... good luck today bud
I am a little out of character today but so are the chalks lately and yesterday chalks were good also.
so I’m taking a few chances today with finding data.
If you like dogs and follow beware but it could be fruitful,
I am a little out of character today but so are the chalks lately and yesterday chalks were good also.
so I’m taking a few chances today with finding data.
If you like dogs and follow beware but it could be fruitful,
Kraken +150
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
The Sunday dogs in general are not great but all these dogs have good enough ROI data and some of these dogs are good teams.
Don’t be scared of big lines it’s the way the books get revenge on 27-9 favorite runs.
They have to get their balances so it’s good to see good dog teams.
NFL plays are: Patriots, Dolphins, Packers, Panthers. Spreads only
Kraken +150
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
The Sunday dogs in general are not great but all these dogs have good enough ROI data and some of these dogs are good teams.
Don’t be scared of big lines it’s the way the books get revenge on 27-9 favorite runs.
They have to get their balances so it’s good to see good dog teams.
NFL plays are: Patriots, Dolphins, Packers, Panthers. Spreads only
@dyamarik
yes you are right and I am concerned today in general, but know all this shouldn't the line be elevated more? I dislike the Kracken but I look at the Bruins roster and the Bruins performances and I have to think on a back to back they are not special.
@dyamarik
yes you are right and I am concerned today in general, but know all this shouldn't the line be elevated more? I dislike the Kracken but I look at the Bruins roster and the Bruins performances and I have to think on a back to back they are not special.
@dyamarik
I looked into every detail of your question and here are the results explained
HF and season > 2018 and rest = 0 and o:rest = 0 and op:rest = 1 and game number < 17 and opp:rest = 1 and line < -120 and o:streak > -6 and line > -201 and day = Sunday
A home favorite team greater than>-201 and less than <-120
the home favorite is on no rest
the dog is on no rest
the dogs previous game was on 1 day rest
the dogs rest 2 games ago was on 1 day rest
the current game takes place before game #17
our team is not on a long losing streak of -6 or more
and it doesnt matter as all results are bad for the favorite but the day is played on Sunday. the favorite is 2-6 in these situations. Not many games and the results are very specific but the home favorite is not worth the price and a very bad play
@dyamarik
I looked into every detail of your question and here are the results explained
HF and season > 2018 and rest = 0 and o:rest = 0 and op:rest = 1 and game number < 17 and opp:rest = 1 and line < -120 and o:streak > -6 and line > -201 and day = Sunday
A home favorite team greater than>-201 and less than <-120
the home favorite is on no rest
the dog is on no rest
the dogs previous game was on 1 day rest
the dogs rest 2 games ago was on 1 day rest
the current game takes place before game #17
our team is not on a long losing streak of -6 or more
and it doesnt matter as all results are bad for the favorite but the day is played on Sunday. the favorite is 2-6 in these situations. Not many games and the results are very specific but the home favorite is not worth the price and a very bad play
Guys I am new to posting daily so part of this is a test. I am trying to find the best ROI and in no way do I believe in betting favorites to do so.
Winnipeg can destroy all these bad teams. Their weakness is against teams that can test Hellebuyck. Also Tampa still has an elite goalie. Can the Jets win again, of course but this might be their most difficult test to date.
Even when the dogs are not producing the results I desire I still have to push on and post daily to find out if this is relevant and worth my time to be a pro at making money in the NHL. Favorites win more often but do dogs make ROI long term.
I am not fading anyone or trying to bet against anyone/s favorite team. I am attempting a long term approach to make some money.
This isn't easy on losing steaks and taking crappy teams.
Guys I am new to posting daily so part of this is a test. I am trying to find the best ROI and in no way do I believe in betting favorites to do so.
Winnipeg can destroy all these bad teams. Their weakness is against teams that can test Hellebuyck. Also Tampa still has an elite goalie. Can the Jets win again, of course but this might be their most difficult test to date.
Even when the dogs are not producing the results I desire I still have to push on and post daily to find out if this is relevant and worth my time to be a pro at making money in the NHL. Favorites win more often but do dogs make ROI long term.
I am not fading anyone or trying to bet against anyone/s favorite team. I am attempting a long term approach to make some money.
This isn't easy on losing steaks and taking crappy teams.
My concern betting against the Jets are 3 things.
1)Top line scoring that has been with the team a long time. They are showing on a regular they have talent and the cohesion to know each others styles.
2) 2nd and 3rd line depth and scoring. Most often on the season the lesser lines are out scoring other teams lesser lines.
3) most important is Hellebuyck. There are only a few times to fade this team in my opinion and Tampa is capable.
Its amazing to me how well managed the Jets are. They are in the bottom half of the league in Salaries. As they should be in such a small market. Their fan base though is very dense.
My concern betting against the Jets are 3 things.
1)Top line scoring that has been with the team a long time. They are showing on a regular they have talent and the cohesion to know each others styles.
2) 2nd and 3rd line depth and scoring. Most often on the season the lesser lines are out scoring other teams lesser lines.
3) most important is Hellebuyck. There are only a few times to fade this team in my opinion and Tampa is capable.
Its amazing to me how well managed the Jets are. They are in the bottom half of the league in Salaries. As they should be in such a small market. Their fan base though is very dense.
H and line>-125 and line<-103 and p:H and p:goals>4 and p:margin>1 and pp:margin>1 and season>2013 and streak<6 and o:streak<3 and rest>0 and o:rest<3 and 6>op:goals>0 and total<=6
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
if they lose in regulation i lose it all
if the win in regulation i lose a half
if they go to OT im in the green and if they win in OT thats the gold
H and line>-125 and line<-103 and p:H and p:goals>4 and p:margin>1 and pp:margin>1 and season>2013 and streak<6 and o:streak<3 and rest>0 and o:rest<3 and 6>op:goals>0 and total<=6
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
if they lose in regulation i lose it all
if the win in regulation i lose a half
if they go to OT im in the green and if they win in OT thats the gold
Kraken +150
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
NFL:
Patriots +3.5-115
Dolphins +5.5 +100
Packers +3-120
Panthers +7 +100
Kraken +150
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
NFL:
Patriots +3.5-115
Dolphins +5.5 +100
Packers +3-120
Panthers +7 +100
@dyamarik
That’s perfect as I don’t have enough history to get the confidence. That’s why I’m here. Everything at this point is in the dark, but win or lose we will make it clear.
@dyamarik
That’s perfect as I don’t have enough history to get the confidence. That’s why I’m here. Everything at this point is in the dark, but win or lose we will make it clear.
Just thinking. No action on these but I am tracking.
Rangers live next goal current score1-0 NYR -145
live Islanders +300
Just thinking. No action on these but I am tracking.
Rangers live next goal current score1-0 NYR -145
live Islanders +300
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
Kraken +150
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
NFL:
Patriots +3.5-115
Dolphins +5.5 +100
Panthers +7 +100
Packers +3-120
Isles +165
Caps+215
Lightning +115
Kraken +150
LEAFS combined 1.5 units
+100 half unit
+155 regulation half unit
Draw +330 half unit
NFL:
Patriots +3.5-115
Dolphins +5.5 +100
Panthers +7 +100
Packers +3-120
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