Sunday

@iceman2003

looking now 

Cal Gary shutout last game has this as a pass or play on the favorite. 

Don’t give up on Calgary going forward.  They are playing excellent teams right now. Except Utah but the others are elite.  Tonight vs Oilers it’s just not a good situation. 

Add Blackhawks +109 but round to nearest $5 so

Blackhawks +110

Isles +165

Caps+215

Lightning +115

Kraken +150 

LEAFS combined 1.5 units

+100 half unit

+155 regulation half unit

Draw +330 half unit

NFL:

Patriots +3.5-115

Dolphins +5.5 +100

Panthers +7 +100

Packers +3-120

With Tampa resting Vasi.  The data does not account for goalies.  

the favorites continue the destruction.  Remember we are doing this in testing.  I have to continue to do this.  I want to enlighten the dogs and see what transpires.  

We are trending very weak at the moment but let’s see if we can get going again.  

@triplee2385

good luck Trip, wish you the best. 

Even though I found several dogs with + EV situations.  The favorites continue and Sunday proves to be its death.  See if the weekday games start a reversal.  

Blackhawks +110

 Isles +165

Caps+215

Lightning +115

Kraken +150 

LEAFS combined 1.5 units

+100 half unit

+155 regulation half unit

Draw +330 half unit

NFL:

Patriots +3.5-115

Dolphins +5.5 +100

Panthers +7 +100

Packers +3-120 stupid to buy the 3 

 These dogs in the Nhl are hard to hit

I have a tough time knowing when to pull the trigger on faves. Got wrecked on them yesterday 

Favorites are now 46-19 last 65 games when the line was <=-120.  

Season : 22-23 +775 before today

Blackhawks +110

 Isles +165

Caps+215

Lightning +115

Kraken +150 

LEAFS  I am counting as a loss.  just for book keeping sakes 

Season : 22-28 +275 Hawks Pending.

@iceman2003

 Its a terrible run but my data is keeping my away from a lot of losing.  Its very streaky and when the dogs start hitting its more than hurtful on the favorite bettors.  I am tracking this for that exact reason.  How much pain tolerance and how much downs happen before the dogs elevate.   This needs to be studied on a regular basis to know the risk rewards. Short term be carful of the entry point because if i didnt time the winning right I would be down huge.  

Right now I feel fortunate to still be in black numbers.  Change is coming but I feel like most,  WHEN?

To be fair to my data if I had more confidence in what is going on Today was a day off as dogs are weak on Sundays? 

Why would I play and post?  Because with so many favorites recently I might have missed an opportunity for a regression.  Just because Favorites have not hit on Sundays doesn't mean it cant happen.  For tracking I am keeping the results but I think next Sunday I will pass.   

Play and trust the data.  I failed to do so today because I need to learn these lessons and gain confidence by tracking games and results. 

You almost got your wish with leafs in OT! Hawks looking good to! I wish i had played all my leans today but got hosed last night and decided to just observe today. Work should start slowing down given the mild NC fall weather is setting in so ill have time during the day to get more involved looking at games. Cheers! 

@triplee2385

 Sounds great.  Thanks to you and everyone stopping in.  Makes this losing more fun?  Or maybe less exhausting lol.  Either way thanks and best wishes. 

 I try and keep dogs in the -125 and less if i like them.  Worked in baseball but not so sure with hockey.

@iceman2003

 My data is pretty good, but we will see how good. Some of these teams are hot right now.  

be patient and keep the same thought process.  We just need time.   I’m trying to split or better.  I’m confident but have to be patient.