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2010 Tour de France

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muzza

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 717

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 3:24 AM ET #226

Sorry didn't come through properly.

It's Grabsch vs Thomas.. Grabsch at $1.62..

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Bolar

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 5831

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 3:37 AM ET #227

I wouldn't touch it. The better value is Grabsch v Schleck

That Grabsch v Schleck is now an 8 unit play and not 5 units.

Adding Grabsch to win @ $21 - 1 unit
Adding Grabsch to place @ $5 - 3 units

Adding Zabriskie over Millar @ $1.60 - 4 units

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muzza

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 717

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 5:03 AM ET #228

Grabsch first to race posts a time of 44.13.

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muzza

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 717

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 5:05 AM ET #229

Sorry forgot to mention this is at the second checkpoint..

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Bolar

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 5831

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 11:54 AM ET #230

Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

These are my final overall bets. Naturally, if something else comes up, I will re-post.

Overall Head to Heads

7 units Roman Kreuziger over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $1.55
6 units Joaquim Rodriguez over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $2.10
6 units Andy Schleck over Frank Schleck @ $1.47
4 units Lance Armstrong over Bradley Wiggins @ $1.62
6 units Ivan Basso over Cadel Evans @ $1.60
4 units Denis Menchov over Cadel Evans @ $2

Top 10 Finish

4 units Joaquim Rodriguez @ $6
1 unit Vladimir Karpets @ $34
6 units Roman Kreuziger @ $1.91

Teams Classification H2H

8 units Bbox Bouygues Telecom over Footon Servetto @ $2.02 - Rolland, Fedrigo, Voeckler and a few others compared to a young team with half making their TDF debuts. Yes please.

4 units Liquigas over Columbia @ $1.52 - Basso, Kreuziger and Szmyd over Martin and Rogers. Yes Please.

4 units Liquigas over Rabobank @ $2.50 - This should be more like $1.85 for both. Liquigas are well over the odds.

Mountains Classification

.2 units Eros Capecchi @ $101
.2 units Matthew Lloyd @ $101
.3 units Cadel Evans @ $51
.3 units Thomas Voeckler @ $51 - If he's in the earlier breaks with some climbs on offer, then he may end up going for it.
1.5 units Egoi Martinez @ $11 - Euskaltel's stage hunter and second last year.
.5 units Amets Txurruka @ $17 - Euskaltel's other stage hunter.
.5 units Amael Moinard @ $51

Points Classification

4 units Oscar Freire over Edvald Boasson-Hagen @ $1.83 - Will EBH finish his first GT? Probably not.

6 units Tyler Farrar over Alessandro Petacchi @ $1.47 - Farrar will be more consistent than Petacchi. Better than bank interest.

7 units Hushovd @ $2.50

Stage Wins

5 units Cavendish over 3.5 @ $1.80

Group Betting

1 unit Sanchez over Armstrong, Wiggins, Basso, Evans @ $14

Top Frenchman

1 unit Pierre Rolland @ $15

Le Mevel, Casar etc will probably get in a lucky break and get time but Rolland is the better Frenchman here. He's displayed that he's climbing better than last year. He finished around 20th last year and he didn't benefit from a break. He did try a few breaks. As he's the better Frenchman here, I just think it's worthwhile putting a small bet on him. Hopefully he does benefit from a break. Bbox are certainly confident in him to produce a high result.

+15.8

Prologue: +18.08
Stage 1: -14
Stage 2: +1.7
Stage 3: +31.35
Stage 4: +2.2
Stage 5: +16.21
Stage 6: +6
Stage 7: -5.3
Stage 8: -6.25
Stage 9: +2.15
Stage 10: -1.4
Stage 11: +6.62
Stage 12: +19.67
Stage 13: -0.75
Stage 14: -8.74
Stage 15: -9.15
Stage 16: -7.80
Stage 17: -5.55
Stage 18: -1.20
Stage 19: -3.34
Stage 20:

Overall bets: +15.8

Overall TDF Record: +56.30

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Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

These are my final overall bets. Naturally, if something else comes up, I will re-post.

Overall Head to Heads

7 units Roman Kreuziger over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $1.55
6 units Joaquim Rodriguez over Jurgen Van Den Broeck @ $2.10
6 units Andy Schleck over Frank Schleck @ $1.47
4 units Lance Armstrong over Bradley Wiggins @ $1.62
6 units Ivan Basso over Cadel Evans @ $1.60
4 units Denis Menchov over Cadel Evans @ $2

Top 10 Finish

4 units Joaquim Rodriguez @ $6
1 unit Vladimir Karpets @ $34
6 units Roman Kreuziger @ $1.91

Teams Classification H2H

8 units Bbox Bouygues Telecom over Footon Servetto @ $2.02 - Rolland, Fedrigo, Voeckler and a few others compared to a young team with half making their TDF debuts. Yes please.

4 units Liquigas over Columbia @ $1.52 - Basso, Kreuziger and Szmyd over Martin and Rogers. Yes Please.

4 units Liquigas over Rabobank @ $2.50 - This should be more like $1.85 for both. Liquigas are well over the odds.

Mountains Classification

.2 units Eros Capecchi @ $101
.2 units Matthew Lloyd @ $101
.3 units Cadel Evans @ $51
.3 units Thomas Voeckler @ $51 - If he's in the earlier breaks with some climbs on offer, then he may end up going for it.
1.5 units Egoi Martinez @ $11 - Euskaltel's stage hunter and second last year.
.5 units Amets Txurruka @ $17 - Euskaltel's other stage hunter.
.5 units Amael Moinard @ $51

Points Classification

4 units Oscar Freire over Edvald Boasson-Hagen @ $1.83 - Will EBH finish his first GT? Probably not.

6 units Tyler Farrar over Alessandro Petacchi @ $1.47 - Farrar will be more consistent than Petacchi. Better than bank interest.

7 units Hushovd @ $2.50

Stage Wins

5 units Cavendish over 3.5 @ $1.80

Group Betting

1 unit Sanchez over Armstrong, Wiggins, Basso, Evans @ $14

Top Frenchman

1 unit Pierre Rolland @ $15

Le Mevel, Casar etc will probably get in a lucky break and get time but Rolland is the better Frenchman here. He's displayed that he's climbing better than last year. He finished around 20th last year and he didn't benefit from a break. He did try a few breaks. As he's the better Frenchman here, I just think it's worthwhile putting a small bet on him. Hopefully he does benefit from a break. Bbox are certainly confident in him to produce a high result.

+15.8

Prologue: +18.08
Stage 1: -14
Stage 2: +1.7
Stage 3: +31.35
Stage 4: +2.2
Stage 5: +16.21
Stage 6: +6
Stage 7: -5.3
Stage 8: -6.25
Stage 9: +2.15
Stage 10: -1.4
Stage 11: +6.62
Stage 12: +19.67
Stage 13: -0.75
Stage 14: -8.74
Stage 15: -9.15
Stage 16: -7.80
Stage 17: -5.55
Stage 18: -1.20
Stage 19: -3.34
Stage 20:

Overall bets: +15.8

Overall TDF Record: +56.30

sims_key

MVP

Joined: Sep, 2007

Posts: 16408

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 1:47 PM ET #231

amazing first half..

tough second half..

great overall!

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Bolar

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 5831

Posted: Jul. 24, 2010 - 10:37 PM ET #232

8 units McEwen over Rojas @ $1.75

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Bolar

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 5831

Posted: Jul. 25, 2010 - 6:14 AM ET #233

3 units McEwen top 3 @ $4.50

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Bolar

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 5831

Posted: Jul. 25, 2010 - 11:55 AM ET #234

McEwen over Rojas won.

+59.30 units for the Tour.

Good Tour, but if the last week wasn't so shit and I used my brains and sat out, it would have been a hell of a lot more. Not to worry. I'm back in the positive for the year.

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erv

Prospect

Joined: Jun, 2009

Posts: 22

Posted: Jul. 27, 2010 - 2:08 PM ET #235

Great tour guys. I just wanted to know where everyone bets the tour and other cycling events at? Being in the US my choices are limited, so I'm starting my research now to try and find a good online book for future cycilng events that will allow me to bet something than just the winner of the GC of the tour. Many thanks, ERV

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Ace77

Legend

Joined: Sep, 2008

Posts: 30979

Posted: Jul. 28, 2010 - 12:07 AM ET #236

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uscsilb24

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2006

Posts: 2863

Posted: Jul. 28, 2010 - 4:18 PM ET #237

unbelievable job bolar. i only cashed on contador winning it all. wish i had followed you on these plays.

keep up the great work

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2010 Tour de France

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