Posted:
#1
Lines feel fat to me. but haven't spent much time thinking about them. The Hawks line I guessed. The other three were each a goal and a point or two higher than I thought they would be. Not saying that means anything.
My initial impressions:
25+ points is too much to lay against WB, though the Doggies are having to travel west twice in a short period. I bet a little against them v. Freo, but I've been burned too many times playing against them with any number of injuries. For me it's Doggies or no play.
Hawks will be smarter than Cats in terms of game planning and maturity. Talent, the Cats the clear advantage. Which Cats' team will show up is the wild card for me that makes a play on this seem like a flip of a coin. I hesitate to back the Hawks also for the belief I have that they will be less concerned with winning this game than executing to a game plan knowing they get another chance. As a supporter (of both Swans and hawks), I'd rather see each lose this game IF they'll face the team again. Hawks just feel like they're hanging by a thread.
Swannies laying more than 2 goals, at ANZ, vs. a team that isn't afraid of them, or anyone. Swans combo of experience, health, depth, maturity and, most importantly, revenge from the trouncing by Giants should get this one done by 3+ goals. Will likely play a line under 3 goals.
Crows laying 6 goals at home to a spent Roos team. Crows off a loss at home feels like a trouncing in the making. Will have to look at the data from past few years, but don't think I can lay that much in a playoff match.
Looking to the Grand Final, I share what seems to be the consensus view: Swannies will be playing in it and likely win it. Hawks, Crows/Cats in that order have the best chance to beat them.
My initial impressions:
25+ points is too much to lay against WB, though the Doggies are having to travel west twice in a short period. I bet a little against them v. Freo, but I've been burned too many times playing against them with any number of injuries. For me it's Doggies or no play.
Hawks will be smarter than Cats in terms of game planning and maturity. Talent, the Cats the clear advantage. Which Cats' team will show up is the wild card for me that makes a play on this seem like a flip of a coin. I hesitate to back the Hawks also for the belief I have that they will be less concerned with winning this game than executing to a game plan knowing they get another chance. As a supporter (of both Swans and hawks), I'd rather see each lose this game IF they'll face the team again. Hawks just feel like they're hanging by a thread.
Swannies laying more than 2 goals, at ANZ, vs. a team that isn't afraid of them, or anyone. Swans combo of experience, health, depth, maturity and, most importantly, revenge from the trouncing by Giants should get this one done by 3+ goals. Will likely play a line under 3 goals.
Crows laying 6 goals at home to a spent Roos team. Crows off a loss at home feels like a trouncing in the making. Will have to look at the data from past few years, but don't think I can lay that much in a playoff match.
Looking to the Grand Final, I share what seems to be the consensus view: Swannies will be playing in it and likely win it. Hawks, Crows/Cats in that order have the best chance to beat them.
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