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AFL 2016

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Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1138
Posted: #1
Round 1

Richmond -29.5 vs Carlton
Over 174.5

GWS -8.5 @ Melbourne
Over  169.5

Gold Coast 40+ vs Essendon
Over 180.5

North Melbourne 1-39 vs Adelaide
Under 185.5

Sydney 1-39 vs Collingwood
Over 177.5

Fremantle ML @ Western Bulldogs
Under 175.5

Port Adelaide -29.5 vs St Kilda
Over 177.5

West Coast -57.5 vs Brisbane
Over 179.5

Coin flip Geelong vs Hawthorn ( I lean geelong for the upset)
Under 183.5
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 1774
Posted: #2
I'll be ready for this season with weekly threads from the start, GL! 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1138
Posted: #3
Good luck to you too pk
 
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 1

Richmond -29.5 vs Carlton
Over 174.5

GWS -8.5 @ Melbourne
Over  169.5

Gold Coast 40+ vs Essendon
Over 180.5

North Melbourne 1-39 vs Adelaide
Under 185.5

Sydney 1-39 vs Collingwood
Over 177.5

Fremantle ML @ Western Bulldogs
Under 175.5

Port Adelaide -29.5 vs St Kilda
Over 177.5

West Coast -57.5 vs Brisbane
Over 179.5

Coin flip Geelong vs Hawthorn ( I lean geelong for the upset)
Under 183.5


Round 1 record

Lines 2-2

Margins 2-1

Totals 5-4
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 250
Posted: #5
I had Adelaide +10.5 when it first opened, it went to +13.5 I think and I got disgusted. Still barely covered with a 10 point loss, it was nice to see after a bad night of NCAA on friday.
 
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #6
Round 2

Richmond 1-39 @ Collingwood
Under 185.5

Port Adelaide 1-39 @ Adelaide
Over 195.5

Essendon +41.5 vs Melbourne
Over 174.5

North Melbourne -25.5 @ Brisbane
Over 188.5

Bulldogs -26.5 @ St Kilda
Over 182.5

Gold Coast +35.5 @ Fremantle
Under 174.5

Geelong -15.5 @ GWS
Over 180.5

West Coast 1-39 @ Hawthorn
Under 192.5

Sydney 40+ @ Carlton
Over 178.5
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 2

Richmond 1-39 @ Collingwood
Under 185.5

Port Adelaide 1-39 @ Adelaide
Over 195.5

Essendon +41.5 vs Melbourne
Over 174.5

North Melbourne -25.5 @ Brisbane
Over 188.5

Bulldogs -26.5 @ St Kilda
Over 182.5

Gold Coast +35.5 @ Fremantle
Under 174.5

Geelong -15.5 @ GWS
Over 180.5

West Coast 1-39 @ Hawthorn
Under 192.5

Sydney 40+ @ Carlton
Over 178.5


Round 2 record

Margins 1-3

Lines 4-1

Totals 5-4
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #8
Overall record

Lines 6w-3L

Totals 10w-8L

Margins 3w-4L
 
Veteran
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Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 2724
Posted: #9
Well done mate... ATS seems to be the best chance for us amateurs... I've never seen anyone with consistent success at the totals (too little data on margins)... Keep it up, read your plays readily
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Erich777:

Well done mate... ATS seems to be the best chance for us amateurs... I've never seen anyone with consistent success at the totals (too little data on margins)... Keep it up, read your plays readily


Thanks. I saw your question in your round 2 thread about reading and finding out where the money is. The sportsmate mobile apps for afl and nrl are pretty good for previews. Over the past few years I've moved more towards the afl shows on fox footy with 360 being the best I think. Afl website of course is probably the best being a direct source of information. Knowing where the money is going betfair, I don't know if any odds services will tell you like they do with American sports, I don't need those paid services and will never use them.
 
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #11
Round 3

Essendon +47.5 @ port Adelaide
Under 184.5

Stkilda +17.5 vs Collinngwood
Over 180.5

Adelaide 1-38 @ Richmond
Over 184.5

GWS +18.5 @ Sydney
Over 174.5

Gold Coast 40+ vs Carlton
Over 182.5

West coast -18.5 vs Fremantle
Over 173.5

North -24.5 vs Melbourne
Over 160.5

Bulldogs +6.5 vs hawthorn
Under 182.5

Geelong -56.5 vs Brisbane
Over 190.5









 
Hall of Fame
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Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 22502
Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 3

Essendon +47.5 @ port Adelaide   Get as many as you can over 40.  This line is inflated. 


Stkilda +17.5 vs Collinngwood  Everyone and their mother will love the Pies here, but this low line is set for a reason.  Go for it.


Adelaide 1-38 @ Richmond   Agree!


GWS +18.5 @ Sydney  Me Swannies have had issues with GWS and this is a reasonable shout.


Gold Coast 40+ vs Carlton  Toss up here.  The line is spot on and if the Blues come out animated, could hold it under 40.


West coast -18.5 vs Fremantle  Tough call.


North -24.5 vs Melbourne    Another tough call.


Bulldogs +6.5 vs hawthorn  Man, I want to LOVE the Doggies, but something doesn't seem right.  Good luck to you on this wager.  It's either so right or oh so wrong.


Geelong -56.5 vs Brisbane  Defo.  I'd back the Cats 39+ usually, but considering their poor start to the season, they will be aiming for percentage.  One aspect of AFL that helps us punters.  60+ or bust!










 
Hall of Fame
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Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 22502
Posted: #13
Does anyone know why the Crows are only a short favorite against the Tigers?

I want to hammer Adelaide, but this line scares me.
 
Captain
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Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 7174
Posted: #14
GL mate. Really like some of your picks there 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jan, 2015
Posts: 1774
Posted: #15
Goodluck this weekend isport, against you on a lot but what do I know! 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 2724
Posted: #16
I'm going to do like him and make plays earlier - great value in a couple of those imo
 
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by HeadOverHeart:

Does anyone know why the Crows are only a short favorite against the Tigers?I want to hammer Adelaide, but this line scares me.


Probably because of the derby but that was a one sided match I'm not looking into it too much and think Adelaide should be bigger favourites than they are
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 3

Essendon +47.5 @ port Adelaide
Under 184.5

Stkilda +17.5 vs Collinngwood
Over 180.5

Adelaide 1-38 @ Richmond
Over 184.5

GWS +18.5 @ Sydney
Over 174.5

Gold Coast 40+ vs Carlton
Over 182.5

West coast -18.5 vs Fremantle
Over 173.5

North -24.5 vs Melbourne
Over 160.5

Bulldogs +6.5 vs hawthorn
Under 182.5 so unlucky this one

Geelong -56.5 vs Brisbane
Over 190.5



Round 3 Record

Lines 4-3

Margins 2-0

Totals 4-5
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2011
Posts: 1138
Posted: #19
Overall record

Lines 10w-6L

Totals 14w-13L

Margins 5w-4L
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #20
Round 4

West Coast 1-39 vs Richmond
Over 175.5

Geelong -64.5 @ Essendon
Over 185.5

Bulldogs 40+ @ Carlton
Over 180.5

Adelaide 1-39 vs Sydney
Under 185.5

GWS -4.5 vs Port Adelaide
Under 176.5

Melbourne +11.5 @ Collingwood
Over 178.5

North Melbourne 1-39 vs Fremantle
Over 177.5
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #21
Round 4

West Coast 1-39 vs Richmond
Over 175.5

Geelong -64.5 @ Essendon
Over 185.5

Bulldogs 40+ @ Carlton
Over 180.5

Hawthorn -42.5 vs StKilda
Over 185.5

Gold Coast -22.5 @Brisbane
Over 178.5

Adelaide 1-39 vs Sydney
Under 185.5

GWS -4.5 vs Port Adelaide
Under 176.5

Melbourne +11.5 @ Collingwood
Over 178.5

North Melbourne 1-39 vs Fremantle
Over 177.5


 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 4

West Coast 1-39 vs Richmond
Over 175.5

Geelong -64.5 @ Essendon
Over 185.5

Bulldogs 40+ @ Carlton
Over 180.5

Hawthorn -42.5 vs StKilda
Over 185.5

Gold Coast -22.5 @Brisbane
Over 178.5

Adelaide 1-39 vs Sydney
Under 185.5

GWS -4.5 vs Port Adelaide
Under 176.5

Melbourne +11.5 @ Collingwood
Over 178.5

North Melbourne 1-39 vs Fremantle
Over 177.5




round 4 results

Lines 2-3

Margins 2-2

Totals 3-6
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #23
Overall record

Lines 12w-9L

Totals 17w-19L

Margins 7w-6L
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #24
Round 5

Hawthorn 1-39 vs Adelaide
Over 195.5

Sydney 1-39 vs West Coast
Over 178.5

North Melbourne -9.5 @ Gold Coast
Under 185.5

Bulldogs 40+ vs Brisbane
Over 181.5

Geelong -12.5 @ Port Adelaide
Under 184.5

GWS -9.5 @ St Kilda
Over 188.5

Freo 40+ vs Carlton
Under 182.5

Melbourne 1-39 vs Richmond
Over 182.5

Essendon +18.5 @ Collingwood
Under 180.5
 
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1138
Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by isport:

Round 5

Hawthorn 1-39 vs Adelaide
Over 195.5

Sydney 1-39 vs West Coast
Over 178.5

North Melbourne -9.5 @ Gold Coast
Under 185.5

Bulldogs 40+ vs Brisbane
Over 181.5

Geelong -12.5 @ Port Adelaide
Under 184.5

GWS -9.5 @ St Kilda
Over 188.5

Freo 40+ vs Carlton
Under 182.5

Melbourne 1-39 vs Richmond
Over 182.5

Essendon +18.5 @ Collingwood
Under 180.5


Round 5 Record

Lines 3-1

Margins 4-1

Totals 6-3
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