3-7 bad day. But one chase winner on Tampa and loss on Carolina. Glad I advised to bet low on Carolina with goalie situation. NHL official plays 13-2, unofficial 2-1.
Thanks for posting the winner on Dallas PTO and thanks to all who are checking in.
*OFFICIAL NBA CHASE PLAYS* (Record 55-6)
MILW +1 GM1 of 3 (2% or 2 unit profit play)
MEM (PK or ML) GM1 of 3 (2% or 2 unit profit play)
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3-7 bad day. But one chase winner on Tampa and loss on Carolina. Glad I advised to bet low on Carolina with goalie situation. NHL official plays 13-2, unofficial 2-1.
Thanks for posting the winner on Dallas PTO and thanks to all who are checking in.
*OFFICIAL NBA CHASE PLAYS* (Record 55-6)
MILW +1 GM1 of 3 (2% or 2 unit profit play)
MEM (PK or ML) GM1 of 3 (2% or 2 unit profit play)
This play got switched to puck line after loss last night. I don't like laying that kind of juice. Up to you for PL which is what system calls for. If you want to play ML to recover losses or try for the 2% profit that's up to you. You could play same amount lost on GM1 as a nice plus money dog for a small profit if you like. It all depends on your bankroll.
I am not playing this one even though 2 game chase. This is the first time this season that the puck line +1.5 has happened. With 3 losses this year I'm not going to risk it. The system never mentioned puck line being involved this year or I would never have recommended this series. At least it was only a 2 game chase.
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*NHL OFFICIAL CHASE PLAY*
MONTREAL +1.5 GM2 of 2 (2% or 2 unit profit play)
This play got switched to puck line after loss last night. I don't like laying that kind of juice. Up to you for PL which is what system calls for. If you want to play ML to recover losses or try for the 2% profit that's up to you. You could play same amount lost on GM1 as a nice plus money dog for a small profit if you like. It all depends on your bankroll.
I am not playing this one even though 2 game chase. This is the first time this season that the puck line +1.5 has happened. With 3 losses this year I'm not going to risk it. The system never mentioned puck line being involved this year or I would never have recommended this series. At least it was only a 2 game chase.
I'm not going to have time to post many write-ups today but here is one.
LAKERS -4 This game features the 36-35 Lakers at the 25-44 Twolves. By
sleepwalking through their last game, a 109-103 road loss to Golden
State this past Monday, the Lakers find themselves clinging to just a 1
game lead for the final playoff spot in the West against Utah and
Dallas. And the Jazz own the tiebreaker in case they finish in a tie
with the Lakers. So expect a motivated Lakers squad to take the court
against Minnesota. LA certainly owns a gigantic talent edge. The Lakers
are 2-0 versus Minnesota this season winning by an average of 16.5
points. The Timberwolves are off an easy road win against Pistons last
night. The banged-up Timberwolves now return home exhausted with their
depth depleted this late in the season due to multiple injuries. This
marks the Timberwolves' 5th game in 7 days. The Lakers are desperate to
halt a 3 game losing skid. The Timberwolves can defeat bad teams, but
have had problems when stepping up in class. They are 5-15-2 ATS the
past 22 times when facing foes with a winning record. The Lakers have
covered the past 6 times when playing at Minnesota.
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I'm not going to have time to post many write-ups today but here is one.
LAKERS -4 This game features the 36-35 Lakers at the 25-44 Twolves. By
sleepwalking through their last game, a 109-103 road loss to Golden
State this past Monday, the Lakers find themselves clinging to just a 1
game lead for the final playoff spot in the West against Utah and
Dallas. And the Jazz own the tiebreaker in case they finish in a tie
with the Lakers. So expect a motivated Lakers squad to take the court
against Minnesota. LA certainly owns a gigantic talent edge. The Lakers
are 2-0 versus Minnesota this season winning by an average of 16.5
points. The Timberwolves are off an easy road win against Pistons last
night. The banged-up Timberwolves now return home exhausted with their
depth depleted this late in the season due to multiple injuries. This
marks the Timberwolves' 5th game in 7 days. The Lakers are desperate to
halt a 3 game losing skid. The Timberwolves can defeat bad teams, but
have had problems when stepping up in class. They are 5-15-2 ATS the
past 22 times when facing foes with a winning record. The Lakers have
covered the past 6 times when playing at Minnesota.
OT Included. Losing take its toll and it’s certainly taken a toll on
the Flyers. Sitting in 14th place with a mere 28 points and having to
make up seven points and climb over six other teams, Philly’s chances of
making it to the eighth and final playoff spot took a gigantic hit when
they were buried on Tuesday by the eighth place Rangers. The Flyers
have now dropped three in a row, five of six and seven of its past nine
games. Philadelphia has also scored two or less in five straight.
Spirits are low in Philadelphia. The team isn’t scoring and the defense
is too slow to prevent goals. Ilya Bryzgalov is the most frustrated of
all, as he continues to get shell-shocked. After the loss to New York on
Tuesday, Bryzgalov sat alone in the dressing room long after the final
buzzer. As the favorite, these Flyers offer up nothing but misery.
The Islanders are eager to take the ice tonight. They faced
Philadelphia once this year back on February 18 on the Island and were
humiliated in a 7-0 loss. Philly scored all seven goals on just 25 shots
on net. The Islanders will be looking for some redemption here after
that embarrassment. After consecutive wins over Florida and Washington,
the Islanders are right in the thick of this thing. The Isles are just
two points out of a playoff spot and it may surprise you to learn that
they are 9-4-1 on the road. It’s not complicated. The Islanders simply
offer up much more value taking back a price than the Flyers laying one
and that’s precisely the way we’ll play it.
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N.Y. Islanders ML
OT Included. Losing take its toll and it’s certainly taken a toll on
the Flyers. Sitting in 14th place with a mere 28 points and having to
make up seven points and climb over six other teams, Philly’s chances of
making it to the eighth and final playoff spot took a gigantic hit when
they were buried on Tuesday by the eighth place Rangers. The Flyers
have now dropped three in a row, five of six and seven of its past nine
games. Philadelphia has also scored two or less in five straight.
Spirits are low in Philadelphia. The team isn’t scoring and the defense
is too slow to prevent goals. Ilya Bryzgalov is the most frustrated of
all, as he continues to get shell-shocked. After the loss to New York on
Tuesday, Bryzgalov sat alone in the dressing room long after the final
buzzer. As the favorite, these Flyers offer up nothing but misery.
The Islanders are eager to take the ice tonight. They faced
Philadelphia once this year back on February 18 on the Island and were
humiliated in a 7-0 loss. Philly scored all seven goals on just 25 shots
on net. The Islanders will be looking for some redemption here after
that embarrassment. After consecutive wins over Florida and Washington,
the Islanders are right in the thick of this thing. The Isles are just
two points out of a playoff spot and it may surprise you to learn that
they are 9-4-1 on the road. It’s not complicated. The Islanders simply
offer up much more value taking back a price than the Flyers laying one
and that’s precisely the way we’ll play it.
Ohio State has been on a big of a hot streak covering in 6 of their
last 8 games, but Arizona has been playing well too covering four of
their last 5 against the spread. You should always play against a team
like Ohio State that has covered 6 of their last 8 games against the
spread when they are a team winning 80% or more of their games playing
another good team winning 60-80% of their games. This system is 128-78
(62%) ATS over the last five seasons. Ohio State is coming off a game
where they went 9 of 18 from the 3 point line including a last second
shot by Aaron Craft to get the win over Iowa State. This game also falls
into a system to play on a team like Arizona when they are playing on a
neutral court and have had two straight games shooting 50% or better
and playing against a team that is coming off a game where they made 50%
or more of their 3 point attempts. This system is 48-16 (72%) ATS.
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Arizona +4
Ohio State has been on a big of a hot streak covering in 6 of their
last 8 games, but Arizona has been playing well too covering four of
their last 5 against the spread. You should always play against a team
like Ohio State that has covered 6 of their last 8 games against the
spread when they are a team winning 80% or more of their games playing
another good team winning 60-80% of their games. This system is 128-78
(62%) ATS over the last five seasons. Ohio State is coming off a game
where they went 9 of 18 from the 3 point line including a last second
shot by Aaron Craft to get the win over Iowa State. This game also falls
into a system to play on a team like Arizona when they are playing on a
neutral court and have had two straight games shooting 50% or better
and playing against a team that is coming off a game where they made 50%
or more of their 3 point attempts. This system is 48-16 (72%) ATS.
For tonight, I do not believe that the Kings deserve to be favored, on the road no less.
1. Kings' road woes - Even with last night's win, Sacramento is
still just 7-30 straight up on the road this season. They did win back
to back road games one time this season, beating Cleveland and Toronto,
with one day of rest in between, back on January 2nd and 4th, but that's
it. Off their other five road wins this year, the team is 0-5 ATS,
losing every game by double digits. This will be only the second time
all season they are a road favorite. While they won and covered the
first, that was against league-worst Charlotte.
2. Defense - While Phoenix hasn't been very good defensively,
Sacramento is even worse. They have given up the highest PPG total in
the league since Feb 9 and for the season are allowing over 105 PPG on
the road. The Suns have scored at least 100 points in all three meetings
this season with the Kings.
3. X-Factor: While Sacramento generally stinks on the road, they
are really bad here in the desert, losing 12 of their last 13 here.
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Phoenix +2
For tonight, I do not believe that the Kings deserve to be favored, on the road no less.
1. Kings' road woes - Even with last night's win, Sacramento is
still just 7-30 straight up on the road this season. They did win back
to back road games one time this season, beating Cleveland and Toronto,
with one day of rest in between, back on January 2nd and 4th, but that's
it. Off their other five road wins this year, the team is 0-5 ATS,
losing every game by double digits. This will be only the second time
all season they are a road favorite. While they won and covered the
first, that was against league-worst Charlotte.
2. Defense - While Phoenix hasn't been very good defensively,
Sacramento is even worse. They have given up the highest PPG total in
the league since Feb 9 and for the season are allowing over 105 PPG on
the road. The Suns have scored at least 100 points in all three meetings
this season with the Kings.
3. X-Factor: While Sacramento generally stinks on the road, they
are really bad here in the desert, losing 12 of their last 13 here.
I apologize as I forgot to post. I have been playing the KC Royals almost every game I can find a line and they have the best record in spring training. I got them at -140 today.
I'm running short of time this afternoon so I won't be able to post the as many write-ups to back up more of these plays. I'll try to give the records of my sources when possible.
MINN WILD ML from a source 5-1 NHL with winner on NYI yesterday.
PHI SIXERS -2 from a source 16-3 and another 15-3.
BOSTON CELTICS under 195 from a source 20-7. A pair of teams fighting for the same playoff spot, No. 6 in the East,
which means this game will have a playoff atmosphere (plenty of
defensive intensity). Boston plays its best defense at home, No. 7 in
field goal shooting defense and 9th in points allowed, while the offense
is without playmaker Rajon Rondo and Kevin Garnett, on a 2-0 run under
the total. The new-look backcourt, though, is outstanding defensively
and Atlanta is very good on defense, as well, and plays its 4th straight
road game here.
OKC over 202 multiple sources one has record of 23-4.
LOUIS -10 (Pitino 14-0 ATS in sweet 16)
FLORIDA -13 (Florida tired of hearing about FGC cinderella team and should have motivation to blow out this "backyard dog" from their neighborhood) Incredibly, 26 of its 28 wins have come by 13 points or more. The
Gators' only two "close" wins all season both came against Alabama by 10
and 12 points. The Eagles are a nice story but we’re sorry to say it
all ends here and it ends in another Gator blowout.
I'm not playing this one, but if you have followed Marc L free plays they are on a 5-16 run. Yes, fading would be highly profitable. His play today is on the Det Pistons, so to fade you play Toronto +2. I am not playing this as I am good at being too late to the dance on jumping into a winning or losing streak.
If you want a parlay, I am playing a 2 teamer PHI -2 and OKC over 202 for a half unit.
Angle out, GL everyone!
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I apologize as I forgot to post. I have been playing the KC Royals almost every game I can find a line and they have the best record in spring training. I got them at -140 today.
I'm running short of time this afternoon so I won't be able to post the as many write-ups to back up more of these plays. I'll try to give the records of my sources when possible.
MINN WILD ML from a source 5-1 NHL with winner on NYI yesterday.
PHI SIXERS -2 from a source 16-3 and another 15-3.
BOSTON CELTICS under 195 from a source 20-7. A pair of teams fighting for the same playoff spot, No. 6 in the East,
which means this game will have a playoff atmosphere (plenty of
defensive intensity). Boston plays its best defense at home, No. 7 in
field goal shooting defense and 9th in points allowed, while the offense
is without playmaker Rajon Rondo and Kevin Garnett, on a 2-0 run under
the total. The new-look backcourt, though, is outstanding defensively
and Atlanta is very good on defense, as well, and plays its 4th straight
road game here.
OKC over 202 multiple sources one has record of 23-4.
LOUIS -10 (Pitino 14-0 ATS in sweet 16)
FLORIDA -13 (Florida tired of hearing about FGC cinderella team and should have motivation to blow out this "backyard dog" from their neighborhood) Incredibly, 26 of its 28 wins have come by 13 points or more. The
Gators' only two "close" wins all season both came against Alabama by 10
and 12 points. The Eagles are a nice story but we’re sorry to say it
all ends here and it ends in another Gator blowout.
I'm not playing this one, but if you have followed Marc L free plays they are on a 5-16 run. Yes, fading would be highly profitable. His play today is on the Det Pistons, so to fade you play Toronto +2. I am not playing this as I am good at being too late to the dance on jumping into a winning or losing streak.
If you want a parlay, I am playing a 2 teamer PHI -2 and OKC over 202 for a half unit.
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