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Cycling: 2009 Vuelta a Espana

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Posts: 251
 
Captain
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Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 5831
Posted: #151
1 unit Kolobonev @ $12 - Got this just before Boom reached the top.
 
Good luck!
 
Captain
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Posted: #152
He has 40 odd seconds on 7 or so riders. In 13km, he'll find it hard to hold them off.
 
Captain
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Posted: #153
Looks like Reynes has dropped off and Duque is still there. Kolobonev needs to beat Herrero or win!
 
Captain
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Posted: #154
2.5 units Kolobonev $1.52 over Iglinsky
 
Captain
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Posted: #155
1 unit Kolobonev top 3 @ $5
 
Boom won't be caught. They need to catch Herrero or Kolobonev needs to outsprint his rivals.
 
Captain
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Posted: #156
-10.8 on the stage. The only bet that got up was Kolobonev over Iglinsky
 
Try again tomorrow!
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 289
Posted: #157
Let me know what you think about Valverde winning the overall points classification
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #158
Looking at Greipel to take it tomorrow since Roger Federer lost to Del Potro I can only wager on H2H on Pinnacle.

Therefore, 4 units on Greipel over Bozic @ 1.388

Bennati has once won in this city, he might want it again.

4 units on Bennati over Weylandt @ 1.952

Last play his about luck, I think Ciolek will retire soon and it might be tomorrow.  He won't pay attention to the mass sprint and might be far away.

Good luck for the new Garmin top sprinter

4 units on Dean over Ciolek @ 2.71

Enjoy the Columbia train helped by a Liquigas squad.


 
Captain
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Posted: #159

I'm waiting for in play and even then I may not bet.

The wind might screw things up tomorrow.

1. Ciolek wants another win and reckons Milram could do it today or tomorrow

2. Cervelo expects a breakaway to get away

3. Don't know what's going into Columbia's head. Do they care about the Green jersey?

Too many variables for me to back something this early on!

 
Captain
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Posted: #160
I ended up playing the bunch sprint card. At the moment I have:
 
2u Ciolek over Bennati @ $2.10
2u Dean over Weylandt @ $2.20
 
Captain
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Posted: #161
It's pretty safe this will be a bunch finish now. Although the final few km are tricky apparently.

6 units Greipel @ $1.85

Good luck!
 
Captain
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Posted: #162
3 units Duque over Hinault @ $1.60
 
Even though Duque was in the break yesterday, he should get to the line ahead of Hinault.
 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #163
Adding another 3 units Duque over Hinault @ $1.60
 
Captain
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Posted: #164
3 units Hammond over Breschel @ $1.75
 
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #165

6 units Greipel @ $1.85
6 units Duque over Hinault @ $1.60
3 units Hammond over Breschel @ $1.75
2u Ciolek over Bennati @ $2.10
2u Dean over Weylandt @ $2.20

Dean and Weylandts both crashed, but Dean crossed the finish first.

+5.9 units

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #166
2 out of 3 for you. Can't complain. You still make a profit.
 
Unfortunate about Dean.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #167
1.36 units of profit for this stage.  I knew Greipel was going to win, but couldn't place it yesterday.
 
Looking at another win by Greipel tomorrow.
 
Updates later on
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #168
 Yeah, I'll wait in play again. I mean, Greipel was $1.85 out to $1.95 at one stage in play. Can't complain with those odds. I prefer to be safe than sorry and sacrifice 50 odd cents.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 289
Posted: #169
Today's record : 2-1 +1.4units
Overall :28-29 -1 units

2 plays for tomorrow's stage.

Bozic will be looking strong once again, I don't know if Bonnet can stay in the top 10 two days in row, serious doubt.

5 units on Bozic over Bonnet @ 1.800

Greipel will be looking for more points and another win.

5 units on Greipel over Bennati @ 1.435

Enjoy this last stage before real competition starts.

 
Captain
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Posted: #170
6 units Greipel @ $2.55
 
I'll do the rest in-play
 
Captain
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Posted: #171

Stage 1: no bet
Stage 2: +4.85 units
Stage 3: -10 units
Stage 4: +42.39 units
Stage 5: -2.2 units
Stage 6: +1.2 units
Stage 7: -12.5 units
Stage 8: -1.42 units
Stage 9: -9.05 units
Stage 10: +.23 units
Stage 11: +17.46 units
Stage 12: -14 units
Stage 13: +14.8 units
Stage 14: -7.5 units
Stage 15: -10.8 units
Stage 16: +5.9 units

Overall: +19.36

 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #172
4 units Duque over Roelandts @ $1.80
 
Good luck!
 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #173
Got this just before
 
.3 units Perez to win @ $30-1
 
Captain
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Posts: 5831
Posted: #174
Adding
 
2 units Bozic over Bonnet @ $2
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #175
8km, just over a minute.
 
Going to be close, but I think the break has this. Hopefully I chose the right man.
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