YTD: 95-66 +28.4u
Adelaide +7.5 2u
Last time they played kings dominated the first half and lead by 24 at half time. Adelaide played alot better in the second half and got it back to a few points, then finally lost by 12.
Adelaide are playing alot better and have had another week of practice with the new import. sydney's form has been solid but not as impressive as earlier in the season. If Adelaide lose this their chance of finals looks slim, whereas with a win they may only be one one win out depending on other results. So I am betting adelaide will be up for this one and at least keep it close.
NZ +7.5 1u & +7 0.5u
I believe Ronaldson is out which is a bit of a worry but NZ has alot of players playing well and they should be able to cover him. With Penney and Jones playing well and Greene and Alston looking to have figured out the league I think NZ will give the crocs a game and 7 point start is too generous.
Townsville v NZ under 206.5 1u
I forecast this a bit under 200 so decided to have a ping, although I would not be suprised if it got to 240.
Melbourne v West Sydney over 206 1u
Melbourne's offence has improved alot and West Sydney's defence has dropped off. I think Melbourne will put up a big score and WS will do enough to send it over.
Perth -8 1u
I believe Crawford is going to play and they have a plan in place to get the new import approved before game time.
Teams playing an away game on Saturday after playing in NZ on Thursday have not faired well, with the exception of Cairns in round 1.
round 11: Dagons lost to Cairns by 29
round 9: Hawks lost to Perth by 23
round 5: 36ers lost to townsville by 22
also in round 8 the slingers played a home game on sunday after playing in NZ on thurs and lost to an undermanned 36ers by 18.
Not a good spot for GC who are struggling I like Perth's chances of an easy win.
Cairns +8.5 1u
Cairns handled Brisbane very easily twice in Cairns. The final margin in the second game of 8 was very flattering to brisbane who never lookel like winning and were down by as over 20 several times. Brisbane play alot better at home, plus mackinnon is back, but i have to think cairns match up well against them and hopefully make a game of it