Posted:
#1
YTD 41-26 +20.1u
The way I am looking at it the line of 5 or 6 is about right.
There is barely anything the teams all across the court at this point as several of the Adelaide players have picked up their game in recent weeks, plus Adelaide arguably have a better bench if needed. I would say Vixens 1 to 2 goals better on a neutral court other things being equal.
In general Adelaide have been pretty good away so say three goals for home court.
I think the break is an advantage, plus Adelaide coming back from a game in NZ is worth one or two goals.
So this gives 5 to 7, whic is close to the two games during the season which were 6 and 8, and I would say Adelaide have improved more than Vixens since these matchups.
I have futures bets of:
4 units vixens at an average of $1.85
1 unit Thunderbirds at an average of $5.40
plus I had 1.5 units of losing futures
so by my maths I finish 0.9 units up if vixens win and down 1.1 units if tbirds win. at this stage i am not planning to have any other bets on either side, but am thinking about the total.
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