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    All Forums | Other

    Picks and Info to help newbies

    VeritasAlways
    Participants:
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    Views: 91
    Posts: 4
     
    VeritasAlways
    VeritasAlways
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2020
    Posts: 736
    Posted: Nov. 25, 2020 - 12:09 PM ET #1

    As this is the Help forum, I'll post here to try and help new bettors, with picks and info.

    Right off I'd like to say I agree with most posters - a record should not be given for picks that were not shared and cannot be verified.

    But, with that said, I'm at 60% with over 70 picks this season, college and pro.

    Don't believe me? That's okay, I'd be skeptical too.

    And with all the tout scammers and attention-seeking gits out there you SHOULD be skeptical.

    But the numbers above accurate.

    I also have a system for college totals (I'm a data guy/number cruncher) I started three weeks ago that is 28-10, 73%, Ov 15-8, Un 13-2.

    I'm not a tout, not a solicitor, not a BS'er. I'm a writer and former Vegas odds maker. The #'s above are verifiable, the web's not that big, you don't have to be Sherlock Holmes to figure it out. And of course, the mods have my contact email, all they have to do is drop me a note and I can tell them how to easily verify the accuracy and they can confirm I'm telling the truth.

    But those #'s mean nothing now, they're all in the past.

    Hopefully, the #'s I post here will be similar. I hope to post a few plays this weekend.

    In the meantime, a question for the forum, (adults only), in the reply below this post.

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
    Reply
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    As this is the Help forum, I'll post here to try and help new bettors, with picks and info.

    Right off I'd like to say I agree with most posters - a record should not be given for picks that were not shared and cannot be verified.

    But, with that said, I'm at 60% with over 70 picks this season, college and pro.

    Don't believe me? That's okay, I'd be skeptical too.

    And with all the tout scammers and attention-seeking gits out there you SHOULD be skeptical.

    But the numbers above accurate.

    I also have a system for college totals (I'm a data guy/number cruncher) I started three weeks ago that is 28-10, 73%, Ov 15-8, Un 13-2.

    I'm not a tout, not a solicitor, not a BS'er. I'm a writer and former Vegas odds maker. The #'s above are verifiable, the web's not that big, you don't have to be Sherlock Holmes to figure it out. And of course, the mods have my contact email, all they have to do is drop me a note and I can tell them how to easily verify the accuracy and they can confirm I'm telling the truth.

    But those #'s mean nothing now, they're all in the past.

    Hopefully, the #'s I post here will be similar. I hope to post a few plays this weekend.

    In the meantime, a question for the forum, (adults only), in the reply below this post.

     
    VeritasAlways
    VeritasAlways
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2020
    Posts: 736
    Posted: Nov. 25, 2020 - 1:15 PM ET #2

    Question - the purpose of this forum is to help bettors with info that can help them win, yes?

    If someone helps by giving you a winning pick, you make $100 (using standard odds, laying $110 to win $100.)

    If someone provides info that warns you off a pick that loses, that info is just as valuable as providing a winning pick (you could say it's even more valuable, as the loss costs you $10 more than the win.)

    So here's my question - why is it that every time I see a poster pointing out someone is cheating on his record, the poster who points out the cheat is attacked?

    What kind of backwards thinking is that?

    It's a strange thing I don't see elsewhere. Most bettors are appreciative of someone pointing out something they were not aware of.

    I'm not talking about a poster who is name-calling and making unproven accusations, I'm talking about posters who show exactly how and where the cheating occurs, yet they're called haters and losers?

    "Haters" doesn't even fit the situation. Who hates an unknown random on the internet??!! What kind of mind even suggests such a thing?

    And the only losers I see are the sycophants sticking up for the cheater. "There are none so blind as those that refuse to see."

    Pointing out someone is a serial cheater is not hating. It's providing useful information for bettors to incorporate into their decision.

    I watched this happen from the sidelines throughout the NBA bubble season, but didn't post. Last week I decided to register and jump in when I saw a poster being attacked for pointing out a serial cheater, a guy multiple posters have outed for cheating on his record, multiple times, multiple sports, a clown  who has been cold busted posting under multiple ID's to kiss his own azz, and lies and denies every time when confronted with the irrefutable facts.

    Talented handicappers don't have to cheat on their record. And posters don't out cheaters because they hate them, or they're trying to run them off. They don't give a damn whether they post or not. They point it out so others don't fall for the fake record and make a wager because of it (and, sometimes, to mock the cheater.)

    And they should be applauded for exposing the fraud, not vilified.

    I'm not talking about myself here, I don't care what randos on the internet say about me. I don't even respond, they're not worth the time.

    But when you have a poster who is a serial cheater, who consistently pads his record with winners he never gave out, and consistently, conveniently forgets to add his losers, he deserves to be called out on it, and other posters deserve to be made aware of it.

     

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
    Reply
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    Report User

    Question - the purpose of this forum is to help bettors with info that can help them win, yes?

    If someone helps by giving you a winning pick, you make $100 (using standard odds, laying $110 to win $100.)

    If someone provides info that warns you off a pick that loses, that info is just as valuable as providing a winning pick (you could say it's even more valuable, as the loss costs you $10 more than the win.)

    So here's my question - why is it that every time I see a poster pointing out someone is cheating on his record, the poster who points out the cheat is attacked?

    What kind of backwards thinking is that?

    It's a strange thing I don't see elsewhere. Most bettors are appreciative of someone pointing out something they were not aware of.

    I'm not talking about a poster who is name-calling and making unproven accusations, I'm talking about posters who show exactly how and where the cheating occurs, yet they're called haters and losers?

    "Haters" doesn't even fit the situation. Who hates an unknown random on the internet??!! What kind of mind even suggests such a thing?

    And the only losers I see are the sycophants sticking up for the cheater. "There are none so blind as those that refuse to see."

    Pointing out someone is a serial cheater is not hating. It's providing useful information for bettors to incorporate into their decision.

    I watched this happen from the sidelines throughout the NBA bubble season, but didn't post. Last week I decided to register and jump in when I saw a poster being attacked for pointing out a serial cheater, a guy multiple posters have outed for cheating on his record, multiple times, multiple sports, a clown  who has been cold busted posting under multiple ID's to kiss his own azz, and lies and denies every time when confronted with the irrefutable facts.

    Talented handicappers don't have to cheat on their record. And posters don't out cheaters because they hate them, or they're trying to run them off. They don't give a damn whether they post or not. They point it out so others don't fall for the fake record and make a wager because of it (and, sometimes, to mock the cheater.)

    And they should be applauded for exposing the fraud, not vilified.

    I'm not talking about myself here, I don't care what randos on the internet say about me. I don't even respond, they're not worth the time.

    But when you have a poster who is a serial cheater, who consistently pads his record with winners he never gave out, and consistently, conveniently forgets to add his losers, he deserves to be called out on it, and other posters deserve to be made aware of it.

     

     
    VeritasAlways
    VeritasAlways
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2020
    Posts: 736
    Posted: Nov. 27, 2020 - 11:49 AM ET #3

    I use four types of plays, three are situational plays, the fourth is just stuff I like, not based on any system.

     

    Contrarian Plays - where a % of factors for both teams says take the Over or Under; I go the other way as over time most trends level out.

    College: Ov 28-21, Un 17-17; NFL Ov 7-2, Un 10-4

     

    PC Plays - where the PC program has a 5 or > point differential than what the books put up.

    This is a play that is in college ony. Ov 15-8,  Un 18-2

     

    NS Plays - I'll explain at a later date.

    College 17-8. Pro record will be up on Sunday.

     

    All records above to give you an idea of the play's performance thus far.

    Future records will be on plays posted here only.

     

    Today:

    CP: No plays

    PC: Iowa St/Tex Ov 57', N Dame/ NC Un 70'

    NS: Liberty -35, Iowa -12', Cal +2, Ore -14

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
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    I use four types of plays, three are situational plays, the fourth is just stuff I like, not based on any system.

     

    Contrarian Plays - where a % of factors for both teams says take the Over or Under; I go the other way as over time most trends level out.

    College: Ov 28-21, Un 17-17; NFL Ov 7-2, Un 10-4

     

    PC Plays - where the PC program has a 5 or > point differential than what the books put up.

    This is a play that is in college ony. Ov 15-8,  Un 18-2

     

    NS Plays - I'll explain at a later date.

    College 17-8. Pro record will be up on Sunday.

     

    All records above to give you an idea of the play's performance thus far.

    Future records will be on plays posted here only.

     

    Today:

    CP: No plays

    PC: Iowa St/Tex Ov 57', N Dame/ NC Un 70'

    NS: Liberty -35, Iowa -12', Cal +2, Ore -14

     
     
    VeritasAlways
    VeritasAlways
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2020
    Posts: 736
    Posted: Nov. 28, 2020 - 11:31 AM ET #4

     3-3 yesterday, no help. -$30.

     

    Contrarian plays:

    Overs, North Texas, Baylor, Georgia, Troy.

    Unders: Western Michigan, Boston College, Duke.

     

    PC Plays:

    Overs, Georgia southern, Ohio, Akron, Baylor, Kansas, LSU.

    Under in Miss St

    NS Plays, FADE these:

    Georgia State, Penn State, Maryland, Kent State, Texas Tech, Vandy, North Texas, Pitt.

    Short on time, can't do lines, will use the final numbers from covers scores and matchups section.

    I always wave back at the little Amazon guy. I feel like it's the courteous thing to do.
    Reply
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     3-3 yesterday, no help. -$30.

     

    Contrarian plays:

    Overs, North Texas, Baylor, Georgia, Troy.

    Unders: Western Michigan, Boston College, Duke.

     

    PC Plays:

    Overs, Georgia southern, Ohio, Akron, Baylor, Kansas, LSU.

    Under in Miss St

    NS Plays, FADE these:

    Georgia State, Penn State, Maryland, Kent State, Texas Tech, Vandy, North Texas, Pitt.

    Short on time, can't do lines, will use the final numbers from covers scores and matchups section.

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