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Rod's NBL Round 9

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Aussie Battler

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Joined: Oct, 2006

Posts: 29184

Posted: Nov. 17, 2007 - 7:09 AM ET #26

Well done mate

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xcrap

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Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 3155

Posted: Nov. 17, 2007 - 7:27 AM ET #27

keep it up rod, love reading your picks.

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rod_steel

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Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 102561

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 12:08 AM ET #28

I've not had the time to look into the Blaze/Pigs game which starts in 50min so going to give it a miss. I'll look into the later game at the Convention Centre and post if I am pulling the trigger on anything

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rod_steel

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 102561

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 1:35 AM ET #29

Sunday night...

o213.5 Bullets v Slingers

Slingers +17.5 over Bullets (2)

Whenever there is a game in Brisbane the way I see it is you have to justify why you don't play the over if the opponent do not defend the perimter well. Slingers are on a B2b here having played in Townsville last night however this shouldn't really come into consideration given tonight is a mirror image of Round 4 whereby the Slingers had played and got belted by the Blaze on the Saturday night before heading up to Brisbane and play them on the Sunday, scoring 100 points in the process. Whilst I don't expect the 233 points to be scored as was the case in that game, it does show me that the Slingers are capable of putting up some numbers in this scenario.

The absence of Sammy Mac IMO helps the over argument given that he is one of the if not the best Bullets defensive stopper and would have gotten the job on Helms. His offense should not be missed given the depth in the Bullets team, I would expect Bradshaw to take his spot in the starting 5 and with both Bruton and Ere starting to get into the championship type form of last season in terms of their own shooting.

Small play on the Slingers only because of the lines set here and the strong possibility of a backdoor. In round 4 the line was at +/-20.5, surely you can't tell me Sam Mac is worth only 3 points to this Bullets team because everything else (inlcuding factoring in the B2b) is equal. If anything the Slingers are probably playing better now than they were back then especially the play of Grizzard. I tend not to take the points in betting unless I think the dog has a legitimate chance of winning SU therefore I am making an exception in this case. Whilst there is a good possiblity the Bullets break this game open very early, what has impressed me about the Slingers is their resiliance even when faced with a huge deficit - that amazing come back against the Kings where they pulled back a 30+ deficit to lose by only 9 and even last night, they flew home to win the second half and lose only by 12. Logic would suggest that if the Bullets to find themselves with a 20+ lead, Wright will be sitting the starters given the likelihood that Mackinnon will be unavailable for about 2-3 weeks at least.

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Sunday night...

o213.5 Bullets v Slingers

Slingers +17.5 over Bullets (2)

Whenever there is a game in Brisbane the way I see it is you have to justify why you don't play the over if the opponent do not defend the perimter well. Slingers are on a B2b here having played in Townsville last night however this shouldn't really come into consideration given tonight is a mirror image of Round 4 whereby the Slingers had played and got belted by the Blaze on the Saturday night before heading up to Brisbane and play them on the Sunday, scoring 100 points in the process. Whilst I don't expect the 233 points to be scored as was the case in that game, it does show me that the Slingers are capable of putting up some numbers in this scenario.

The absence of Sammy Mac IMO helps the over argument given that he is one of the if not the best Bullets defensive stopper and would have gotten the job on Helms. His offense should not be missed given the depth in the Bullets team, I would expect Bradshaw to take his spot in the starting 5 and with both Bruton and Ere starting to get into the championship type form of last season in terms of their own shooting.

Small play on the Slingers only because of the lines set here and the strong possibility of a backdoor. In round 4 the line was at +/-20.5, surely you can't tell me Sam Mac is worth only 3 points to this Bullets team because everything else (inlcuding factoring in the B2b) is equal. If anything the Slingers are probably playing better now than they were back then especially the play of Grizzard. I tend not to take the points in betting unless I think the dog has a legitimate chance of winning SU therefore I am making an exception in this case. Whilst there is a good possiblity the Bullets break this game open very early, what has impressed me about the Slingers is their resiliance even when faced with a huge deficit - that amazing come back against the Kings where they pulled back a 30+ deficit to lose by only 9 and even last night, they flew home to win the second half and lose only by 12. Logic would suggest that if the Bullets to find themselves with a 20+ lead, Wright will be sitting the starters given the likelihood that Mackinnon will be unavailable for about 2-3 weeks at least.

bevoaustintx

Legend

Joined: Mar, 2004

Posts: 142635

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 1:40 AM ET #30

ill be there with ya, blaze looking good so far

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rod_steel

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 102561

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 6:20 AM ET #31

o213.5 Bullets v Slingers =

Slingers +17.5 =

I missed following the game on the sb and looking at the boxscores I am glad I did. 35 point final qtr with Slingers scoring 2 points in the last 6 min

Anyway shit happens, back in a bit to do the round recap

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rod_steel

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2005

Posts: 102561

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 6:23 AM ET #32

Round 9 (6-6-0) +3.6 units

Overall YTD (35-25-0) +35.90 units

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housedagodhere

Banned

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 19

Posted: Nov. 18, 2007 - 11:39 AM ET #33

sorry about that over last night u got the bevo jinx trying to tail u if u keep losing u know why he is great fade material gl today on ur nfl and rest wagers bevo=another fraud and fade like against

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Rod's NBL Round 9

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