Posted:
#1
2011 YTD: +5.24units
2012 YTD: 0units (Unit size $100)
Just decided to sit back and view last weeks game without playing it. Didn't think Sydney would win by over 90 due them never blowing teams away. But not yet ready to trust GWS with my money. I must say though the kids looked good and it's scary to think what they and The Suns will be doing in 3-4yrs time. Callum Ward will be a STAR.
Rd1 is always really tough as the NAB cup gives you no real clue in what to expect from teams, as the coaches are clearly always trying new game plans and continuously trying new lineups. But i still see some value in this weeks match-ups.
PLAYING:
multi:
CARLTON-HAWTHORN .5units@$2.59
--- Although i still see Collingwood being a powerhouse this season (See Geelong last season) i personally believe it's the Hawks who will be this years premiers and i think they will firm as favourite's with a successful rd1 campaign. Collingwood still need more time under Buckley's reign before they become what they were last year and with the hawks not losing any key players from last season and not having any major injuries i see them taking this by 1-3 goals. I also see Carlton winning tomorrow night even though they had a terrible pre-season (0wins) and Richmond quite the successful one. I don't see Tigers yet being a top 8 side and the Blues will/should be pushing for a top 4 spot and they need to win this game if they have any chance of doing so. Blues by 25
ROOS h2h .5units@$2
--- This selection might be a little bias. But i truly believe this is the yr the kangas finally get their heads out of their ass' and make the finals. They got off to a terrible start last season (0-5) and it eventually cost them a chance to make the 8 and i think Scott will be ramming that fact home. Plus they have always matched up very well against the bombers. The Bombers on the other hand (i said it last year too) i see as pretenders. Last year they got off to a flyer and were being thrown around as a top 4 candidate but expectingly came back to reality and luckily made the 8 to only be smashed by the Blues and sent packing in the first week. I see this being a very tight contest (as it always is) but think the Roos will get there by 3-12 points.
DOCKERS +7.5 1unit@$1.92
---- Cats are still very good even though they lost 4 huge players after last seasons GF success but i expect Freo to make a serious splash this year with a new coach and hopefully a fit list. I was looking at playing Dockers for the win but im not 100% confident they get up here. I do on the other hand see them keeping it close as it's at home (subiaco) and they have a new coach who has had success over a stronger Cats list before. I also believe the loss of the games best tagger will hurt the Cats early in year and im not sold on Hawkins yet even if he did have the game of his life in last yrs GF (at the end of the day it's still only 1 game. need more proof that he can take over games). And with injury clouds still over key defenders Enright (should play) and Hunt i see the dockers covering this line.
GL to all as always. Lets kick this year off with a few winners!!
2012 YTD: 0units (Unit size $100)
Just decided to sit back and view last weeks game without playing it. Didn't think Sydney would win by over 90 due them never blowing teams away. But not yet ready to trust GWS with my money. I must say though the kids looked good and it's scary to think what they and The Suns will be doing in 3-4yrs time. Callum Ward will be a STAR.
Rd1 is always really tough as the NAB cup gives you no real clue in what to expect from teams, as the coaches are clearly always trying new game plans and continuously trying new lineups. But i still see some value in this weeks match-ups.
PLAYING:
multi:
CARLTON-HAWTHORN .5units@$2.59
--- Although i still see Collingwood being a powerhouse this season (See Geelong last season) i personally believe it's the Hawks who will be this years premiers and i think they will firm as favourite's with a successful rd1 campaign. Collingwood still need more time under Buckley's reign before they become what they were last year and with the hawks not losing any key players from last season and not having any major injuries i see them taking this by 1-3 goals. I also see Carlton winning tomorrow night even though they had a terrible pre-season (0wins) and Richmond quite the successful one. I don't see Tigers yet being a top 8 side and the Blues will/should be pushing for a top 4 spot and they need to win this game if they have any chance of doing so. Blues by 25
ROOS h2h .5units@$2
--- This selection might be a little bias. But i truly believe this is the yr the kangas finally get their heads out of their ass' and make the finals. They got off to a terrible start last season (0-5) and it eventually cost them a chance to make the 8 and i think Scott will be ramming that fact home. Plus they have always matched up very well against the bombers. The Bombers on the other hand (i said it last year too) i see as pretenders. Last year they got off to a flyer and were being thrown around as a top 4 candidate but expectingly came back to reality and luckily made the 8 to only be smashed by the Blues and sent packing in the first week. I see this being a very tight contest (as it always is) but think the Roos will get there by 3-12 points.
DOCKERS +7.5 1unit@$1.92
---- Cats are still very good even though they lost 4 huge players after last seasons GF success but i expect Freo to make a serious splash this year with a new coach and hopefully a fit list. I was looking at playing Dockers for the win but im not 100% confident they get up here. I do on the other hand see them keeping it close as it's at home (subiaco) and they have a new coach who has had success over a stronger Cats list before. I also believe the loss of the games best tagger will hurt the Cats early in year and im not sold on Hawkins yet even if he did have the game of his life in last yrs GF (at the end of the day it's still only 1 game. need more proof that he can take over games). And with injury clouds still over key defenders Enright (should play) and Hunt i see the dockers covering this line.
GL to all as always. Lets kick this year off with a few winners!!
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