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We're In Business - Brier Lines are up

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Posted: #101
Wow.... Ontario opened at 1.85-ish on Pinnacle and already down to 1.556. Glad I got on early. Bet365 still has them at 1.76.
 
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Posted: #102
OK, made my picks for PM draw:

4 units on Nfld. to beat Que
1 unit on Ont to beat AB
1 unit on Nfld. -1.5
1 unit on BC/PEI over 12.5
 
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Posted: #103

Nova Scota 4 units to win.8.4.

Ont/Alb under 12.5, 2.5 units to win 2.8

Sask/NS over 12.5, 3.48 unist to win 3.

Nfl/Que over 12.5, 2 units to win 1.8

BC -1.5, 1,5 units to win 1.95

Ont/BC parlay 5 units to win 5.7

 
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Posted: #104
Really like the home town team, to win their last game, after Sask losing a heartbreaker.
 
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Posted: #105
How is Alta/Ont not on TV?
 
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Posted: #106
Nfld battling to make the playoffs was (I guess) the better game to show though I wouldn't have disagreed with Ont/AB too.

I hope AB isn't getting any big ideas with that steal of 3... time to lay down boys and let Ont go 11-0.
 
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Posted: #107

Nice evening Gmar up 5 units is a nice night. Nova Scotia winning at the end, was a great way to cap the week. 43-31 +53.45 units.

Now we await the playoffs. Battle of Ontario tomorrow night. Interested to see how the kids hold up, they have been playing terrific the last few days.

 
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Posted: #108

Hope the total stays at 12.5, then I might pound the OVER. Don't see either team conceding early in such an important game.

In Draw 3, they combined for 13 in a 9-4 victory for Ontario. The kids from the North have been playing much better lately. This game should be closer than the first. Although I shouldn't count out Howard's experience...

 
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Posted: #109
Lines up at Pinny. Ontario currently -415.
 
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Posted: #110

11.8 units to win 7.5 on Ont -1.5 vs N.O. Also played the over 12.5, 2.7 units to win 2.5.

N.Ontario has played well, but Ontario plain and simple is just on another level, so I have no problem laying this. We all know anything can happen, but I was expecting Ontario to be more expensive than this.

 
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Posted: #111
I bet Ontario as well. 

On Bet365, you can bet on who will win it all. Newfoundland is the longest shot at 16-1 right now. While Ontario pays 1.36 to 1. I realize it'll be tough for NL, but isn't that the pretty good value? I think they have the best chance to take down Howard, even though they have the toughest path. 
 
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Posted: #112

Well, NL would have to win 3 straight games against 3 very good teams (none of which they beat during the round robin) all without the hammer. It's a longshot for a reason. Down to +1400 though...

I missed out on Ontario -1.5. Not sure I want to lay -2.5...

 
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Posted: #113
I got it @ 16-1 on NL, I know it'll be tough, but you never know, lol. They won't even let you bet on it anymore, they took it off. 

Let's hope Ontario wins tonight. Also I wish Quebec woulda won last night so we could have an afternoon curling match. 
 
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Posted: #114
Damn... I guess sleeping in for once this week because there wasn't any early draws (6:30am out west) is going to cost me. Ontario now -480 on Pinnacle, or -2.5 at -145.

Might be decent value now in NOnt +2.5 at +124.

The over is also at -140 now, but still might have to play that one and maybe put projected winnings on Ontario ML, even at that steep price.


 
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Posted: #115

Looking back at the last 3 Briers, using a 12.5 total line, you would have 9 overs and 3 unders. Interesting that of the 12 playoff games,  6 of them were one point wins and 4 of them were 4 point or more wins. Seems to either be a nail biter or a blow out. I am not surprise that line has gone up this much, but that is pretty expensive for Ontario having to win by 3 points and paying -158 for it.

I jumped in on 1.2 unit for New Founland to win it all at +1400. A long shot for sure, but he has a lot of playoff experience so I didn't mind taking a stab.

 
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Posted: #116
Wow, I was so scared Ontario was going to lose it. 
 
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Posted: #117
Wow, I was so scared Ontario was going to lose it. 
 
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Posted: #118

I am watching the 10th end, thinking there is no way I am kicking home my -1.5 bet on Ontario, after Saville makes two great tick shots. The end of the game was very similar to a Murdoch game in the Olympic trials vs the U.S. where the only way you can win the bet is if the opposing skip can get enough of the rock around a corner guard, that Ontario had to throw quiet weight to get it out and stick in the rings. Sure enough they did and the freeze attempt from N.O was just a little wide, setting up the hit for the deuce. Very lucky.

 

I am intrigued to see how Northern Ontario plays tomorrow after such a heartbreaking loss. Those kids have done themselves very proud, regardless of what happens tomorrow. Await the pending Alb/NFl line for tomorrow morning.

 
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Posted: #119

I figure the game today is close to a pick'em, with maybe a very slight edge to Alberta. The lines on Pinny reflect this, they don't at 365, where NFL is a bigger dog. I don't mind playing the dog with Gushue's experience at the Brier, should be a very even game.

NFL at +138, 3.5 units to win 4.8. Over 12.5, 8.8 units to win 6.5

 
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Posted: #120
I thought the same thing Beam. Set my alarm, got up early to check out the lines. Took Nfld +114 at Pinnacle for 2 units and the Over 12.5 for 4 units.

Was too lazy to check out bet365 with my iPhone in bed as their lines have usually been worse for both the fave and dogs.

Down 5-3 going into the 9th we're going to need some help to get either result.
 
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Posted: #121
Who are you guys liking in this?
 
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Posted: #122
Northern Ontario getting no respect...

They have the hammer. I think the +1.5 at even money is a damn good bet...
 
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Posted: #123

Well the over was pretty much cooked when Gushue had a chance to split the house for a deuce and make it 4-3 three at the break but Nichols couldn't get the roll and Koe made a nice double. Koe also made a nice draw to the button for the game.

I'm with Ang, N.O at +200 and getting the hammer in the first end, is too good to pass up. Again I give a slight edge to Alberta in this game but at this price, I am on N.O. As for the total with both of these skips preferring to hit, I am thinking that maybe their game plan is a little more conservative and going to ride the under.

N.O. +1.5,2,5 units to win 2.5 and straight up 1 unit to win 2.1. Under 12.5, 3 units to win 3.4

 
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Posted: #124

Rough day yesterday. I probably would have hit the under had the game not been televised, as I am sure N.O. would have packed it in, but I know they have to play eight ends, and well there you have it. Playoffs a dismal 2-5 so far -4.1 units.

365 line is out -175 on Ontario and +125 on Alberta. I thought that Ontario would have been slightly higher maybe about -190 or so.

 
 
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Posted: #125
Got in on the over 12.5, at -127 and -150. They have now set it at -13.5, tempting to throw some back and try and middle this.
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