22-8 all football...arena playoffs and cfl week 2

montreal -1

 

mon/wpg over 45.5

 

tor/ham under 43.5

 

edmonton +2.5

 

bc/sas over 51.5

ARENA:

 

NY +9.5

 

Under 110

 

Cleveland +7.5

 

Over 114

adding one last play

 

GRAND RAPIDS +9.5

found an almost perfect nfl pre-season system for totals...

 

10-0 in 2007

9-1 in 2006

11-2 in 2005

8-2 in 2004

5-0 in 2003

 

43-5 last 5 years

 

also, a 30-9 system in cfb last year that was 25-7 in 2006

 

this is going to be a huge season.

 

 

bonus system:

 

fade road favs laying 3+ pts after a home fave OT win if their public support % is 59% or higher (22-0 ats). this system (with small changes in parametres works very well in nfl, cbb and nba)

the more i leArn about this cle/ga total, the more i like it...

 

it is now upgraded to my GOY type of play #3

 

we have two very good offenses here

 

cleveland 4-2 OVER vs top offenses this season

georgia 6-1 OVER vs top offenses this season

 

two teams combined for 5-1 OVER against bott defenses t.season

 

philly is (surprisingly) the only team other than georgia and cleve that is ranked top in offense and bottom in defense and cleveland and georgia went perfect 3-0 OVER against philly in 2008.

 

another curiosity: ga and cle are among the fastest ball moving teams in the league. georgia #1 in yards gained and only #14 in time of possession. cleveland #5 in yards gained and #11 in top.

 

they will have plenty of opportunities to score. the key will be in their execution. cleveland is 37/38 in the red zone recently but they can score tons of pts even without breaking into the opponent redzone (see last game when they scored only twice from the red zone and stil scored over 60 pts). the problem for them is in the fact that they aren't stopping anyone. and georgia can definately take advantage of that. go OVER !!!!

365.....I'm  a big time system player in football, but really has nothing to do w/ trends like what you're doing. Where do you get these trends from? 

Did you know ?

 

13 wins teams that improved at least 2 games from their previous season are 3-15 ATS in week #1 in their following season. (DALLAS HAD 13 W LY)

 

9 wins teams are 0-11 SU,ATS in week #1 as small dogs of less than 4 pts in week #1 (FADE TAMPA BAY)

 

Do you want me to post more of these ?

NO!!

Winning night and second straight winning week in the CFL !

 

5-3 CFL

 

20-7 ARENA

 

 

71.4% football

 

 

Pending Arena picks:

 

ARENA:

NY +9.5

Under 110

Cleveland +7.5

Over 114 (GOY #3, 2-0 On GOY plays)

 

Grand Rapids +9.5

Colorado +11

 

Over 112.5

how strong is your over colorado??

Liking COL with you.  BOL. 

gOg, cOc, good luck guys !

2006 NFL:

Most improved teams in terms of Wins:

+8 New Orleans
+7 Baltimore
+6 Jets
+5 San Diego
+5 Phill.

How did they do in 2007 ?

New Orleans: Started the preseason 0-2 ATS and regular season 0-4 ATS
Won the pre-season game #3

Baltimore: 1-3 ATS pre-season, sttarted the season 0-5 ATS and 1-10 ATS. Important: lost the week 3 game of the pre-season at home as favorite (we all know that week 3 is usually the only game where teams play to win). So, it was obvious that they were going to be overrated.

Jets: Won their week 3 pre-season game but stil went 1-6-1 ATS in first 8 reg.season games.

San Diego: 1-2 ATS first three pre-season games, 1-3 ATS first three regular season games. (Won their week 3 x-game but did not cover).

Eagles: 1-3 ATS in exibition games, 1-3 ATS first 4 regular season games.
Lost their week 3 exibition game by 14.


The most underachieving teams in 2006

Tampa -7
Pittsburgh -7
Washington -6
Seattle -5
Denver -5
Carolina -5


How did they do in 2007 ?

Tampa: 3-1 ATS preseason, 3-1 ATS first 4 reg. season. 6-1 ATS first 7 home games. Won their week 3 x-game.

Pittsburgh: 3-2 ATS x-games. 3-0 ATS first 3 regular season games. Won and covered in week 3 preseason.

Washington: 3-0 ATS first 3 x-games. 2-1-1 ATS first 4 regular season games. Won their week 3 x-game.

Seattle: 3-1 ATS pre-season. 9-2 ATS overall at home, 8-5 first 13 regular season games. Won their week 3 x-game.

Denver 2-2 ATS pre-season, 0-5 and 1-7 ATS early regular season. Lost their week 3 pre-season game as home favorite.

Carolina: 1-3 ATS pre-season. 4-2 first 6 regular season games but 0-5 ATS first 5 home games. Lost week 3 x-game.

2005, Most improved:

TB +6, CHI +6, SEA+6, CAR+6, WAS+5, NYG+5, MIA+5

Their 2006 season:

TB 1-2 ATS 1st 3 pre season, 0-2 ATS reg.season, 4-8-1 ATS reg.season. Lost their week 3 x-game.

CHI: 2-2 Preseason, 4-1 ATS first 5 regular season (lost week 3 x-game)

SEA: 2-2 pre-season, 4-9-1 ATS regular season, lost week 3 x-game.

Carolina 2-2 ATS x-games 0-4 ats regular season, 4-9-1 ATS Regular season, won week 3 pre-season.

WASH: 0-4 ATS pre-season, 0-2 ats Regular season, 5-9 regular season

NYG: 4-0 Pre-season, 5-2 Regular season

Miami: 2-2 x-games, 0-7 ATS first 7 regular season.


2005 Underachievers: Phi-9,NYJ-7,NE-6,GB-6,HOU-5,NO-5

Their 2006 campaign:

Phi 3-2 ATS pre-season (WW3), 4-1 Reg.season.
NYJ 1-3 PS (5-2, 11-5 Reg.season)
NE: 2-1-1 PS ( 12-6 reg.season)
GB: 1-3 PS, 1-4 Reg season (Lost week 3 x-game big time)
HOU: 2-2 PS, 3-0 first 3 reg.season
NO: 1-3 PS, 4-0 and 9-4 RS.

 

1-3 NFL teams have been $ makers...especially after at least one loss, not favored by double digits, or double digit underdogs...62-32 ats

 

recent years

 

2007: 4-2

2006: 3-1

2005: 5-1