2011 SUPER BOWL WRITE - UP

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

wow ultimate LOW.

URISS posted Steelers in the box and Packers in the mains so if 1 loses he can say he still won

what a loser you are dude

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

wow ultimate LOW.

URISS posted Steelers in the box and Packers in the mains so if 1 loses he can say he still won

what a loser you are dude

 

His mains post was from 1/25...   He said in P.B. he changed the pick.  He is in rehab so he can't change the post. 

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

   Hey Guys, for those of you who don not like me please don't bash this thread, bump another thread of mine if you must and bash there... Thanks...ALOT of time and effort I'm putting into this...


2 Weeks Ago I made 2 Plays on Green Bay and the Over... This morning I bought off both plays after 2 weeks of debating back and froth and going through the numbers and what my eyes have seen... My heart wants GB to win which is where I initially put my money but I'm smarter than that... I'm making a play on Pittsburgh LARGE @ +3 1/2 (hook) and here is why.... This is a 10 Unit play for me

I believe we have the 2 best Teams represented in the Super Bowl this year... As far as Overall Team Efficiency Pittsburgh ranks Number 2 in total DVOA at 37.3% and Green Bay Ranks Number 3 in Total DVOA at 27.3%... (New England was number 1 at 44.7%)...

As far as defensive efficiency these 2 teams rank Pitt #1 and GB #2... Pittsburgh's total Defensive DVOA is -18.5% which is significantly better than GB's who is at -10.8%... Thats a bif difference as far as %'s go and the reason is because of rush defense... Green Bay Ranks at 16th at -1.8% where as Pittsburgh ranks an astonishing -27.7% which is good for Number ONE in the League...Just o give you an idea of how good that is the NYJ rank 2nd at -19.5%...  Now... This is the Super bowl and what I have learned in years past is that this particular efficiency chart is very important... Green Bay will Not be able to run today.  Not only do they lack the talent at RB, but Pittsburgh is just way to good... Now, I am sure Green Bay is WELL AWARE of this.  So what will they do to try and counter this... Well there are only a few things they can do... Number One is Bubble Screens... Number Two is short screens to RB and pass' to the flats.  Will this be successful?  I believe NO and here is why.... When it comes to covering the flats and short screens and bubble screens you need to have a very good OPEN FIELD defense... Pittsburgh RANKS NUMBER 1 in Open Field defense at 0.17 Yards and they are Number 2 defensively in second level yards at 0.85...  Pittsburgh's Defensive line also ranks #1 in the NFL (Green Bay ranks 20th)  Now Both Pittsburgh and Green Bay have good defenses BUT Pittsburgh's defense is SIGNIFICANTLY better... Pittsburgh also leads the NFL with 48 sacks and an adjusted sack rate of 8.3%... Will Rodgers be able to counter act Pittsburgh's success against the rush? the screen? and pass rush?  I believe the answer is no... Its just too many intangibles that favor Pittsburgh substantially.. PLUS Green Bay's offensive line ranks 23rd in the NFL and 23 in sacks given up... This is a HUGE problem going up against Pittsburgh... ESPECIALLY since the weakness of GB is the Strength of Pittsburgh.

What I believe will take place... Pittsburgh is going to run early and often and take advantage of the weakness of Green Bay which is stopping the run... Green Bay is pretty darn good against the pass so Pittsburgh needs to run the ball ALOT and force GB to drop that extra man... If Pittsburgh can do this, Green Bay is in trouble... I believe they will...  If this game some how turns into a shoot out, Green Bay has the edge...  I don't think Pittsburgh will alow this to happen... I can only hope and pray That Pittsburgh pounds pounds and pounds... This will open up the field significantly and create a huge problem for Green bay...

As far as Team offensive efficiency most would think that Green Bay is better... They are not... Pittsburgh ranks Number 5 and Green Bay #7... Not a big discrepancy, so at best they are even... i don't see anywhere on the field where Green bay is better than Pittsburgh... Even Special Teams ... Pittsburgh 16th and Green Bay is 27th...

Like I said I want green Bay to win which is why I made an average play on GB and the over... I bought off both plays, as they were both made prematurely and with out even looking at the game... So, I am going LARGE on the Steelers... And I'm going to make some real fucking money tonight... The better team is clearly getting points guys... there is no debate here... take the fucking points,  A LOT will have to go wrong for Green Bay to win in my opinion... Its way more probable based on numbers and match-ups that Pittsburgh win SU... Now ask yourself, why are they getting pionts????


Pittsburgh Steelers + 3 1/2 (hook) **********10 Units

BOL Guys  I wish you all GL

 

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

This game will also go Under, but I'm not playing it

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

And FYI starwink aka Tinker bell... Green Bay averages less points, less passing yards, less rushing yards, and less yards per play on turf then they do on grass... Pitts burgh averages more yards in all categories on turf then grass...

"Green bay loves the dome"Do not fuck with me in the NFL I will make a fool of you

Quote Originally Posted by kcsportspics51:

ride this crybaby

Quote Originally Posted by kcsportspics51:

ride this crybaby

Quote Originally Posted by humbleness1235:

GREAT WRITEUP URISS...I PLAYED THE PACK IN THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR TO WIN IT ALL AT +1200...I AM GONNA HEDGE IT TODAY BECAUSE I HAVE A FEELING THIS ONE COULD GO EITHER WAY...ALSO IF YOU LIKE PROP BETS THIS ONE SHOULD BE AT THE TOP OF EVERYONES LIST: AARON RODGERS TO BE SACKED O 2 TIMES...$1K BET FOR ME! GL

Quote Originally Posted by Kurshka:

I think an alarm must go off. Or its like on auto delete

Hi Jay bro

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

   Hey Guys, for those of you who don not like me please don't bash this thread, bump another thread of mine if you must and bash there... Thanks...ALOT of time and effort I'm putting into this...


2 Weeks Ago I made 2 Plays on Green Bay and the Over... This morning I bought off both plays after 2 weeks of debating back and froth and going through the numbers and what my eyes have seen... My heart wants GB to win which is where I initially put my money but I'm smarter than that... I'm making a play on Pittsburgh LARGE @ +3 1/2 (hook) and here is why.... This is a 10 Unit play for me

I believe we have the 2 best Teams represented in the Super Bowl this year... As far as Overall Team Efficiency Pittsburgh ranks Number 2 in total DVOA at 37.3% and Green Bay Ranks Number 3 in Total DVOA at 27.3%... (New England was number 1 at 44.7%)...

As far as defensive efficiency these 2 teams rank Pitt #1 and GB #2... Pittsburgh's total Defensive DVOA is -18.5% which is significantly better than GB's who is at -10.8%... Thats a bif difference as far as %'s go and the reason is because of rush defense... Green Bay Ranks at 16th at -1.8% where as Pittsburgh ranks an astonishing -27.7% which is good for Number ONE in the League...Just o give you an idea of how good that is the NYJ rank 2nd at -19.5%...  Now... This is the Super bowl and what I have learned in years past is that this particular efficiency chart is very important... Green Bay will Not be able to run today.  Not only do they lack the talent at RB, but Pittsburgh is just way to good... Now, I am sure Green Bay is WELL AWARE of this.  So what will they do to try and counter this... Well there are only a few things they can do... Number One is Bubble Screens... Number Two is short screens to RB and pass' to the flats.  Will this be successful?  I believe NO and here is why.... When it comes to covering the flats and short screens and bubble screens you need to have a very good OPEN FIELD defense... Pittsburgh RANKS NUMBER 1 in Open Field defense at 0.17 Yards and they are Number 2 defensively in second level yards at 0.85...  Pittsburgh's Defensive line also ranks #1 in the NFL (Green Bay ranks 20th)  Now Both Pittsburgh and Green Bay have good defenses BUT Pittsburgh's defense is SIGNIFICANTLY better... Pittsburgh also leads the NFL with 48 sacks and an adjusted sack rate of 8.3%... Will Rodgers be able to counter act Pittsburgh's success against the rush? the screen? and pass rush?  I believe the answer is no... Its just too many intangibles that favor Pittsburgh substantially.. PLUS Green Bay's offensive line ranks 23rd in the NFL and 23 in sacks given up... This is a HUGE problem going up against Pittsburgh... ESPECIALLY since the weakness of GB is the Strength of Pittsburgh.

What I believe will take place... Pittsburgh is going to run early and often and take advantage of the weakness of Green Bay which is stopping the run... Green Bay is pretty darn good against the pass so Pittsburgh needs to run the ball ALOT and force GB to drop that extra man... If Pittsburgh can do this, Green Bay is in trouble... I believe they will...  If this game some how turns into a shoot out, Green Bay has the edge...  I don't think Pittsburgh will alow this to happen... I can only hope and pray That Pittsburgh pounds pounds and pounds... This will open up the field significantly and create a huge problem for Green bay...

As far as Team offensive efficiency most would think that Green Bay is better... They are not... Pittsburgh ranks Number 5 and Green Bay #7... Not a big discrepancy, so at best they are even... i don't see anywhere on the field where Green bay is better than Pittsburgh... Even Special Teams ... Pittsburgh 16th and Green Bay is 27th...

Like I said I want green Bay to win which is why I made an average play on GB and the over... I bought off both plays, as they were both made prematurely and with out even looking at the game... So, I am going LARGE on the Steelers... And I'm going to make some real fucking money tonight... The better team is clearly getting points guys... there is no debate here... take the fucking points,  A LOT will have to go wrong for Green Bay to win in my opinion... Its way more probable based on numbers and match-ups that Pittsburgh win SU... Now ask yourself, why are they getting pionts????


Pittsburgh Steelers + 3 1/2 (hook) **********10 Units

BOL Guys  I wish you all GL

 

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

how in the world can anyone take this guy serious?

Quote Originally Posted by fab14:

Carma is a bitch

Quote Originally Posted by hammer22:

how in the world can anyone take this guy serious?

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:

you guys are fucking losers, I lost 18% of my NFL winnings this year on the game... Big Deal... Congrats Packers backers

But Starwink (Tinker Bell) You can refer to post # 7... I was dead right

Packers won by 6 points

21 points of 3 turnovers

I said more than 2 turnovers that change field position  and the packers win

The Packers need 3 turnovers to pull out a 6 point win

basically the stars were aligned for the Packers and someone who fumbled TWICE all year fumbled in the 4th and changed the game and ...


Its really easy to bash someones loss ... its even easier to bash someones loss when you don't post your picks...  Starwink you have shown your true character which is why you are a sad old man

Besides the sheep that follow the touts you are the ONLY person who bashes me