CD Newsletter Divisional Round

Cincy +6.5(-105) @ Buffalo 

Cincy +7(-115) @ KC

SF +3(+120) @ TB

SF +3(+100) @ LAR

In Lambeau yesterday was the first time that a punt and kick got blocked in the same playoff game since 1988.

On San Fran's game winning FG, the Packers had only 10 guys on the field.

Special Teams single handedly lost GB the game. In the mains they are arguing over 1000 things that GB didn't/should of done to win. The 2 blocked kicks was a 10 pt swing. What else is there to argue?

The dvoa nerds will be gleaming since they had the Packers ST's rated 32nd.

@undermysac

 U got it....

After just watching the 2nd half you have to admire the 49ers toughness, they gutted it out!

A blocked  punt saved their bacon...JG is shaky at best...

GB had by far the worst special teams in the NFL, and it wasn't close. This was not a one game aberration. Even their FG kicker Crosby had a bad year. Anyone who is shocked that the Packers special teams cost them this game should stop betting

JG is, and has been, the weak part of this team. This is not earth shaking info.

If he plays the next 120 mins of his NFL career at a high level, the 9ers are winning the SB.

That's a really big IF

IMO, if either KC or Buff win in a blowout, then Cinci will be more than a TD dog next week

Exhibit A of why trends are worthless:

No 1 seeds since 2013 were 14-2 straight up in the divisional round.

Yesterday both of the #1's lost outright.

The 8 seasons before 2013, the #1 seeds were 7-9 straight up in the divisional round.

If you can not tie a reasonably logical reason to a trend happening, then that trend is simply random and will adjust to the mean over time.

98.3% of trends are random (as is that percentage), and the trends that aren't random, the line-makers adjusted for them before any gambling knuckleheads were aware they existed.

Sac will love you 

@Hugh_Jorgan

 I feel like somewhere in there you are insinuating that the Books are smarter than me .

Please say it ain’t so 

@philschnaars

As hard as it is to believe, yes the books are smarter than you.

But I'm speaking for you .. not me, as witnessed by the fact that I am 2-6 in the playoffs thus far

@trainwreck66

And I will love sac right back ... from behind 

The public will take those lines there, I agree. I posted those openers(kinda late assuming the juice) for a reason. 

@trainwreck66

 I'm not a blind trend player. When I do play a trend, I try to tie reason and logic to it as Hugh mentioned. 

At this point in the year, that's the best thing that could happen to a bloke such as myself 

Randomness ...

Tannehill threw an INT on his 1st pass of the game, his 1st pass of the 2nd half, and his last pass of the game.

If nothing else, give him credit for starting and ending the game in full Tannehill mode

Food for afternoon thought ...

Bills are 13-5 vs the 2nd half line

@Hugh_Jorgan

 So you’re saying the books are smarter than me, this makes me sad 

@philschnaars

I'm saying that the books understand sarcasm, unlike the guy who took the time to explain to you who Joe Namath is 

Jimmy G has thrown for 300 yards in both playoff games.

Not individually, but in total

27 for 44, 303 yds with 0 TD's and 2 INT's.

SF is 2-0