CD Newsletter Divisional Round

I found this interesting. There are only 3 coordinators (offensive and defensive) in the entire league who were hired prior to 2020 and are still in that position with the same team. 2 of them are from Cincinnati and the other is Spagnuolo from KC. It's either get promoted or get fired for those guys. No in between. 

Let's just say that Roman is less than ideal but not the worst choice if the Bears decide to go there. 

He was run out of  Bmore...

Ravens total now down to 43.5...

Dropped 2.5 points in 2 days...

Tomlin is a great coach, but here’s a not so great stat …

In the Steelers last 5 playoff games they have given up 202 points. Yikes 

If it's Roman, I can't help to think that they will keep Fields, and he'll try to carve out the next Lamar. The framework is all ready there.

At this point I'm just going to trust Ryan Poles. What he did the last 2 years with the draft and free agency has been excellent. 

Now there's a stat you don't hear every day.

I’ll wait until everybody bet it down to 40 and then pound the Over with the books 

Since 2010, playoff double digit favorites are 13-0 S/U, 12-1 ATS, 9-3-1 ATS in the 1Q, and the games have played 10-3 to the over. 

Since 2015 in the playoffs, Saturday home teams are 24-12-1 ATS, Sunday home teams are 23-30-1 ATS.

@Getty3

Doubt it goes down to 40....

Doubt it goes down to 40....

Nice work 

Don't have anything sticking out this week. Big lines if u like dogs

Gl fellers

@undermysac

 Ps u fucked me (yes tw u read that right)

Leans go 3-1 when I don't bet em...the curse of sac

The Bills special teams already one of the worst in the league (28th) according to a widely accepted formula devised by Rick Gosselin will have a new punter this weekend. Add to that a laundry list of Bills defensive injuries and a KC defense that should be worn out after chasing around the Dolphins last week and I'm feeling a Cy Special coming on. Sunday forecast is temps in the 20's with max winds of only 13 mph.

The NFL won't let Allen vs. Mahomes become a slogfest. The referee will be Shawn Hochuli whose crew has been neutral most of this season. Their one drive killing quirk has been to call an above average number of offensive holding penalties. But the 6 wild card round games last week saw a decrease of 50% in offensive holding compared to the regular season average. The league has spoken. On a side note he is 8-2 in Chiefs games over his career and 1-3 for the Bills.

I will play over 45.

If the public is pounding the Under, I’ll make this a Cyrax Special 

@Getty3

Great info 

Come playoff time, you know that the league sends out the memo to "let em play". There has been enough scrutiny this year with shitty reffing as it is.

The Chiefs are slowly becoming my best lean this week.

Just thinking about the Bill's linebacker corps being compromised of backups trying to cover Kelce in the middle, or tackling Pacheco, has to give McDermott heartburn. 

https://www.si.com/nfl/bills/news/buffalo-bills-injury-update-terrel-bernard-taron-johnson-sean-mcdermott-kansas-city-chiefs

I honestly don't think Bernard plays. He was carted off with an air cast in the Pitt game. Although it's now determined only as an ankle sprain, it has to be of the worst kind.

Tyler Matekavich filled in at LB vs Pitt. He got the start. Being a former Steeler LB, and only being known as a special teams player, he was reportedly "jacked" to face his former team. He recorded only 1 tackle in that game.

Patrick Mahomes has been a starter since 2018. In that time, the Chiefs as an underdog are 9-5 SU, and 10-3-1 ats.

If we refine the search to only road games, 7-2 SU, and 8-0-1 ats.

@undermysac

 From the Westgate Superbook "Buffalo's injuries have something to do with this number looking cheap. But in reality our power ratings on the two sides are much closer than you would think. KC is not as vulnerable as people believe." 

Finally get to watch Lions and Rams. 7pm on nfl network. Will record it.

Re-watched KC and Miami yesterday. 

Don't think I'll have to watch TB again, cause the Eagles weren't tackling. Also, I heard on radio today that AJ Brown deleted everything Eagles on all his social media a couple days before the game. Where there's smoke there's fire. This Eagles team gave up weeks ago. Something is wrong in that locker room. 

Only had 4 cigarettes today, 3 yesterday. Holy shit I feel much better. I was over a half pack a day regularly. On fishing days, I'd kill a whole pack. Have to quit.

Our health system is shitty. I can't get a cardiac stress test until Jan 29. It's an insurance thing of some sort. Sportschat, you jinxed me. I think you said something about insurance. 

Anyhow, they said as long as my left arm doesn't go numb, get nauseous, or start sweating profusely, I won't have to go to the ER.

Somebody is winning 

@undermysac

Nobody likes a quitter 

Tell us about the Bills game, superfan

Bills by 7 or more 

Your breakdown of the KC-Buff game is quite detailed.

It is bigred-esque

@Hugh_Jorgan

Bills injuries on D has been spewed throughout the mains . Lots of good capable guys to step up . Plus I think a few of the ?'s play . Insert Von Miller. Its the Bills time and Kelce is soft as fuck now and the Swifties can go blow a crippled goat . Josh Allen mistake free will be the difference . Attach the Bills to all your parlays and other bet slips ...if this loses next play is free 

BTW, the crippled goat part is what made me laugh