Tampa won't be able to run on Detroit but the Lions also give up the highest number of pass plays of 10+ yards in the league. Meanwhile the Bucs defense gave up the 3rd most amount of passing yards in the league. You have no choice but to bet the over here.
Better yet play some receivers props on both teams. I like Rachaad White to be more impactful as a receiver than rusher. Trey Palmer is a great long shot for an anytime TD scorer. Evans at his size (6'5") is a mismatch against a Lions secondary who has no one over 6'0". For Detroit St. Brown is practically an auto bet over on any number, and Jameson Williams is a sweet long shot TD scorer like Palmer.
Don't argue with me. I have a library full of fine leather bound books.