CD Newsletter Playoffs Week 1

@Getty3

I was talking about today only 

You're right ... what was I thinking?!?!?!?

4-0 today, baby!!!

So much talk about the weather in TB ... I believe it is being overstated.

Rain is gone, and the winds will max out at 25mph.

It will have an effect on the game, but not to the extent people are talking about.

One of my shops just went to TB-7 (110)

I'm always looking for dogs, can't find any today. I leaned Bills yesterday but picked Pats just to get a dog in my portfolio, that was a mistake. 

As I'm driving right now, a tout on AM radio just told me the real $ splits between Philly/TB. Can you believe it 60% of the bets and % on Tampa? His "blow out" winner as he so emphatically put it, is the Eagles. Free pick

Hmmm, so with the Bucs missing those guys and the Eagles prolific running game, the Under looks like the best play

@Hugh_Jorgan

 So did Bet365: TB -7 @ 1.86 and Eagles +7 @ 1.96 U/O 47

@Hugh_Jorgan

 Just got a current report from Tampa Int'l which is right next to the stadium. West wind 14mph, gusting to 21 mph. Those conditions are expected to persist until 5pm. Not exactly a gale, but still within the bounds of having an effect on long throws and kicks. 

I took the under but also the Bucs 1H -4.5. If Nick Siriani and Tua's backup from Alabama can outsmart and outplay Arians and Brady from the start, then I'll pay to watch it happen and take a loss.

@Hugh_Jorgan

Been -7 -110 on Pinny for 2 days 

I got my -7 at -118. If it goes down further (juice or points), will make another 1 unit bet.

Arians + Brady + @home > Sirianni + Hurts + @away

I would wager that the Bucs offensive line makes Fournette & R. Jones better, but I could be wrong. But with that in mind, I think Bell & Vaughn will be good enough to avoid a huge drop off, and Bernard will probably be especially active with the short passes and screens. 

Just my 2 cents.

I'm gonna dig into the piggy bank...

TB 1H -4.5(-105) *5.25/5.00

Jalen Hurts INT(-130) *1.30/1.00

Deebo Samuel U29.5 Rushing Yds   -109

@trainwreck66

 That's sneaky and ballsy. Good luck

Took 3 plays for the refs to put their stamp on this game. Horrible roughing call on Eagles

@undermysac

If the Cowboys coaching staff cant see whats been going on the last 4 weeks .....Im fucked 

At least the books are giving a tell with a low #. What has his rush prop been recently?

This Philly/TB is going exactly how I envisioned. 

The Bucs are loading the box with Todd Bowels firing off blitzes as usual. They have zero respect for Hurts throwing ability and taking away the run.

The Hurts so good has completed exactly one pass to one of his 3 WRs and it gained no yards. If Goedert isn't open, it's an automatic checkdown to the RB. He has no vision downfield.

+$600 

Good job, sac.

@undermysac

@undermysac

Dallas 1H -2(-110) *2.00/1.82

Pollard O33.5 rush(-110) *1.00/.91

My numbers say 10.17-15.20 Dallas win in the 1H. Good Luck