Thursday night tilt. America's Team vs the Lombardi hoisting TB Bucs and the GOAT.
TB favored by 7.5.
For starters, I don't always bet on Dallas, but I never bet against them. Also, it is very rare that I lay a TD or more in an NFL game, so this is a play on the Boys or just sit back and watch the game.
The entire world seems to know that the SB champs have returned all 22 starters. We all suffer from recency bias, and we all seen what TB's D did to the mighty Chiefs in the SB. I'm not fooled into thinking this group is as dominant as the talking heads would have you believe.
KC was missing both starting Tackles, and Mahomes was hobbled. The previous week they gave up 26 to GB, and should have lost that game. The playoff game before that they gave up 20 to the Saints, and anyone who watched that game witnessed future HOFer Brees have the worst game of his career. He had some open WR's, he just couldnt get the ball there with his bad shoulder. The opening game of the playoffs was against WFT, where TB gave up 23 points to an inept offense playing with their 3rd staring QB.
In the last 3 weeks of the season, Atl put up 27 points on them twice. Matter of fact, for the season including playoffs (20 games total) they had 4 dominating performances on D. But all everyone wants to talk about is the SB because everyone watched it and we all have recency bias.
I'm not saying that Dallas will walk into TB and win, but if Dak and their RT Collins are healthy they will put up at least 27 points on them. We won't know the full health of Daks shoulder until the game starts. I think it was a good sign for the Boys that they didn't trade for Minschew. Had they made such a move for a borderline starting caliber QB, it would raise concerns for me as to Dak's health.
Lastly, the Cowboys defense will get better as the season progresses, but there might be some growing pains early on. I love what they did in FA as well as the draft.
Signing Neal, a former Falcon safety, to play LBer will instantly correct all the assignment mistakes that group had last year. Then getting Malik Hooker, who was a stud for the Colts before the injuries, was a tremendous pickup if he is healthy. He was one of the best safeties in football before injuries took their toll. He is still young. Lastly, they signed Hooker, who will start at one of the safety spots, and he is an immediate upgrade over the trash that played that position last year. LBer Micah Parson will be the only rookie who starts for Dallas in week 1. All I can say is watch this kid play. I'm sure the cameras will be focused on him. This kid is special. The Boys still have an issue with their interior D line. Hopefully Urban can make a difference.