CD Newsletter Week 10

The Raiders have as many turnovers this year as the Commanders have total punts, 19.

You're welcome ABN 

I have something that I need to get off my chest. Just a friendly reminder that I was in attendance at Arrowhead Stadium last year for Taylor Swift's first Chiefs game.

Thank you

OK ABN...slide rule time (simplistic example)

All stats are all time -

6.5% of games end in draws (after OT of course)
Thus 93.5% end  with a winner
So, 46.75% chance of a win (in OT)

2 pt conversion since 2015 is 47.5% (abysmal 30ish% YTD)
Extra pt conversion rate  95%

.95 x .4675 = .444125 or 44.4%, which is less than 47.5%  Of course the 2 pt conversion rate fluctuates from team to team, but the top 15 offences should go for it EVERYTIME (i.e Bengals). ABN - if you want to be my OC, get with the program.

NBA is similar. I won't show because nobody on here gives 2 flying fucks. But take the 3 to win EVERYTIME.

Talk about being humble... jeez man, we can't all be so lucky and privileged, like yourself...

@lbcake

Dude, nobody likes a nerd!

@yaongingy

 I agree. 

Football match - 22 players and ref (23 total - fuck the linesmen)
Did you know there is a 50.7% chance that 2 of them have the same birthday.

I agree, starting NOW.

@lbcake

No you're just showing off

As I biased Barca fan though, I must stand up for linesmen, we would be fucked without them, and VAR

That is outstanding 

I'm not arguing as your points are valid...bungles D was reeling and most likely were not going to stop them in OT if they didn't get the ball first...it's just a deflating game to lose when they were controlling most of the game only to not at least have a fighting chance....I won my +6 with them so I was ok, but damn these Thursday night blind unders are peeling my skin back....unders were hitting like gold at the beginning of this year and last year and then I auto under them and teams are scoring like its fucking pickle ball....

Hey, is that Freedom Rock you're playin....why yes it is, well turn it up man....

@undermysac

 and now the Raiders are headlining the sports page for firing 3 offensive coaches last week...the commitment to excellence is at the unemployment line

Whats everyone wearing?

Besides tea cups and crumputs

31-37-5 (-3.43) YTD

Vikings 1Q -.5(-110) *2.20/2.00

Vikings 1H -3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

This bet really has nothing to do with Mac Jones, but it makes it much better that he's starting. He'll be up against it vs a D that is an absolute beast in the 1Q and 1H.

On the flip side, the Jags dropback epa and success rate in the 1H is the worst in the league, vs a qb who's completion % is amongst the best in the 1H.

Saints +3.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

ML(+162) *.25/.41

No explanation needed to why I'm betting this. Just have to.

Cardinals ML(+110) *1.00/1.10

Seriously, who the fuck are the Jets to be favored otr against anyone? Every fuckin week the "sharps" are on them, their line gets inflated, and they lose and don't cover.

Getty said it best last week, perhaps the Cardinals are better than advertised. I agree. They are 5-4 and have faced the 2nd hardest schedule(per dvoa) to date. The Jets on the other hand are 3-6 and have faced the 19th hardest schedule to date.

So last week they beat a Texan team at home, on a short week, that is beat up to hell, and maybe the Texans aren't all they were in 2023. As some have predicted in the CD summer newsletter. 

Let's not forget that this sharp Jets team lost 5 games in a row, book ended by a Patriots loss in week 8.

This is the Jets 3rd road game in 4 weeks, and they haven't had a bye yet.

Their special teams are horrific. They don't have a HC.

Looking at a couple more, will post Sunday morning if the lines move the right way. In the meantime, looks like tomorrow might be my last outing on the boat. Sad times.

I'm currently sporting some denim jeans, grey boxers and a t-shirt with white socks and some black vans, as it is casual Friday at the office. I'm kind of feeling like my deodorant is wearing off right now...I've been in and out of fire zones and messin with flammable back yard shit but it's only been 9 hours since applied the deodorant so it should still be working....I might need to send a powerful message to the distributors if I can't make it home without smelling of under arm chicken ranch...

And you sire, what thou youst be wearin? 

The Bears were right in firing Luke Getsy, that dude is terrible. Why the Raiders hired him is beyond me.

But for some unforseen reason the Bears kept offensive line coach Chris Morgan around(the only hold over from Getsy's crew). And look at the Bears o line it's awful. Not exactly the right strategy when drafting a qb #1 overall. 

I swear the PB crew could probably run a nfl team better than some of these organizations. 

Took everything off as soon as I seen this post

CAL / Wale Forest Over 55 ( 10u )  

Boxers and a mesh Coors Light cowboy hat 

LOL

Getty ,  What do you think about the Jags pulling an upset at home?  I'm thinking of playing Jag +7 , ML+255  

Why do you like the Jags Cy? I can't find anything to back them, or to stay off the Vikings. 

Don't be a Biscuiteater