CD Newsletter Week 11

@lbcake

I'm on Qatar PK +120    

@djbrow

 I honestly think it was the first bet I put in when the lookaheads popped out.  Vikes and maybe Commies at -2.5

Speaking of Minny, U. Of Minny ran their stud back 39 times for 263 yards. 

Impressive. 

I remember when Edgerin James had 55 yards on 36 carries vs DA BEARS, 2006, in Glendale AZ. That's awful. 

Urlacher had 19 tackles, Briggs had 15.

Grossman threw 4 pics.

Bears were down 0-20 at halftime. 

Bears had 9 first downs, AZ had 17.

Bears win, they are who we thought they were, and we let them off the hook. Crown their ass.

@Biscuiteater1

 Private school HS  star.......Will play on Sundays......

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/moderator-please-leave-this-thread-at-the-top-let39s-forget-favorite-on-dog-let39s-analyze-teams-practically-read-carefully-103686242/1#last

Listen to post #6, we can do it. We should. It will be done.

can't tell you how many fantasy football games Lance Briggs won me.  Used to play 4 IDPs....2 any D, 1 DB, 1 LB......and I always reached on Briggs.  Point per tackle. Plus extras......

The onus of tackling fell on Lance Briggs 

 That Punta dude is probably a millionaire many times over.....I bet his dad invented a widget that he gets royalties on.  

3 of the top 4 CFB teams went down to the wire and all of the survived, 2 on walk off scores.

The best game next weekend will be Michigan/Ohio ST at the Shoe. Bucks -7.5 on the early line. Curious what you Great Lakes area guys think. 

Week 12 look ahead bets:

Buccaneers -3(-110) *2.00/1.82

Chargers -2.5(-110) *1.50/1.36

Getting healthy at the right time. AZ will be coming off short rest from MNF in Mexico and haven't had a bye yet, LAC have. AZ is 4-6, and their wins have come against the likes of the Rams, Saints, Panthers, and Raiders.

Dolphins -10(-110) *1.00/.91

Hate laying DD's with anyone. But off bye with the Texans coming to town I'll give em a whirl. They have a nice 1-2 punch at RB since acquiring Wilson. The Texans are the clear front runner for the #1 pick, and this is no game to ruin that. The line all ready went to 11 at other books, but DK as usual hangs lines and are late to move em.

Chalk it up 

Nothing until we learn about injuries and weather

getting a little UDMLP in for Sunday

Colts ML
Lions ML 

Rams ML

Chargers ML 

.5u to win 24u

GL        might be able to hedge the SNF game if it gets that far 

Not sure how you bet on a team that bans scissor fucking 

@trainwreck66

 They also banned alcohol, at the games, or didn't allow it to start with, fucking FIFA out of $75 mil from Budweiser, serves them right for taking the bribe, and have the tournament in middle of the desert.

As for BigD's bet: World Cup host has never lost the opening match in 21 World Cups.

@yaongingy

 I heard that it's a mess in Qatar. They had to turn away thousands of people for an opening concert. Sounds like there isn't a lot of space for the event and they're not equipped. In the middle of a dessert, no booze. I doubt that Fifa will be rushing back to this country. 

Dude I like this one, rooting 100%

@undermysac

 The only reason this tournament takes place in such a country is: $$$ they literally bought off FIFA and votes from some countries, to make this happen. In terms of corruption FIFA has only one challenger, the IOC, these 2 are the most corrupt institutions in the world. This is a one off type of things, FIFA wont be doing this again, not in the foreseeable future at least.

This tournament should've been held in the US, Mexico and Canada, but Qatar wanted to flex their muscle and "won" this edition, pushing the US, Mexico and Canada edition to 2026.

All those stadiums were build with literal slave work, people coming from Nepal, India and other poor countries, were brought over there and they took their passports and overworked them to death. It is estimated that at least 15.000 people died, building the stadiums and the infrastructure necessary, for such a competition. The WC always took place in June-July, but because of the heat they moved it to this period, thus halting all the football competitions in Europe and for what? Some delusions of grandeur coming from a country who only has oil money.

Anyway, I'm not a big fan of these types of tournaments, imo this edition is gonna be a shitshow, and it should've never taken place in such a country, but ignorance is bliss...

@undermysac

 Buddy you sure got the best # with the Bears, the 3 is juiced now. 

BOL to the  plays. 

Looking at Falcons ML to buy out possibly middle

@undermysac

 I like it too.  Which means it’s doomed at 12:01 

NFL 49-40-5 (+18.17)

Cowboys -1.5(-110) *2.50/2.27

Jets +4.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Bears +4(-110) *1.00/.91

Lions +3.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Ravens -11.5(-110) *1.00/.91

Lions 1H +2.5(-110) *1.10/1.00

Lions 1H ML(+135) *.40/.54

Patriots ML(-170) *1.00/.59

Rams ML(+130) *.75/.98

Bengals 1H -2.5(-110) *.75/.68

Bengals 1H -3(+105) *.25/.26

Smart $ is on Pitt, once again Tomlin is a home dog and vs division. We were on Pitt last week, and I'm thinking that it will be much more difficult for lightning to strike twice. I have read very good arguments for Pitt, as they run 2 high safeties a lot and won't need to blitz, and that's Burrow's weakness.

Non the less, the $ has brought this line down enough for a 1H wager. The Bengals defense has been lights out their last few games in the 1H, recording ridiculous epa ranks in that span. #1 in the league overall, #1 in drop back and #5 vs the rush. And they out rank Pitt on offense fairly significantly in the same span.

Did you know, the Bengals are #1 in net drive success rate this year? #3 in net points, and #4 in net yards per drive. Respectfully, Pitt is #27, #32, and #30.

Pitt tied the Saints in the 1H last week, and the Saints are pathetic imo. This is the Bengals, coming off a bye with revenge on their minds. Hold on tight as we ride with the public here. 

Ecuador strikes first, and early.

Anyone have Bills player props?  I have nothing for that game yet.   Take a look at Singletary or Allen rushing.  Browns have allowed 2nd most Rush TD's, and are 6th worst in opponent yards/carry.  Lots of running especially if the Bills are protecting Allen's arm