CD Newsletter Week 16......

All dressed in purple....

I agree, hard to lay 6 with Balty.

Excellent teaser leg though imo.  Walk away at kick with 3.5 or 4 and Balty?  I will include that in a 3 teamer.  Or Balty ML parlay with Bucs or Chargers

The Bucs/Chargers parlay ML is aging well.  Bucs ML now -370, chargers now -220.  When I bet them it was -275 and -200, and I got better than even money............+104

Obviously still love the play, but it pays like .19 units less now......

Might include it in another......

Steelers down to -2(-102)...

Who is betting the Raiders?

Some really weird line moves last few weeks, I don't get it

@undermysac

I was thinking about this a ton last night watching the Jags Jets game.  I still could not believe how the line moved in favor of the Jets.  

If so many people are gambling now, can so many people's smaller bets add up to a big enough handle to move a line?  How many New Jersey/New York people threw $25/$50/$100 on the Jets last night out of spite and just rooting.  Holiday parties, etc etc.....how does it happen.  

Nobody ever lost a dollar......underestimating......yada yada yada

@Jdd

It was the return of #95 Quinnen Williams ..monster inside DT..

Weather changing at halftime...Jags couldnt handle it......

Noooooooooooooo.....

@JDD

 It's not just that "so many people are gambling now" are just recreational bettors either.

There seem to be an absurd amount of "smart groups" and syndicates all of a sudden. 

Big $ moving lines, and they aren't necessarily hitting at a good clip either.

I listen to a lot of pods and read my fair share. I've come across a lot of head scratching stuff. Sometimes when I agree with some of the moves, it still makes me pause. Like fuck, I don't want to be on the same side as some of these dudes.

I definitely thought that the return of Williams was a very good thing for the Jets.

But the bottom line was, that it was Trevor vs Wilson. No way I could back the Jets yesterday. 

I'm glad that Getty had that game pinned and won. Should of tailed in hindsight. 

Lions/Bengals/Dolphins ML Parlay +305

And Pitt down to -1.5

I hate them...and I bet them

Think the Raiders get blown out...

Andy Dalton yards prop is 135. Lol. Is he offended? 
maybe Taysom Hill rush yards over might be a good idea

If anyone here thinks that the Bears are a sharp side tomorrow, tap the brakes my friends. 

The Bears best o lineman Tevin Jenkins is out, the Bears best LB Jack Sanborn is out, the Bears best CB Jaylon Johnson is out, Bears o lineman Cody Whitehair is out, Bears starting Nickel Back Kindle Vildor is out, Bears #2 WR Equanimeous St. Brown is out, Chase Claypool is doubtful.

Not to mention Darnell Mooney and Eddie Jackson put on IR 3 weeks ago.

Shrimp are dead to me.  Had em last week in a teaser +8.5.  As expected the defense held Cleve to 13 but still couldn’t cover.  Justin Tucker 1 for 3?  Abandoned the run and Huntley shit the bed.  

Falcons for me

 Brownies & Saints   O/U 31.5 .........Might be a play for me... I'm following the money...Still pondering how much to put on it...

Follow the sub zero weather and heavy wind  

@Lifebythedrop

 A buddy had them plus 9 points.....he was WTF....

Game might not hit 20...

Cyrax  BWS is trying to help u....

Going for a bold strategy tomorrow. Will play all of the AFC North minus the points. It's their time of year.

Bungles -3

Brownie the Elf -2.5

Shrimp -6.5

Steel City -1.5

May have had one too many Ancient City Galleon Ales when making the bets but it felt right at the time. 

Ok Red , I'll layoff the Brownie game....

@undermysac

 Ridder played @ New Orleans last week in his debut 

It's 8 degrees now,he will run for his life....

First outdoor game is what I meant to type

I bet on him last week

If you would have told me before the Lion / Panther line came out that it was Lion - 3 and asked me about the movement, i would have said with confidence that it would get to -4...so much for that.

Something else i don't understand is why all these sat games, wouldn't there be more of a captive audience tomorrow.