GH you said it with umpires being the key to getting an "edge" with totals. That said, I am positive the bulk of your profits were from sides last season. (Those who also paid close attention in 09 would probably agree with that assessment).
Did you ever go back and break it down - I remember asking you later in the year and you hadn't done so at that time. Just curious.
In any event you have an obvious skill set for finding long term value in the moneyline in any case, great work. 
I feel like i just read your thesis for your doctors degree. Awesome stuff but the main point you almost forgot is MONEY MANAGEMENT. But everything else is written so eloquently with such detail. Thank you GH I will definately be following some of your picks this season and cannot wait for this upcoming season. I never bet on spring training and wish u the best of luck. I will stick tomarch madness and nba until baseball season starts.
Here is to a profitable but yet fun coming up season in baseball. We and I speak for the rest of covers members wish u the best of luck
What happened last year. All Dogs?
You are missing the fact that the linesmakers know this and this kind of stuff is all factored into the line. Rarely do you see teams that are +300 or higher in mlb, usually the highest on most days is around +200 or so. While in the nba, you'll have dogs that are +1500 or higher on any given day. If anything, mlb bettors take TOO MANY dogs because they are afraid to lay the juice even if it warrants being laid.
If you're betting on the worst teams every day, there is no guarantee you will profit on them just like any other sport. You need to find value in the underdogs you take, and likewise, find the value in the favorites. Too many people in here stick to taking dogs only, when you really should be taking almost an even mix of favorites/dogs. Just my two cents, gl this year game.
Agree
SABREMETRICS 
Manny Acta agrees with you here and it's already paying dividends for the Tribe's pitchers.
oops forgot the link: https://cleveland.indians.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100319&content_id=8846904&vkey=news_cle&fext=.jsp&c_id=cle
I incorporate countless other factors into my handicapping which would take hours and hours to try and explain and it might not even make total sense. Regardless of the factors you utilize as a handicapper, look for factors that are relevant to you which make you feel a team is being undervalued by the general public and linemakers. In your mind, never say, I love the Tigers tomorrow without knowing the line. If you love the Tigers that day, love them because you feel there are factors important to you that provide value in your investment in relation to the line and not just because you think the Tigers will win. When you look for value instead of just who will win, you will become a much better baseball handicapper.
The fact that I have won every season in baseball at Covers does not necessarily mean I will win every year or in particular, this year. Just like many of the most successful teams in professional sports, a good handicapper can have a down year. I am confident coming into the season, but I also need to learn from my mistakes. Last year I was up over +80 units (averaging 1.5 units per game) at the All-Star break and ended up giving almost ¾’s of it back the second half the season. In previous years, I have struggled the first month or two and then came on strong as the season progressed. Baseball betting requires extreme discipline, expert money management and constant analysis and research. I learned the hard way last season that getting lazy and cutting corners does not work. I am not asking anyone to tail me but am just sharing my advice. I wish everyone the best of luck this upcoming season.
In MLB, 'value' overpowers winning % ..this is supported by your assessment on the RunLine, and Dog wagering. Clearly the highest winning % connected to value in sports wagering..say none..Excellent introduction to MLB hadicapping, vg article to concept, and developed 'form'....good work Game, may you have a prosperous 2010 MLB season, your effort is appreciated, as always.....
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