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NBA & NCAA Season Long Hoops Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD

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Legend
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Posted: #1651
When the Russian mob wants the 3rd Q to go under, nobody is allowed to score 
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Legend
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Posted: #1652
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Locking in:

Jazz ML +140 ( just moved down)


Digging into more games right meow.  Will post this afternoon as I will be out drinking and playing Cornhole later ( yes, thats right.  Cornhole)

Thanks for this ML dog...i nailed it...pm you...high 5
How was cornhole? Any live ingame drunk wagering on it?

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Posted: #1653
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Locked in:

Irkutsk +12.5...ingame wager at halftime down 13 pts as a basic pickem game between 2 evenly matched mediocre teams....i expect a total opposite result in the 2nd half, and ML +600 i truly believe is live, and i have it sprinkled for quarter unit only because im running good this morning with all my personal non posted wagers along with the 2 above....however tread lightly...again this is Russia hoops where anything mafia related is possible and probable.

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/ETkzb22G/#game-summary

Irk down 2 pts with 2 min left in the 4th...these scripts im receiving every morning hopefully are helping spread holiday cheer to everyone browsing this thread.
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Posted: #1654
Irk loses by 7...easily covers the halftime wager...following the very popular 4th Q tankjob by the team up by significant margin....this game almost cashed a +600 ML as Irk fought back to be down one possession late in the game before Rodniki pumped a killer 3 to seal the deal.

Happy holidays folks...these daytime hoops ingame wagering lines have been gifts from santa lately.
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Posted: #1655
Locked in:

Usti Nad ML +105...ingame live wager at the half with them up 4 as 7pt home dogs...this is a very specific angle i have developed from experience...with all stats and recent form and head to head metrics plus other intangibles, one would think essentially a pick em line here is an autobet for Paradubice...but not so fast my friend, if that was indeed the case, the halftime line should be closer to Para -3.5, not -1.5 (+100)...i smell a sucker line here looking for Para road fav money on the cheap with this line...thus im gonna zig when the books look like they are choosing to zag.

Tread lightly here, this is truly a -EV play based on math, however tracking this game, i feel Usti is in full control to pull away here in the 2md half to earn a nice win....FYI... Para was up early 15-4 and the live line was -12.5....Usti scored 12 straoght points to make it 16-15 and have been going toe to toe ever since.

True heat check type wager here for me.
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Posted: #1656
If only this thread had one loyal troll, id kindly ask him to conduct a full audit of this threads winning %...feels like we are hovering at quite an impressive 65% win rate or even higher....comically i think im the only one betting international hoops, but thats ok...we are all in this together and just maybe i am opening up alot of peoples eyes regarding where to find potential winners based simply on +EV and stats...because truly the same principles carry over the NBA and somewhat in college (dont ever forget nothing is easy when betting on college kids playing for free education, and not real cash)...live wagering is 99% about getting in your chips with the best odds...aka +EV...and hoping for the best.
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Posted: #1657
Usti extends their lead...up 7 after 3 Qs 

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/j5cUKgh7/#game-summary
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Legend
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Posted: #1658
Tracking Dabrowa...currently they are tanking the 1st half...hopefully this sets up a nice halftime wager for them at + $ on the ML if down around 8 or more. ....they shouldnt lose this game based on metrics

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/v3wp1sjm/#h2h;away
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Posted: #1659
Sibenik also tanking first half as a 21 pt home fav...hopefully this too sets up well for a + EV pointspread line at halftime....they should clearly whoop this team, but in Euro hoops they always go according to the script...no matter what seems most obvious

https://www.flashscore.ca/game/8W2eK9tj/#h2h;overall
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Posted: #1660
Also, keep a close eye on CKSA right now they are pumping Khimki hard...when they blowout their opponents like this in the 1st H...they typically lay a total egg in the 4th Q, assuming they play semi-competitively in the 3rd Q to maintain their halftime lead +/- a few points...CKSA is historicslly good at allowing massive back door covers to occur when it seems so unlikely.
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Posted: #1661
Temple +3
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #1662
No plays for me upcoming on Dabrowa and Sibenik....both 2nd Q have swung back towards the fav, thus these lines now are more on par where they should be...passing on these.
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Posted: #1663
Usti wins 78-77 in a crazy 4th Q back and forth...if they played 61min in this game, Parad wins this one 100% of the times...but when the peoples champ is running on fire, he knows the game is only 60min long.

This was truly a golden gem hidden in the weeds based on my experience and faith in the fiahy halftime line trying to bait Parad $...gotta stay out of these traps and spot a winning edge wherever and whenever possible.
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Posted: #1664
No play on CSKA moving forward...they let off the gas in the 2nd Q and the line is close to where it should be leaving no value either way
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Posted: #1665

I am taking a flyer on Vytautas +7.5 entering the 4th Q Siauliai. Started at +3.5 FG, I think.

Been closely watching CSKA/Khimky. Waiting on your next move. The line was 12 and it is almost there at HT.

 
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Posted: #1666
Locked in:

Sibenik -6 for 3rd Q (half unit...purely a heat check and stats play )......they slipped up halfway thru the 2nd Q, and now only up 2 at half...i think they come out focused out of the lockerroom and take care of business early and often in the 3rd Q, and coast in the 4th...the road team surely cannot keep up with this team for a 3rd straight Q, can they? 
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Posted: #1667
Good luck ParlayB....i have zero feell for that league...never have, never will...i know my weaknesses and my strengths...and the Baltic league is definitely one of those leagues that are dead to me.
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Posted: #1668
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Mental Notes:

Purdue is really good
Gonzaga is not very impressive...look to fade them in conference play when the line seems overly inflated
Arizona is coming around nicely...look for them to dominate conferemce play
TexasAM is really good
Florida St seems to be clicking offensively
Stephen F Austin and UT Arlington are nice little sleeper teams...hope they make the tourney...possible 1st round cinderella upset special
Portland St wow...if you dont have these guys on your daily cards for pointspread and over autobets, you simply arent paying attention or you dont like winning money...or both.

Knicks...great home team vibe right now...this team is way ahead of schedule...their win yesterday showed alot of guts to blow the big lead to their arch rivals...get down 7 in the 3rd Q, only to fight back and dominate in the 4th Q...all with just 1 point from the unicorn...wow.

Good thread fellas...strong bounceback Thursday...Cavs classicly point shaved yesterday...anyone who tries to say they didnt just isnt aware of the hidden NBA storylines and required talking points for sports talkshows and radio...nevertheless...Cavs and Overs still making alot of money for us...and ingame live ML wagers on Cavs are great bailouts when spotted.

Onto today...lets make it great here...best thread going on this site with everyones chatter insights and winners...shake off the misreads and bad beats...happens to everyone...still wondering how that Duke Evansville game stayed under...oh well...great cappers just accept these duds as the cost of doing business...the peoples champ wants to wish everyone here a happy holiday season and wonderful family and friends time with the upcoming long weekend almost here...i will do my best to keep posting as much as possible, but if i disappear until mid next week, you know im having a great time with my family....cheers to all 

likewise, PB. happy holidays to you and your loved ones
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #1669

Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Locked in:Sibenik -6 for 3rd Q (half unit...purely a heat check and stats play )......they slipped up halfway thru the 2nd Q, and now only up 2 at half...i think they come out focused out of the lockerroom and take care of business early and often in the 3rd Q, and coast in the 4th...the road team surely cannot keep up with this team for a 3rd straight Q, can they?

Tailing Sibenik -5.5 3Q.

 
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Posted: #1670
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:


Thanks for this ML dog...i nailed it...pm you...high 5
How was cornhole? Any live ingame drunk wagering on it?


once I saw the Cavs killed my teaser I doubled up on Utah ML at +120 ( original bet was +140)

so with Idaho St. and Utah it ended up being a good night.  I might slow down on the props for now.  It seems the ones I end up playing result in blowouts so my player is at risk of sitting most of the game.  That said, the Demar Derozan points prop was a no brainer last night
 
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Posted: #1671
Locked in:

Sibenik -4.5...ingame after 3rd Q...double dipping anither half unit...cant believe how poorly they played that 3rd Q...time to finish strong
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Posted: #1672
temple looking like a high school team. play some friggin' defense. they just allow these guys to drive to the hole every play. spekaing of driving to the hole, how about fixing the god awful 26% FG stat by not relying on deep shots. wow
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Posted: #1673

Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Locked in:Sibenik -4.5...ingame after 3rd Q...double dipping anither half unit...cant believe how poorly they played that 3rd Q...time to finish strong

I got my half unit back on KK Alkar +7.5.

We both win again. an_cheers

 
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Posted: #1674
Locked in:

Temple +18.5...ingame wager when down 49-27...this beatdown cannot continue endlessly...look for Temple to get atleast one good run here while Georiga gets sloppy
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Posted: #1675
Locked in:

Temple ML +1225 quarter unit...i feel the regression back to the original line is happening...temple on a nice little run now to cut the lead down to 15...they need a few more 3s to drop and this game gets juicy
Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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