2) ALWAYS FLAT BET. At the beginning of every year pick how much you wan't to win each game and always bet to win the same amount. It is much easier to win 55-60% of your games over the course of a year then to predict which games are better than others over the course of a year when the future games have yet to be played (if that makes sense).
2) Remember that you should not make your wagers if you are emotionally unstable. If you just had a big win, just had a bad beat loss, your girlfriend just broke-up with you, you are drunk or under the influence of drugs etc. you shouldn't be looking at games and you shouldn't be making bets.
One....Two...Five
Three, sir!