The games are based on a system. Details in the systems and strategies forums. Philly is currently OTB but I will be taking them as soon as the line is posted, most likely at -9. I will update the line on that game when I put it in.
-Stats
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NFL Week 4 Picks
23-8-1 74.19% for the season
1. Tampa Bay -10
2. New England -4
3. Green Bay -13
4. Carolina +6.5
5. St. Louis pk
6. Houston -4
7. Tennessee +1
8. Detroit +1.5
9. Philadelphia OTB
10. Baltimore -3.5
The games are based on a system. Details in the systems and strategies forums. Philly is currently OTB but I will be taking them as soon as the line is posted, most likely at -9. I will update the line on that game when I put it in.
The two i'm really not sure about is the Buccaneers -10 and Packers -13, especiallly with such a high stake. Do you really think they will cover with such a high spread?
like all the other plays though
BOL
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The two i'm really not sure about is the Buccaneers -10 and Packers -13, especiallly with such a high stake. Do you really think they will cover with such a high spread?
Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games
makes me a little uncomfortable backing the bucs on such a big line, same as what i said before but i saw this trend which doesnt help
much
BOL
I do not put much weight into trends like this. You can go to the matchups on covers and click on trends and there will be numerous trends that you can use for either team in a game. Like these
Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Buccaneers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Buccaneers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
Those mean nothing to me either.
I can not guarantee a TB win but I can tell you the probability of them covering is high so they warrant a bet. For you guys who play poker I am sure you have lost with a set to a flush draw many times. Well that's what we have in this game (almost). Let's hope we are not sucked out on.
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Quote Originally Posted by SAyR:
What do you make of this trend stats?
Indianapolis @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back home games
makes me a little uncomfortable backing the bucs on such a big line, same as what i said before but i saw this trend which doesnt help
much
BOL
I do not put much weight into trends like this. You can go to the matchups on covers and click on trends and there will be numerous trends that you can use for either team in a game. Like these
Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Buccaneers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Buccaneers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
Those mean nothing to me either.
I can not guarantee a TB win but I can tell you the probability of them covering is high so they warrant a bet. For you guys who play poker I am sure you have lost with a set to a flush draw many times. Well that's what we have in this game (almost). Let's hope we are not sucked out on.
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