The Kids From M.I.T. Beat Blackjack, This Kid From Cornell Is Going To Beat Sports Betting.

Your Ivy league paper took runner up?

You missed random walk.  And gambling doesn't have mean reversion. 

The question you should have asked is how often do you go broke before you get your average success rate back to the 55% to 60% number.

First Week, High Totals? Be wary over players. Teams that come into the season looking to make a big bang in week one lighting up the score board are not usually the teams that are set by the odds makers to do so. A system well known by gamblers is play the under in totals higher then 42 in week one. I will take it a step further. Along my journey I was introduced to the system of playing week one games under the total if in fact the total is higher then 44 points. If we look at this system dating back to the start of the 1999 season the UNDER in Week One Games with a total HIGHER THEN 44 POINTS has gone 37-18. For those of you who like the winning percentage side of things, that’s 67% over the past 10 seasons. Now, to make things even better for you winning percentage junkies, this system has been even better since the boom of online sports betting in the early 2000’s. Since the start of the 2003 season, following this same system, you would of cashed your ticket at the betting window 27 of 36 times! That is a very nice 75% winning percentage that will definitely pad your wallet early in the season. To make things even better, this system is currently on a 17-3 85% run dating back to 2005!

This system is so affective because the book knows that generally speaking the public bettors love playing overs. I won’t lie, I love playing overs as well, but because of this, you must be careful when backing this publically loved bets. Early in the season, bettors have not seen a football game in nearly 6 months and are ready to rear up and fire away. These lines have been hyped up since early in the summer and there have been weeks and weeks of previews on ESPN, Websites and in Magazines. These previews are almost always more offensively focused then defensively focused, because the players the people want to hear about are the star players in the skill positions. This creates a large cloud of “offense-itis” among bettors. Put two seemingly explosive teams in a game set up for a week one shootout...except low scores.

How did this system do last season? Well going into last season the system was on a 12-1 run. If you have done the quick math you can see it went 5-2 just a year ago. However, of those five wins were all by double digits. It’s no secret, defences come together quicker then offenses. Offensive football is all about timing and rhythm. This may take a team a quarter, a game or many weeks in the case of some, forever.

There are a number of games which could qualify for the system this week but it all starts tonight with Minnesota New Orleans. I am locked in at UNDER 49 POINTS.

Also, for those of you who like to get your action over with early. There is a system regarding underdogs on the road early in the season in the first quarter. With all dogs at least getting +0.5 in the first quarter or better, low scores usually means a field goal or touchdown in the first quarter by the underdog secures the victory. I will not disclose this system because I can not document these plays on a tracking website. I will post these for those who wish to observe and or follow.

Tonight there will be a play on MINNESOTA VIKINGS +0.5 1ST QUARTER.

In recap,

MINNESOTA NEW ORLEANS UNDER 49 (-110)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS +0.5 1ST QUARTER

Guys, you're missing the point here. This guys' money managment system is very valid.  Now his handicapping prowess is another topic all together, time will tell how he does at that.  Going with his method and following FEZZIK in the Hilton Contest may be not be a stupid thing to do, but we degenerates usually have an OPINION that generally fucks us up...LOL

Good luck Bryce, I wish you a great NFL season

It will be a great season, no need to follow anyone but the information.

Information? The winner of the Hilton Contest has hit well over 60% the last few years that I've been follwing it, that seems to me to be pretty solid, time tested, "information"  Is FEZZIK the guy this year? Who knows? All I'm saying is that it's time tested and YOUR "information", other than your flat betting system is not. I hope you're the second coming of Nostodamus, but time will tell.

Tell me more about your "information" Bryce

I don't get all the hate right out of the gate. Don't follow anyone that you don't respect. However, to blindly bash a guy out of the gate doesn't seem cool.

Everyone was quick to bash previous touts that I won't name, yet they eagerly followed their picks. I know of three guys that are gone for that reason that started out with a cult-like following.  Don't feel like you have to be the tout sniffing bloodhounds. These things show themselves sooner or later. If some tout wanna be comes in here with good picks, the haters will cork it quickly.  If he loses, then you won't have to waste your time dissuading followers. 

As superstitous as most on here are with terms like "lock" and taking credit for a win before the game is even over, you would think a little good karma and well wishes wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. At the very least, cork the bashing ladies.

Line has dropped 5 points since the open. Could have had it at 54  Books must have got word of the system

GL with the play bro-

Tailing blindly lets roll.....and I went to Harvard!