ok, it seems like you need a reality check. I am always interested in some ones idea of how to make money, but your math needs a tune up. Did you know there is one day in Vegas every year where a horse doesn't run, and there is no sports to bet on. My wife loves it.
1.91 plays a day, ok let's just say 2 plays a day and $44.00 on each play. I specialize in pro football, so with a six month season, I should play 4 plays a day, but wait, Sunday is probably the only day for me to do that and there are only 17 sundays, but I could feed one off on Monday. I need to make 712 plays a year, and if I bet every game this year, I only have 256 plays. That leaves me 456 plays short.
After 5 years, I am 2280 plays short. So lets say I hit 55% at $50.00 a game, actually $55.00 and I am betting every game. If I win 141 games, the book paid me 14,805.00 (105 x 256), I risked 14,080. (256 x $55.00) My profit is $725.00.
Over five years my profit would be 3,625.00. That's 5.5% of a $1000.00 bankroll.
I agree with your flat bet, it's not something new. I'm not here to cut you down, and I don't care about your Cornell background?, if you think you have something figured out, It never hurts to expose it There are alot of guys on this site that have been doing this for a long time, including myself.
The game changes every year with new rules put in, change in player personell, head coaches, weather, and injuries. To get a winning percentage in any sport, requires work, time to do the work, and money
I don't know too many gamblers that are good all year around and in several different sports. It is not feasable, or smart. My advice is to get good at one sport, make your money and take the rest of the time off. It won't be that much time off either. You have to prep for the following season and good gamblers won't try to cram all the knowledge they need two weeks before the season starts.
If your a true handicapper, you want to remain sharp in what your successful at. Too many other sports will draw your attention away from your bread and butter. October is Vegas's favorite month. You have college football, NFL, Baseball playoffs, Hockey, and Baskets. It's my favorite too.
GL in your book.
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