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    The Kids From M.I.T. Beat Blackjack, This Kid From Cornell Is Going To Beat Sports Betting.

    «First Previous 678 ... 161718 Next Last»
    flogger
    JSkrilla
    nuggetmonster
    Jordan032503
    wjeremy97
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    «First Previous 678 ... 161718 Next Last»
     
    flogger
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 9:31 AM ET #126

    Good Luck Bryce!  Thanks for the info.  Most of us appreciate it.  I know statistics are a big help.  Most of us do not us them.  I know of a guy who worked for Marc Lawrence (heard of him through his ex-girlfriend).  He had volumes of statistics.  Look at how Marc makes his picks - all statistics.  He has made a good living (albeit selling his work).  I have been to Cornell - Lehigh grad.  Keep up the good work.  flogger
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    Good Luck Bryce!  Thanks for the info.  Most of us appreciate it.  I know statistics are a big help.  Most of us do not us them.  I know of a guy who worked for Marc Lawrence (heard of him through his ex-girlfriend).  He had volumes of statistics.  Look at how Marc makes his picks - all statistics.  He has made a good living (albeit selling his work).  I have been to Cornell - Lehigh grad.  Keep up the good work.  flogger
     
    JSkrilla
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 10:07 AM ET #127

    Hey Bryce great post's. System sounds good I'll wait and see how ur handicapping skills work. Great under on the Minny - New Orleans. Allready on a good start keep on rolling bud
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    Hey Bryce great post's. System sounds good I'll wait and see how ur handicapping skills work. Great under on the Minny - New Orleans. Allready on a good start keep on rolling bud
     
    nuggetmonster
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 10:35 AM ET #128

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    Jordan032503
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 11:50 AM ET #129

    all I have to said is ,You have to ignore  all the negative comments on here and keep do you things. You will have some haters, but most of us will appreciated your times, and your contribution on here. Good luck  this season  Nice pick on the UNDER
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    all I have to said is ,You have to ignore  all the negative comments on here and keep do you things. You will have some haters, but most of us will appreciated your times, and your contribution on here. Good luck  this season  Nice pick on the UNDER
     
    wjeremy97
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 12:14 PM ET #130

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    caliwolverine99
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 12:31 PM ET #131



    Took Saints game under, but pushed at -5.
    Looking forward to your weekend NCAA/NFL picks.
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    Took Saints game under, but pushed at -5.
    Looking forward to your weekend NCAA/NFL picks.
     
    VGPOP
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 12:47 PM ET #132

    Let me get this straight....

    I start with $1,000 in my bankroll, play 4% of it, hit 55% and in five years I will have over $500,000.

    So, in other words, I can never cash out any winnings during those 5 years?
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    Let me get this straight....

    I start with $1,000 in my bankroll, play 4% of it, hit 55% and in five years I will have over $500,000.

    So, in other words, I can never cash out any winnings during those 5 years?
     
    Bryce_Bell
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 1:33 PM ET #133

    VGPOP, if you are over 55% you could cash out. If you only need the amount that 55% will make you in order to continue on the progession, why not cash it out? I would.

    I am not telling you guys to do this or anything of that nature. I am simply stating how flat betting a small amount of your bankroll can lead to success. Many people get eaten up by the rush and thrill of putting a big amount of their bankroll on a game and simply go broke in a month, week or even a day. I am trying to prove that the way to win long term in this industry is flat betting small over a long period of time. If you want to follow along with me and give this a try, please go for it, but I am not trying to tell people here what to do or what to bet on, simply give my opinion and do what we all are here for, beat the book at the end of the day.

     

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    VGPOP, if you are over 55% you could cash out. If you only need the amount that 55% will make you in order to continue on the progession, why not cash it out? I would.

    I am not telling you guys to do this or anything of that nature. I am simply stating how flat betting a small amount of your bankroll can lead to success. Many people get eaten up by the rush and thrill of putting a big amount of their bankroll on a game and simply go broke in a month, week or even a day. I am trying to prove that the way to win long term in this industry is flat betting small over a long period of time. If you want to follow along with me and give this a try, please go for it, but I am not trying to tell people here what to do or what to bet on, simply give my opinion and do what we all are here for, beat the book at the end of the day.

     

     
    RocNRose
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 1:36 PM ET #134

    Bryce-

    Thanks for all your work in the forum. I have read the entire thread and will say keep doing what your doing Brother. Enjoyed the read and look forward to more! Thanks!

    RNR


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    Bryce-

    Thanks for all your work in the forum. I have read the entire thread and will say keep doing what your doing Brother. Enjoyed the read and look forward to more! Thanks!

    RNR


     
    BostonKen
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 1:54 PM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Details, details.

    Sammy is back and so is the BIG flock of sheep, suckers, and September prospects...






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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Details, details.

    Sammy is back and so is the BIG flock of sheep, suckers, and September prospects...






     
    Kix
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 4:54 PM ET #136

    Hey Bryce, any college plays for tonight?
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    Hey Bryce, any college plays for tonight?
     
    Wizerguy
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 6:38 PM ET #137

    Nice Job  ...had the under 49 myself.
    - The storms will come, the storms will pass -
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    Nice Job  ...had the under 49 myself.
     
    Bryce_Bell
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 6:52 PM ET #138

    Quote Originally Posted by Kix:

    Hey Bryce, any college plays for tonight?

    Yes, It is in the college forum.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kix:

    Hey Bryce, any college plays for tonight?

    Yes, It is in the college forum.

     
    tjohnsont
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 8:31 PM ET #139

    'In week four their misfourtune continues as they go 0-5. Rick loses a total of $1000 while Pat looses $220'

    This doesn't look right to me.  How can Pat only lose $220 if he is betting $50 a game- wouldn't that be $250?   And what happen to the juice? 

    Rick was doing things right- he just didn't have enough backup money or huevos.  He would have won and won more than Pat if he stuck in there.  This rule only applies if you don't have enough money to back up your losses.  I don't understand what this has to do with flat betting- more like Rick was betting too much of his bankroll.

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    'In week four their misfourtune continues as they go 0-5. Rick loses a total of $1000 while Pat looses $220'

    This doesn't look right to me.  How can Pat only lose $220 if he is betting $50 a game- wouldn't that be $250?   And what happen to the juice? 

    Rick was doing things right- he just didn't have enough backup money or huevos.  He would have won and won more than Pat if he stuck in there.  This rule only applies if you don't have enough money to back up your losses.  I don't understand what this has to do with flat betting- more like Rick was betting too much of his bankroll.

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 8:43 PM ET #140

    Quote Originally Posted by Jordan032503:

    all I have to said is ,You have to ignore  all the negative comments on here and keep do you things. You will have some haters, but most of us will appreciated your times, and your contribution on here. Good luck  this season  Nice pick on the UNDER

    Pay attention, he has a net loss last night. 1st quarter bet lost plus juice.

    This thread is riddled with why there are so many touts that continue to find customers (suckers). You people are embarrasing. Or shills.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jordan032503:

    all I have to said is ,You have to ignore  all the negative comments on here and keep do you things. You will have some haters, but most of us will appreciated your times, and your contribution on here. Good luck  this season  Nice pick on the UNDER

    Pay attention, he has a net loss last night. 1st quarter bet lost plus juice.

    This thread is riddled with why there are so many touts that continue to find customers (suckers). You people are embarrasing. Or shills.

     
    vegasrebel417
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 9:18 PM ET #141

    UNLV > Cornell


    Just teasing, good luck 
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    UNLV > Cornell


    Just teasing, good luck 
     
    Finny
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 10:38 PM ET #142

    Best of luck with the season Bryce!
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    Best of luck with the season Bryce!
     
    Terry1000
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 11:47 PM ET #143

    3500 plays. Even if you average 1000 bucks (unlikely)  per play at a 55% rate equals 1575 losers for a total of 1,732,500 and 1925 winners for a total of 1,925,000.  Total profit= 193,000.

    So you would have to average over 2500 per play. Theoretically possible, practically difficult.
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    3500 plays. Even if you average 1000 bucks (unlikely)  per play at a 55% rate equals 1575 losers for a total of 1,732,500 and 1925 winners for a total of 1,925,000.  Total profit= 193,000.

    So you would have to average over 2500 per play. Theoretically possible, practically difficult.
     
    bmcquilkin
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    Posted: Sep. 10, 2010 - 11:52 PM ET #144

    Quote Originally Posted by Terry1000:

    3500 plays. Even if you average 1000 bucks (unlikely)  per play at a 55% rate equals 1575 losers for a total of 1,732,500 and 1925 winners for a total of 1,925,000.  Total profit= 193,000.

    So you would have to average over 2500 per play. Theoretically possible, practically difficult.
    you bet 4% of your bankroll, you would be betting more than $1000 after your bankroll got up high enough
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    Quote Originally Posted by Terry1000:

    3500 plays. Even if you average 1000 bucks (unlikely)  per play at a 55% rate equals 1575 losers for a total of 1,732,500 and 1925 winners for a total of 1,925,000.  Total profit= 193,000.

    So you would have to average over 2500 per play. Theoretically possible, practically difficult.
    you bet 4% of your bankroll, you would be betting more than $1000 after your bankroll got up high enough
     
    RAIDR4life
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 12:21 AM ET #145

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Pay attention, he has a net loss last night. 1st quarter bet lost plus juice.

    This thread is riddled with why there are so many touts that continue to find customers (suckers). You people are embarrasing. Or shills.

    Man stop hating he bolded the main play and explained that the other play was some system play for those who like systems but he would not be tracking those plays hence the bolded Minnesota under. The other play, play at your own risk pretty much.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Pay attention, he has a net loss last night. 1st quarter bet lost plus juice.

    This thread is riddled with why there are so many touts that continue to find customers (suckers). You people are embarrasing. Or shills.

    Man stop hating he bolded the main play and explained that the other play was some system play for those who like systems but he would not be tracking those plays hence the bolded Minnesota under. The other play, play at your own risk pretty much.
     
    3rd_and_Long
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 1:13 AM ET #146

    No fucking chance in hell that this dude ever attended Cornell, unless he worked in the cafeteria.

    Buyer beware.

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    No fucking chance in hell that this dude ever attended Cornell, unless he worked in the cafeteria.

    Buyer beware.

     
    -LB-
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 1:37 AM ET #147

    GL BRYCE

    Please check out my NFL post and share your play everyone Im not sure if ill do a NCAA post this year or not.

    GL ALL LETS MAKE IT A WINNING SEASON!!!

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    GL BRYCE

    Please check out my NFL post and share your play everyone Im not sure if ill do a NCAA post this year or not.

    GL ALL LETS MAKE IT A WINNING SEASON!!!

     
    bogart45
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 2:42 AM ET #148

    Quote Originally Posted by Bryce_Bell:

    First Week, High Totals? Be wary over players. Teams that come into the season looking to make a big bang in week one lighting up the score board are not usually the teams that are set by the odds makers to do so. A system well known by gamblers is play the under in totals higher then 42 in week one. I will take it a step further. Along my journey I was introduced to the system of playing week one games under the total if in fact the total is higher then 44 points. If we look at this system dating back to the start of the 1999 season the UNDER in Week One Games with a total HIGHER THEN 44 POINTS has gone 37-18. For those of you who like the winning percentage side of things, that’s 67% over the past 10 seasons. Now, to make things even better for you winning percentage junkies, this system has been even better since the boom of online sports betting in the early 2000’s. Since the start of the 2003 season, following this same system, you would of cashed your ticket at the betting window 27 of 36 times! That is a very nice 75% winning percentage that will definitely pad your wallet early in the season. To make things even better, this system is currently on a 17-3 85% run dating back to 2005!

    This system is so affective because the book knows that generally speaking the public bettors love playing overs. I won’t lie, I love playing overs as well, but because of this, you must be careful when backing this publically loved bets. Early in the season, bettors have not seen a football game in nearly 6 months and are ready to rear up and fire away. These lines have been hyped up since early in the summer and there have been weeks and weeks of previews on ESPN, Websites and in Magazines. These previews are almost always more offensively focused then defensively focused, because the players the people want to hear about are the star players in the skill positions. This creates a large cloud of “offense-itis” among bettors. Put two seemingly explosive teams in a game set up for a week one shootout...except low scores.

    How did this system do last season? Well going into last season the system was on a 12-1 run. If you have done the quick math you can see it went 5-2 just a year ago. However, of those five wins were all by double digits. It’s no secret, defences come together quicker then offenses. Offensive football is all about timing and rhythm. This may take a team a quarter, a game or many weeks in the case of some, forever.

    There are a number of games which could qualify for the system this week but it all starts tonight with Minnesota New Orleans. I am locked in at UNDER 49 POINTS.

    In recap,

    I just read this in Barnes and Noble this last weekend in a handicapping annual that SBG put out this year. This is exactly it word for word. Isn't this copywright infringement Mr. college man??? This is just a trend that happens to be hot right now. If you are paying attention to your own numbers, you'd realize that this "system" was 10-9 from 1999 to 2002. What do you make of that?

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bryce_Bell:

    First Week, High Totals? Be wary over players. Teams that come into the season looking to make a big bang in week one lighting up the score board are not usually the teams that are set by the odds makers to do so. A system well known by gamblers is play the under in totals higher then 42 in week one. I will take it a step further. Along my journey I was introduced to the system of playing week one games under the total if in fact the total is higher then 44 points. If we look at this system dating back to the start of the 1999 season the UNDER in Week One Games with a total HIGHER THEN 44 POINTS has gone 37-18. For those of you who like the winning percentage side of things, that’s 67% over the past 10 seasons. Now, to make things even better for you winning percentage junkies, this system has been even better since the boom of online sports betting in the early 2000’s. Since the start of the 2003 season, following this same system, you would of cashed your ticket at the betting window 27 of 36 times! That is a very nice 75% winning percentage that will definitely pad your wallet early in the season. To make things even better, this system is currently on a 17-3 85% run dating back to 2005!

    This system is so affective because the book knows that generally speaking the public bettors love playing overs. I won’t lie, I love playing overs as well, but because of this, you must be careful when backing this publically loved bets. Early in the season, bettors have not seen a football game in nearly 6 months and are ready to rear up and fire away. These lines have been hyped up since early in the summer and there have been weeks and weeks of previews on ESPN, Websites and in Magazines. These previews are almost always more offensively focused then defensively focused, because the players the people want to hear about are the star players in the skill positions. This creates a large cloud of “offense-itis” among bettors. Put two seemingly explosive teams in a game set up for a week one shootout...except low scores.

    How did this system do last season? Well going into last season the system was on a 12-1 run. If you have done the quick math you can see it went 5-2 just a year ago. However, of those five wins were all by double digits. It’s no secret, defences come together quicker then offenses. Offensive football is all about timing and rhythm. This may take a team a quarter, a game or many weeks in the case of some, forever.

    There are a number of games which could qualify for the system this week but it all starts tonight with Minnesota New Orleans. I am locked in at UNDER 49 POINTS.

    In recap,

    I just read this in Barnes and Noble this last weekend in a handicapping annual that SBG put out this year. This is exactly it word for word. Isn't this copywright infringement Mr. college man??? This is just a trend that happens to be hot right now. If you are paying attention to your own numbers, you'd realize that this "system" was 10-9 from 1999 to 2002. What do you make of that?

     

     
    PrimeTimeBoys
    PrimeTimeBoys
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 2:50 AM ET #149

    Quote Originally Posted by bogart45:

    I just read this in Barnes and Noble this last weekend in a handicapping annual that SBG put out this year. This is exactly it word for word. Isn't this copywright infringement Mr. college man??? This is just a trend that happens to be hot right now. If you are paying attention to your own numbers, you'd realize that this "system" was 10-9 from 1999 to 2002. What do you make of that?

     

     

      

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    Quote Originally Posted by bogart45:

    I just read this in Barnes and Noble this last weekend in a handicapping annual that SBG put out this year. This is exactly it word for word. Isn't this copywright infringement Mr. college man??? This is just a trend that happens to be hot right now. If you are paying attention to your own numbers, you'd realize that this "system" was 10-9 from 1999 to 2002. What do you make of that?

     

     

      

     
     
    vegasflyer1
    vegasflyer1
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    Posted: Sep. 11, 2010 - 4:33 AM ET #150

    ok, it seems like you need a reality check. I am always interested in some ones idea of how to make money, but your math needs a tune up. Did you know there is one day in Vegas every year where a horse doesn't run, and there is no sports to bet on. My wife loves it.

    1.91 plays a day, ok let's just say 2 plays a day and $44.00 on each play. I specialize in pro football, so with a six month season, I should play 4 plays a day, but wait, Sunday is probably the only day for me to do that and there are only 17 sundays, but I could feed one off on Monday. I need to make 712 plays a year, and if I bet every game this year, I only have 256 plays. That leaves me 456 plays short.

     After 5 years, I am 2280 plays short. So lets say I hit 55% at $50.00 a game, actually $55.00 and I am betting every game. If I win 141 games, the book paid me 14,805.00 (105 x 256), I risked 14,080. (256 x $55.00) My profit is $725.00.

    Over five years my profit would be 3,625.00. That's 5.5% of a $1000.00 bankroll.

    I agree with your flat bet, it's not something new. I'm not here to cut you down, and I don't care about your Cornell background?, if you think you have something figured out, It never hurts to expose it  There are alot of guys on this site that have been doing this for a long time, including myself. 

    The game changes every year with new rules put in, change in player personell, head coaches, weather, and injuries. To get a winning percentage in any sport, requires work, time to do the work, and money

    I don't know too many gamblers that are good all year around and in several different sports. It is not feasable, or smart. My advice is to get good at one sport, make your money and take the rest of the time off. It won't be that much time off either. You have to prep for the following season and good gamblers won't try to cram all the knowledge they need two weeks before the season starts.

    If your a true handicapper, you want to remain sharp in what your successful at. Too many other sports will draw your attention away from your bread and butter. October is Vegas's favorite month. You have college football, NFL, Baseball playoffs, Hockey, and Baskets. It's my favorite too. 

    GL in your book.

      

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    ok, it seems like you need a reality check. I am always interested in some ones idea of how to make money, but your math needs a tune up. Did you know there is one day in Vegas every year where a horse doesn't run, and there is no sports to bet on. My wife loves it.

    1.91 plays a day, ok let's just say 2 plays a day and $44.00 on each play. I specialize in pro football, so with a six month season, I should play 4 plays a day, but wait, Sunday is probably the only day for me to do that and there are only 17 sundays, but I could feed one off on Monday. I need to make 712 plays a year, and if I bet every game this year, I only have 256 plays. That leaves me 456 plays short.

     After 5 years, I am 2280 plays short. So lets say I hit 55% at $50.00 a game, actually $55.00 and I am betting every game. If I win 141 games, the book paid me 14,805.00 (105 x 256), I risked 14,080. (256 x $55.00) My profit is $725.00.

    Over five years my profit would be 3,625.00. That's 5.5% of a $1000.00 bankroll.

    I agree with your flat bet, it's not something new. I'm not here to cut you down, and I don't care about your Cornell background?, if you think you have something figured out, It never hurts to expose it  There are alot of guys on this site that have been doing this for a long time, including myself. 

    The game changes every year with new rules put in, change in player personell, head coaches, weather, and injuries. To get a winning percentage in any sport, requires work, time to do the work, and money

    I don't know too many gamblers that are good all year around and in several different sports. It is not feasable, or smart. My advice is to get good at one sport, make your money and take the rest of the time off. It won't be that much time off either. You have to prep for the following season and good gamblers won't try to cram all the knowledge they need two weeks before the season starts.

    If your a true handicapper, you want to remain sharp in what your successful at. Too many other sports will draw your attention away from your bread and butter. October is Vegas's favorite month. You have college football, NFL, Baseball playoffs, Hockey, and Baskets. It's my favorite too. 

    GL in your book.

      

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