The Magic Formula for Winning

Does not exist.

So stop looking for it.

What you saw here this weekend with "My name is Elmer J Fudd, Millionaire, I own a mansion and a yacht" aka ThePlug, was a marketing gimmick.

Click bait.

A worm on the hook dangled by a tout-wannabe, trolling for suckers.

And it was only a matter time before he played the victim card "People here are mean to me, I'm not giving any more picks," and solicited posters to pm him.

If you believe he bet 500k on a game stop reading this, I can't help you. No one can.

But for those who are new to this, a question - have you ever won 4 or 5 units in a day? 5-6 units? 6-7? Of course you have, EVERYONE who has ever bet has won that much and more.

And at that's all he did, won a few units, ONE day. And yet some posters were dropping drawers, grabbing ankles, and pleading, "Thank you sir may I have another!"

Oh my God! Unbelievable! NEVER in the history of sports betting has any one ever won 7-8 games!! PM me PLEASE! Sign me up! (<-sarc)

Sometimes I read posts here and wonder who's helping some of these guys get dressed in the morning, who's tying their shoes?

In his last post he said, "I'm 6-1 you bums!" Then he said, "Covers is costing you people free money! I have the winner on Col/Ore and I'm NOT going to share it"

Twice he posted to tell posters he was not going to share the pick. Then he posts, "Ore/Col under live 144'."

Did any of you ask yourself why he posted a play after twice swearing he wouldn't? Here's why - because when he posted under 144' the game was at a pace for 117. That's some brave 'capping there. And a BS live line.

What you saw was a scam-dicapper using the same old marketing tricks they always use. What you didn't see was all the other id's he signed in under during the basketball season, using similar click bait hooks, but the picks lost and he got laughed at. So he abandoned the id, waited, then tried again with his next new name.

There are at least three losers who do this on a regular basis here, yet despite all the clues and warnings - the unrealistic dollar amounts, the boasting about phony personal possessions, the fabulous life style he lives ("And you can too - just send me a pm!") the aliases who shill for him, etc - posters still fall for it.

(This is where an alias usually pops in to tell everyone, "I got free picks all weekend long! And he didn't ask me to pay. The rest of you lost out on FREE MONEY. And everyone who tried to warn you is jealous or a HATER.")

Local books don't take bets for 500k. Online books don't take bets for 500k. And Vegas houses have limits, much smaller then 500k. MUCH. And if a favorite house player/celebrity/whale bet a large amount over the limit everyone would know about it because the Marketing Dept would use it for publicity (not the player's name, but the $ amount.) Especially if the bet wins. (I was in exec management at a hotel casino. I know how they operate. They're not embarrassed to let people know they paid out a large sum of money from slots, sports, whatever. THAT'S what attracts players to houses, paying out is what brings in the tourists. Yes, they hate losing but they know how to use it for publicity when they do.

But if you're still experiencing withdrawal pain, don't despair, your latest savior will be back to try to get your money again. Either as TheButtPlug or another new id.

Caveat emptor

@VeritasAlways

 Another tactic all these tout wannabnes use, is the old change their username and start again if they post losers, cause like you said everybody goes on a streak and thats when these blood suckers strike.  All people need to remember is if these clowns were truly making money year in and year out gambling, there is zero reason to spend time on message boards trolling for clients.  Look at this way, billy walters probably one of the greatest gamblers of all time, never sold his plays ever.  Heres a guy who could have done that and made millions and millions of dollars off people, but he didnt.  The guy didnt want to be bothered, cause he was already making enough money just betting.  TOUTS ARE NOTHING BUT DEGENERATE GAMBLERS LOOKING TO FUND THEIR OWN DEGENERATE GAMBLING HABIT

trout

I'm not giving you my pick

144

6-1, he meant he is 6'1"

free money

Elmer Fudd

And rather than condemn the moderators you should thank them. They very likely saved you money.

Perfect example - they recently removed another poster, similar situation (I won't mention any names.) This poster, SI, (oops) had a nice run in the NFL, on what he called Game of Year bets.

The mods here sent him to the promotions forum after soliciting players for money (and, of course, denying it.)

But despite the gaudy GOY record, when you factor in the extra juice he was paying he was only up about 9 or 10 units by the end of the season.

And the other type of bets he gave out, HUGE plays, we're not profitable, and HUGE and GOY plays in college basketball and NBA plays lost money, wiping out any profit found in the one category, football GOY.

Sure, if you were selective and played just the winning picks you could have made money. But that's a nonsense excuse, players could have just as easily been selective and chosen the losers.

The mods here sent him to the promotions forum after soliciting players for money (and, of course, denying it.

And, just like our boy ThePlug  (what a coincidence) he played the victim card, "People here are mean, jealous, haters!"

And also like the plug threatened to do (what a coincidence) this poster went to another forum, where he started losing badly.

He started cheating on his record more and more.

Then he stopped posting his record - he lost so much that even cheating couldn't save him. He started posting picks only, no more record.

He kept losing and finally stopped posting all together.

So the followers, tailers, groupies, and Fanboyz here all saved money. Thanks to the mods.