Weed The North - Season Long Raptors Thread

Total climbing to 231.5...i like the under even more

Pistons @ Raps

Lean:

Pistons +10 and Under 222.5

I see this one something like 108-102 Raps in a tough grinder of a game

106-104 Pistons 

Raps @ Celts

Lean:

Celts ML -120 and Under 218.5

Something like Boston 106-100

Raps @ Bulls

Lean:

Bulls +9.5 and Over 214.5...something currently is "off" with the Raps...too much early season success might have gotten to their heads...Bulls at home on a Saturday night could be trouble for the Raps here...see a Raps win here around 120-114 in a defense optional type of run and gun game

Raps @ Magic

Leans:

Raps -6 and Under 219...something like a 112-104 Raps win in an ugly grind type game where Raps struggle early but pull away late

Raps @ Hawks

Lean:

Raps -7.5 and Under 225.5...something is off with the Raps O...especially on the road, Nurse is having a post honeymoon blues period now with his lineups and figuring out rotations...they are not shooting the 3 well at the moment, which is a great recipe for the under.

Prediction here Raps win 108-92...may end up taking the under here on my card as i do like how they are playing committed team D while their O is struggling to find their groove back...trae young will embarass himself with turnovers galore tonight

With Celts already 9 in the L column, i would grab Raps -150 to win the division for as much as you are comfortable parking your money...it is a steal at this price...Philly will be up and down all year as they are not a good road team.

Wiz @ Raps

Lean:

Raps -10.5 and over 230.5

Wizards may completely implode here in the 4th Q and pull a team punk move and start a brawl with someone...this could be a 30pt blowout where all the Wash top dogs lay down collectively in a form of revolt against the coach...Brooks is done...he will be spotted at the Brass Rail around midnight 

Time has come to put up or shut up...i choose to put up:

Locked in:

Raps to win division -150...75k/125k ( two equal 37.5k wagers at both WHill and B365)...this is officially the largest single hoops bet i have ever made and i wish i could have bet more, but i am not willing to risk more than 25% of my roll...with the Sixers losing tonight, the 4 game cushion now makes this an autobet as the books havent adjusted the lines yet...this wager will also force me to slow down my overall wagering on a daily basis and be more selective and disciplined with any future single game wagering while i adjust to having 150 less units as ammunition parked on the side for the next 4+ months. I am no oddsmaker, but this bet feels like it should be closer to a -250 line, not -150, thus there is still a ton of value here in my opinion.

Good luck to anyone else who jumps on this one 

Heat @ Raps

Lean:

Raps -12 and Under 218.5...see a 112-92 type win here

Raps @ Grizzlies

Lean:

Raps -5.5 and Over 209.5

Raps with a very professional effort tonight in the 2h...this team just keeps rolling...thursday night on tnt will be special...Curry loves toronto and lived there growing up as a kid learning how to jack up 3s from everywhere beyond midcourt when his pops played for the raps...will Curry come back and play around 25min infront of a receptive appreciative and friendly crowd? This is a big ticket night and the city is already buzzing for this game...obviously the pregame shootaround will determine if Warriors play a full roster, or will try to beat the raps 2 vs 5 with only Durant and Thompson...it will be very interesting to see if Siakam and Anunoby and Leonard can shut down Durant and Thompson if Curry doesnt play...heavy lean to Raps and a slight lean to the under as i would expect the same D effort as we saw in tonights 2h right from the opening tip vs the champs.

Scal...our division wager just got one step closer with a victory that very easily could have gone into the L column  ...this was a great night to be a raps fan.

Wow...this line is whaack

Warriors @ Raps

Lean:

Warriors +9 and Under 226.5...this should be played like a mock playoff game with very high intensity d and ton of emotion from both teams...spotlight game under the tnt shiny lights...this is Toronto's "show me" game for all the USA media and fans...will they will? I say yes, will they cover? I say no...however the Raps have played the "ats shenanigan card" to perfection as home favs around this #

I am assuming Curry will play, but in limited minutes and i have no expectations of him going off for 30+...this is Siakam's and Green's "show" me game too regarding their defending skills, and lets not forget Kawhi is on the court too, not Demar ....Raps something like 115-108.

Must see tv thursdays are back...atleast for one night 

Interesting Scal...i think last nights game could be spun several ways...Raps were in full control until Durant decided to take over...Raps seem to be living amd dying by the 3...they missed a ton of wide open looks, which could have lead to a comfortable win and cover...they looked like the better team all night until that "deer in the headlight" Toronto Raptors DNA kicked in again midway thru the 4th Q...coach Nurse did very little to stop the Warriors momentum in the 4th Q which i found to be very disappointing...but i do like the grit and toughness they showed to win the game...now the real question is how will they match up vs Curry Green Durant Thompson Boogie...thats a freaking unbelievable starting 5...assuming the Warriors are healthy and gelled by the time finals come around, Raps will be lucky if they avoid the sweep...however, if they do indeed have home court, and if they somehow win game 1, then we may indeed see a competitve series where GS grinds out a 4-2 series win.

I will say this about the Warriors...they have the worst depth/bench on this roster out of all their championship teams...they are all below average players...Cook Looney Lee Jerebko Jones etc....may god they are bad...Iggy and Livingston look old and slow...and they cant defend like they used to...Warriors will always be somewhat vulnerable vs teams who have a high scoring team, one that can play run and gun transitional defense to offense, and one that can clamp down on the defensive end who play 10 men deep...this Raps team shouldnt be overlooked if this really ends up being the finals matchup. Raps are only going to get better as the season goes on, they are still in the "figuring it out" stage with this roster and lineups...one last thing, Danny Green for Poetl was the steal of the offseason, and Majiri needs to get a ton of credit for fleecing Pop the way he did.

Pascal Siakam's development has been nothing short of amazing...he only started playing ball 8 years ago...let that sink in for a moment...i think his career is on the same path as...you guessed it...Kawhi Leonard...a hidden gem in the draft late who works his butt off into a star

Raps @ Cavs

Lean:

Cavs+14 and over 216....14pt rd fav...wow...i see Toronto winning here 120-112 range

Nuggets @ Raps

Lean:

Nuggets +6.5 (and dare i say their ML +220 feels live too)...this game sets up similarly to the Pelicans game...a strong fast paced aggressive western team that shoots alot of 3s will always give the Raps a tough challenge...Lowry is a bit banged up and according to the local media may play less minutes than his usual average...Nuggets sit in 1st place in the west...yes that is correct...for them, this is a "measuring stick" game to see just how well they stack up against a potential finalist.

Thid should be a great game...i am done posting over/under leans here...just seems impossible to know what the games agenda will be before tip off...best to leave that stuff alone, and whenever i see a 40-45pt low scoring 1st Q, consider taking the over ingame before the 2Q starts...just feel i have a much better read on spreads regarding the Raps at the monent so why complicate things.

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