Good stuff. Cant really argue with any although backing Seattle scares me. Glad to see you've taken advice well and are learning, which is a huge part of gambling. Dont let the clowns on here get to you. You dont have to have a certain number of games or explain that you won 3 units but its only 2.7 with juice. Tell those people to fuck off. Your record should be good enough and the amount you won is your concern only. Glad I could help bro
GL and wish you continued success
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Good stuff. Cant really argue with any although backing Seattle scares me. Glad to see you've taken advice well and are learning, which is a huge part of gambling. Dont let the clowns on here get to you. You dont have to have a certain number of games or explain that you won 3 units but its only 2.7 with juice. Tell those people to fuck off. Your record should be good enough and the amount you won is your concern only. Glad I could help bro
I have to agree with your analysis of the San Diego game.
Offensive Comparison:
Offensively both team are relatively equal with minor differences. SD averages 316 YPG through the air and completed 62.4% of their passing plays. Although NE might not rack ups as many yards, Brady is a more convervative passer and completed 67.5% with an average of 10.3 yard per completion. Slight edge to NE on their 3rd down conversion percentage of 49% to SD 39%. SD is a bit better with the numbers of 1st down per game. Both teams red zone offense, and rushing game is relatively the same. Thus, IMO, the offensive power of these to team are even.
Defensive Comparision:
Although the win records does not truly show how well the SD defense plays. Their defense statistics is much better than New England in every major categories:
Passing Defense YPG, Passing Defense % Completion, Passing Defense YPC, Rushing Def YPG, Rushing Def YPA, 3rd Down Conver %, Red Zone Def, and Sacks.
Other Critical Stats:
New England turnover margins is better than SD. Most of NE positive turn overs were in one game. In addition SD is not too discipling with their plays and commits more penalties per game than New England, but their penalties yard per game is less than NE. Slight edge to New England.
Overall:
I must agree with you, that San Deigo is the best bet due to relativeling good offense and better defense than NE. The home field will be in their favor and with the NE big win over Baltimore, this will be a let down for NE. I am with you and laying the points. Prediction: SD 27, NE 17
Good Luck to You!!!
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I have to agree with your analysis of the San Diego game.
Offensive Comparison:
Offensively both team are relatively equal with minor differences. SD averages 316 YPG through the air and completed 62.4% of their passing plays. Although NE might not rack ups as many yards, Brady is a more convervative passer and completed 67.5% with an average of 10.3 yard per completion. Slight edge to NE on their 3rd down conversion percentage of 49% to SD 39%. SD is a bit better with the numbers of 1st down per game. Both teams red zone offense, and rushing game is relatively the same. Thus, IMO, the offensive power of these to team are even.
Defensive Comparision:
Although the win records does not truly show how well the SD defense plays. Their defense statistics is much better than New England in every major categories:
Passing Defense YPG, Passing Defense % Completion, Passing Defense YPC, Rushing Def YPG, Rushing Def YPA, 3rd Down Conver %, Red Zone Def, and Sacks.
Other Critical Stats:
New England turnover margins is better than SD. Most of NE positive turn overs were in one game. In addition SD is not too discipling with their plays and commits more penalties per game than New England, but their penalties yard per game is less than NE. Slight edge to New England.
Overall:
I must agree with you, that San Deigo is the best bet due to relativeling good offense and better defense than NE. The home field will be in their favor and with the NE big win over Baltimore, this will be a let down for NE. I am with you and laying the points. Prediction: SD 27, NE 17
Just a sidenote for you Football fans. in CFL, I like Hamilton +3.5.
Montreal just clinched the division and will probably rest alot of players. Hamilton, 2nd place needs still to win this game to assure home field in Division game. They should win this game Friday at Home.
Pick-Hamilton in CFL
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Just a sidenote for you Football fans. in CFL, I like Hamilton +3.5.
Montreal just clinched the division and will probably rest alot of players. Hamilton, 2nd place needs still to win this game to assure home field in Division game. They should win this game Friday at Home.
First off, congrats on your success so far this year!
I like your picks of TB, Carolina, and Seattle for this week.
The Philly game though has me confused. Personally I'm leaning to the over in that game. I agree with you that Philly's offense is clicking and should move the ball and put up points, but I also think that this is a good matchup for the Titans run game. I think you mixed up your defensive stats, as the Titans rank 8th against the rush and Philly actually ranks 22nd against the rush.
Either way, good luck this week.
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First off, congrats on your success so far this year!
I like your picks of TB, Carolina, and Seattle for this week.
The Philly game though has me confused. Personally I'm leaning to the over in that game. I agree with you that Philly's offense is clicking and should move the ball and put up points, but I also think that this is a good matchup for the Titans run game. I think you mixed up your defensive stats, as the Titans rank 8th against the rush and Philly actually ranks 22nd against the rush.
Always good to see you picking teams that I pick, Eagles +3 is a solid play to me. What do you think about Eagles ML, cause I just see another blowout win by the eagles this week might can't determine whether or not to take the points.
Also good write up on the others, I didn't even give that SD game a second thought until reading your write up, now I can't stop thinking about it
Good job, as always we all appreciate your hard work, BOL
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Nice write up bets
Always good to see you picking teams that I pick, Eagles +3 is a solid play to me. What do you think about Eagles ML, cause I just see another blowout win by the eagles this week might can't determine whether or not to take the points.
Also good write up on the others, I didn't even give that SD game a second thought until reading your write up, now I can't stop thinking about it
Good job, as always we all appreciate your hard work, BOL
GL on your picks bet2win, where did you get +3.5 on Carolina, it is +3(-110 to -120) everywhere??
Im with you on TB, loved them at only -2.5 from the moment i saw it..
Im gonna wait a few of these picks out until I can get them off the key number of 3... if they dont move off that number, im gonna buy the hook, 3 is too much of a key number for me! especially in some of these matchups....
BTW, im feelin your Gambit avatar!
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Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:
GL on your picks bet2win, where did you get +3.5 on Carolina, it is +3(-110 to -120) everywhere??
Im with you on TB, loved them at only -2.5 from the moment i saw it..
Im gonna wait a few of these picks out until I can get them off the key number of 3... if they dont move off that number, im gonna buy the hook, 3 is too much of a key number for me! especially in some of these matchups....
B2W - i like all ur picks this week. i know u say u like the SNF & MNF games this week & i know u say u will release them closer to game time. they are good games & i have a SU contest at work & am going to win & was wondering what ur "Lean" was for each game. i was in the middle of the pack & moved in front & at the end of this week i plan on moving ahead even more but am leaning toward NYG & GB this week. need to get these last two picks in & wondered if u could say yay or nay if you like either of them. thanks! if not its cool too just keep doing what ur doing!
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B2W - i like all ur picks this week. i know u say u like the SNF & MNF games this week & i know u say u will release them closer to game time. they are good games & i have a SU contest at work & am going to win & was wondering what ur "Lean" was for each game. i was in the middle of the pack & moved in front & at the end of this week i plan on moving ahead even more but am leaning toward NYG & GB this week. need to get these last two picks in & wondered if u could say yay or nay if you like either of them. thanks! if not its cool too just keep doing what ur doing!
Best of luck, thanks for the amazing insight Bets. Thats what I was counting on. I thought you were absolutely NUTS when I saw Carolina over SF...but then I read it...and I was like...wow..this man knows his sh*t. lol. Nice write up and lets go get em!
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Best of luck, thanks for the amazing insight Bets. Thats what I was counting on. I thought you were absolutely NUTS when I saw Carolina over SF...but then I read it...and I was like...wow..this man knows his sh*t. lol. Nice write up and lets go get em!
B2W - i like all ur picks this week. i know u say u like the SNF & MNF games this week & i know u say u will release them closer to game time. they are good games & i have a SU contest at work & am going to win & was wondering what ur "Lean" was for each game. i was in the middle of the pack & moved in front & at the end of this week i plan on moving ahead even more but am leaning toward NYG & GB this week. need to get these last two picks in & wondered if u could say yay or nay if you like either of them. thanks! if not its cool too just keep doing what ur doing!
In all honesty, im leaning the complete opposite of your leans, lol... i dont wanna talk you out of Potentially Winning Bets but those are my leans thus far...BOL
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Quote Originally Posted by mrod112:
B2W - i like all ur picks this week. i know u say u like the SNF & MNF games this week & i know u say u will release them closer to game time. they are good games & i have a SU contest at work & am going to win & was wondering what ur "Lean" was for each game. i was in the middle of the pack & moved in front & at the end of this week i plan on moving ahead even more but am leaning toward NYG & GB this week. need to get these last two picks in & wondered if u could say yay or nay if you like either of them. thanks! if not its cool too just keep doing what ur doing!
In all honesty, im leaning the complete opposite of your leans, lol... i dont wanna talk you out of Potentially Winning Bets but those are my leans thus far...BOL
Hey Bets you gonna tell us when u lock those leans in right? a final card per say?
All 5 of these Picks Will Be Played, No Matter What!!! The ONLY variable is the Spreads... Like I stated earlier, Im looking to get all 3's OFF of that Key #. Some might move in my favor bc of "Heavy" Percentages Against my Picks so im gonna wait those lines out. The others, I plan on "Buying the Hook".... So this basically "IS" my Final Card... Just waiting on the SNF and MNF Games
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Quote Originally Posted by westsi819:
Hey Bets you gonna tell us when u lock those leans in right? a final card per say?
All 5 of these Picks Will Be Played, No Matter What!!! The ONLY variable is the Spreads... Like I stated earlier, Im looking to get all 3's OFF of that Key #. Some might move in my favor bc of "Heavy" Percentages Against my Picks so im gonna wait those lines out. The others, I plan on "Buying the Hook".... So this basically "IS" my Final Card... Just waiting on the SNF and MNF Games
I like them all but AZ, it looked like some Smart Money hit on them right after the lines came out Monday, driving it down to 4 1/2 and now the public has moved it back up...to as much as Seatte -7 in some sportsbooks.
Good Luck
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I like them all but AZ, it looked like some Smart Money hit on them right after the lines came out Monday, driving it down to 4 1/2 and now the public has moved it back up...to as much as Seatte -7 in some sportsbooks.
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& was wondering what ur "Lean" was for each game. i was in the middle of the pack & moved in front & at the end of this week i plan on moving ahead even more but am leaning toward NYG & GB this week. need to get these last two picks in & wondered if u could say yay or nay if you like either of them. thanks! if not its cool too just keep doing what ur doing! 
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