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....Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls, Children of All Ages....
Last Week we suffered our Worst Winning Percentage of the Season, Hitting 4 of 7 Bets. Luckily for us, we did hit our Best Bet so we did Finish +3 Units (for those accounting for the Juice, thats +2.7). This week, we're looking to keep the Winning Ways ALIVE!!!
Even though 4-3 isnt quite a "Bad Week" by traditional standards, I have set the bar high for myself and I cant afford another "4-3 Type" of Week if I expect to meet and exceed my Season Goal. I plan on making up for lastwks "mediocre" performance with some VERY Solid and Calculated Bets... TRAIN69 was polite enough to point out to me that my First few Bets are/were Usually VERY Solid and then I "press" for more Picks and I usually end up going 50% or Less on those Additional Picks (lastwk 0-2 on added picks and prior to that 1-1, etc...) So this week, I'll ONLY be adding my Favorite Initial Plays and thats it! I happen to like a fair amount of games this week, so even though I wont be "Adding" Picks, I will be playing 6-7 Games... The ONLY Picks that ill be adding are the Sunday Night Game and the Monday Night Game (as I actually Really Like these Match-ups!). If you guys have been tailing me, you've noticed that I usually lay-off the MNF Games and only sometimes play the SNF Games, but this Week, Im almost certain that I'll be playing them Both!!! I Will Not be Posting my SNF and MNF Picks until before game-time... So stay tuned!!
Someone made the VERY Accurate point, that I should NOT be "Buying the Hook" so frequently, as it's a Vegas Scam or a Sucker's Play, but this Particular Week, there are Waaaayy too many 3-Pt Spreads, I Have to Buy the Hook down on 3-Pt Plays, its a MUST! There are 9-Total 3 to 3.5 Point Spreads this Week, that is BY FAR the MOST 3-Pt Spreads of the Season!!! Anyways.... Well onto the Main Event:
Week 7 WINNERS:
San Diego -2.5 vs New England: Even though this game is on at 4, I'm posting it 1st because it is my Best Bet of the Week! This game couldn't be MORE up my alley! SD is the ULTIMATE Jekyl and Hyde team, Playing AWFUL on the Road and Very GOOD at Home!!! They happen to be coming off of 2-straight Road Losses where they were favored in both, so bettors are Very against taking San Diego and New England just came off a HUGE Home Victory against Baltimore... This game is set up so beautifully!!! The betting public is ALL Over New England thus far, picking them at a 72% Rate, and thats EXACTLY what I was hoping for!!! San Diegos 2 Wins on the Season were at Home and both blowouts, granted they weren't against the greatest of opponents, their play looked MUCH Better at Home. The Chargers Offensive and Defensive Stats "look" pretty good, their Offense AND Defense Ranking 1st in Total Yards AND Passing Yards and BOTH Sides of the Ball... So they Pass well and accumulate Yards well, while also Defending the Pass well... They also have the 5th highest Points Scored so they can Definitely put Points on the Board. Lastwk, I was shocked to see them struggle so mightily against St Louis, but again, this was on the Road and this week I think some "Home Cookin" is just what the Doctor Ordered!!! Phillip Rivers is an ELITE QB but I will admit the injury to Antonio Gates does concern me because Malcom Floyd is already Out of this contest so even though Rivers is ELITE, he needs to have Weapons. Legedu Nanee and Patrick Crayton will look to be Rivers Go-To Options in the Passing Game, with Floyd Out and Gates "practicing", with the intent of Playing... at Worst, Gates should atleast "play" and be a very good diversion. New England's Defense hasn't been very good this season, in-fact their Primary Weakness has been their Passing Defense, as they Rank 29th against the Pass, 30th in Total yards allowed, and 25th in Points Allowed, meaning they are prone to allowing A LOT of Yards/Points through the Air. Their Offense Ranks Tops (or near the Top) in A LOT of the same Categories so thats why they've had success thus far, but I expect SD to slow-down the Top-Rated Offense, atleast enough to Win this Contest. I expect this game to "Potentially" become a shootout between 2 of the Leagues Premier QBs, so for those who Bet totals, 2 Elite Passing Teams, Both Top 5 In scoring, Over 47 seems like a pretty good Bet to me!!! With that said, Im ONLY playing San Diego for now! (Laying 3-Units on the Chargers)
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