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Blockbuster new non-partisan report: CONFIRMS it was all just a lie

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Legend
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Posted: #76

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I   I just laid $17,000  on republicans   to control the HOUSE after the elections     The "mid-term HOUSE flip" happens nearly every 1st midterm of a new president.  It's a solid trend.  So like I've been saying here  REPEATEDLY for more than a year,  I may as well profit from it!   Afterall, this is a betting website, and business is business. Plus, I took these smaller bets, each to win +$200 profit: Arizona Governor:   K.Lake  (R)  -630Nevada Governor:  Lomardo (R) -435NewYork Governor:  K.Hochul (Democracy) -370Wisconsin Governor: Michels (R) -220 **Controls the Senate after elections: GOP -260 Arizona Senate:  Masters (R) -105Colorado Senate: Bennet (Democracy) -635Georgia Senate: Walker (R) -175Nevada Senate: Laxalt (R) -220OHIO Senate:   Vance (R) -975 *(only to win $150)Pennsylvania:   OZ  (R)  -165Wisc Senate: Johnson (R) -775 *(only to win $170) Almost $27k total commitment for Tuesday!  lets make us some profit!!!!  i made good bucks last midterms doing the same as u figure to make a few here too  except in arizona i like mark kelly to hang tough in a very close one there   p.s.   salute to u for  another veterans day . also midnight1 and baish2012

By looking at all of those race odds, GOP is heavily favored to retake both chambers and grabs great majority of gubernatorial races from this midterms. Republicans are going to be exuberant tomorrow and going forward. 

 
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Posted: #77

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I   I just laid $17,000  on republicans   to control the HOUSE after the elections     The "mid-term HOUSE flip" happens nearly every 1st midterm of a new president.  It's a solid trend.  So like I've been saying here  REPEATEDLY for more than a year,  I may as well profit from it!   Afterall, this is a betting website, and business is business. Plus, I took these smaller bets, each to win +$200 profit: Arizona Governor:   K.Lake  (R)  -630Nevada Governor:  Lomardo (R) -435NewYork Governor:  K.Hochul (Democracy) -370Wisconsin Governor: Michels (R) -220 **Controls the Senate after elections: GOP -260 Arizona Senate:  Masters (R) -105Colorado Senate: Bennet (Democracy) -635Georgia Senate: Walker (R) -175Nevada Senate: Laxalt (R) -220OHIO Senate:   Vance (R) -975 *(only to win $150)Pennsylvania:   OZ  (R)  -165Wisc Senate: Johnson (R) -775 *(only to win $170) Almost $27k total commitment for Tuesday! 

lets make us some profit!!!!  i made good bucks last midterms doing the same as u figure to make a few here too  except in arizona i like mark kelly to hang tough in a very close one there  

p.s.   salute to u for  another veterans day . also midnight1 and baish2012

By looking at all of those race odds, GOP is heavily favored to retake both chambers and grabs great majority of gubernatorial races from this midterms. Republicans are going to be exuberant tomorrow and going forward.

 

Heavily favored for the HOUSE, yes.   Only marginal favs for the Senate, but personally I anticipate the GOP gaining 2 seats there, for a 52-48 majority.

This "House turnover" is now accepted as a common and expected occurence during the first midterms of a new president.  Should be of no surprise.   Turnout is typically significantly lower by voters whose party has the WH.  My belief is that there is no compelling urgency for those voters to get out and vote for the President's party (whether GOP or Dem) because they know that regardless the results on midterm election day, a flipped congress can do very little with veto power still in the President's hip pocket.  That all changes of course after his term is up!  But during midterms, it's a thing.  Thus, despite all the hype about issues, it isn't about issues.  The flip comes almost entirely due to turnout numbers.  The president's party have less reason to go out and stand in EXTREMELY long, gerry-mandered lineups to defend the President's party when in truth he still has control (with veto power)!  Meanwhile the losers come out in full force because they are still bummed they LOST two years earlier.  By winning the HOUSE, a party can effectively "gridlock" government for 2 years.  Their tactic then is to use the fact that nothing good happened during those final two years as a major talking point to make the President and his party look like  failures!  This hurts America, of course, which is a bad thing, but politically it's sound strategy.

Anyway that's why I have placed nearly $27,000 in bets on the republicans!!   I wanna scoop some easy profits off this common event. an_cheers 

moneybag moneybag moneybag

 
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Posted: #78

And yesterday before closing deadline for midterm bets I significantly upped my bet size on Senator Ron Johnson (R) in Wisconsin

Aside from my *HUGE* bet on the Republicans form a HOUSE majority, my bet on Ron Johnson is now HUGE too!

 
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Posted: #79

@fubah2

 Go get em! 

Nice run on NFL as well! Crushing it! 

 
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Posted: #80

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Heavily favored for the HOUSE, yes.   Only marginal favs for the Senate, but personally I anticipate the GOP gaining 2 seats there, for a 52-48 majority. This "House turnover" is now accepted as a common and expected occurence during the first midterms of a new president.  Should be of no surprise.   Turnout is typically significantly lower by voters whose party has the WH.  My belief is that there is no compelling urgency for those voters to get out and vote for the President's party (whether GOP or Dem) because they know that regardless the results on midterm election day, a flipped congress can do very little with veto power still in the President's hip pocket.  That all changes of course after his term is up!  But during midterms, it's a thing.  Thus, despite all the hype about issues, it isn't about issues.  The flip comes almost entirely due to turnout numbers.  The president's party have less reason to go out and stand in EXTREMELY long, gerry-mandered lineups to defend the President's party when in truth he still has control (with veto power)!  Meanwhile the losers come out in full force because they are still bummed they LOST two years earlier.  By winning the HOUSE, a party can effectively "gridlock" government for 2 years.  Their tactic then is to use the fact that nothing good happened during those final two years as a major talking point to make the President and his party look like  failures!  This hurts America, of course, which is a bad thing, but politically it's sound strategy. Anyway that's why I have placed nearly $27,000 in bets on the republicans!!   I wanna scoop some easy profits off this common event.

I'm pulling for the Dems, but historic trend really favors GOP in this midterm. BOL to you, bud!

 
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Posted: #81

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

an_police  I just laid $17,000  on republicans
  to control the HOUSE after the elections

 

 

The "mid-term HOUSE flip" happens nearly every 1st midterm of a new president.  It's a solid trend.  So like I've been saying here  REPEATEDLY for more than a year,  I may as well profit from it! moneybag  Afterall, this is a betting website, and business is business.

thumbs_up

Plus, I took these smaller bets, each to win +$200 profit:

Arizona Governor:   K.Lake  (R)  -630
Nevada Governor:  Lomardo (R) -435
NewYork Governor:  K.Hochul (Democracy) -370
Wisconsin Governor: Michels (R) -220

**Controls the Senate after elections: GOP -260

Arizona Senate:  Masters (R) -105
Colorado Senate: Bennet (Democracy) -635
Georgia Senate: Walker (R) -175
Nevada Senate: Laxalt (R) -220
OHIO Senate:   Vance (R) -975 *(only to win $150)
Pennsylvania:   OZ  (R)  -165
Wisc Senate: Johnson (R) -775 *(only to win $170)


an_light Almost $27k total commitment for Tuesday!  an_cheers

 

i follow the logic and it makes sense

i also went heavy on the repos to retake the house but i backed off the senate bet

the line i had was -270 GOP and i cant justify that when the senate is very close to a coin flip

GOP does have a razor thin caluculated edge though so it wouldnt surprise at all if they gain majority

 

it wont matter though .  must have a filibuster proof majority in the senate and the white house otherwise its just for show

that 60 vote rule is what is holding back america

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #82

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavily favored for the HOUSE, yes.   Only marginal favs for the Senate, but personally I anticipate the GOP gaining 2 seats there, for a 52-48 majority. This "House turnover" is now accepted as a common and expected occurence during the first midterms of a new president.  Should be of no surprise.   Turnout is typically significantly lower by voters whose party has the WH.  My belief is that there is no compelling urgency for those voters to get out and vote for the President's party (whether GOP or Dem) because they know that regardless the results on midterm election day, a flipped congress can do very little with veto power still in the President's hip pocket.  That all changes of course after his term is up!  But during midterms, it's a thing.  Thus, despite all the hype about issues, it isn't about issues.  The flip comes almost entirely due to turnout numbers.  The president's party have less reason to go out and stand in EXTREMELY long, gerry-mandered lineups to defend the President's party when in truth he still has control (with veto power)!  Meanwhile the losers come out in full force because they are still bummed they LOST two years earlier.  By winning the HOUSE, a party can effectively "gridlock" government for 2 years.  Their tactic then is to use the fact that nothing good happened during those final two years as a major talking point to make the President and his party look like  failures!  This hurts America, of course, which is a bad thing, but politically it's sound strategy. Anyway that's why I have placed nearly $27,000 in bets on the republicans!!   I wanna scoop some easy profits off this common event. I'm pulling for the Dems, but historic trend really favors GOP in this midterm. BOL to you, bud!

 

governor wannabee and election denier kari lake trailing bigtime in zona where she was heavily favored

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #83

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavily favored for the HOUSE, yes.   Only marginal favs for the Senate, but personally I anticipate the GOP gaining 2 seats there, for a 52-48 majority. This "House turnover" is now accepted as a common and expected occurence during the first midterms of a new president.  Should be of no surprise.   Turnout is typically significantly lower by voters whose party has the WH.  My belief is that there is no compelling urgency for those voters to get out and vote for the President's party (whether GOP or Dem) because they know that regardless the results on midterm election day, a flipped congress can do very little with veto power still in the President's hip pocket.  That all changes of course after his term is up!  But during midterms, it's a thing.  Thus, despite all the hype about issues, it isn't about issues.  The flip comes almost entirely due to turnout numbers.  The president's party have less reason to go out and stand in EXTREMELY long, gerry-mandered lineups to defend the President's party when in truth he still has control (with veto power)!  Meanwhile the losers come out in full force because they are still bummed they LOST two years earlier.  By winning the HOUSE, a party can effectively "gridlock" government for 2 years.  Their tactic then is to use the fact that nothing good happened during those final two years as a major talking point to make the President and his party look like  failures!  This hurts America, of course, which is a bad thing, but politically it's sound strategy. Anyway that's why I have placed nearly $27,000 in bets on the republicans!!   I wanna scoop some easy profits off this common event. I'm pulling for the Dems, but historic trend really favors GOP in this midterm. BOL to you, bud!   governor wannabee and election denier kari lake trailing bigtime in zona where she was heavily favored

That gap has narrowed significantly.  

The republican might well still win that race with over 27% of the vote still left to be counted.

I hope!   I have BIG BUCKS riding on Kari Lake to win  an_nailbiter  not that I think the election deiner should be their Governor, but I expected her to win easily in the BIG RED WAVE.

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #84

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

GOP does have a razor thin caluculated edge though so it wouldnt surprise at all if they gain majority   it wont matter though .  must have a filibuster proof majority in the senate and the white house otherwise its just for show that 60 vote rule is what is holding back america

 

Bottom line there.  Biden has the video regardless who controls Congress.

 
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Posted: #85

@fubah2

BTW Fubah, I'm pulling for Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. She is currently trailing her opponent Kelly Tshibaka by 1.5 points, I hope Murkowski overtakes this thing up.  

 
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Posted: #86

@Europa

Alaska has the ranked-choice instant runoff.  Murkowski voted to convict Trump, so I am 99% certain that most of the Democratic voters will have picked Murkowski as their second choice.  Democrat Patricia Chesbro got over 20,000 votes which far exceeds Murkowski's deficit of 3,130 votes.

 
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Posted: #87

Election denier lies more!


Republican Trump-supporter Kari Lake raises unfounded doubts about election results in Arizona governor race that’s too early to call

Lake won the GOP primary after amplifying former President
Donald Trump’s lies about the 2020 presidential election,
falsely insisting that the election was rigged and stolen.
Lake is suggesting without any evidence that there could be
problems with Tuesday’s results.

All four GOP nominees at the top of the ticket in Arizona have
echoed Trump’s lies about the 2020 election. And right-wing
media seized on tabulator problems in Maricopa County earlier
on Tuesday to raise the idea of fraud – despite assurances to
the contrary from county officials – in a clear echo of some
conservatives’ repeated attempts to cast doubt on
Maricopa’s results from back in 2020.

 
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Posted: #88

Lauren Boebert last tweeted on Tuesday night when she
claimed the “red wave” had started to sweep across the US.

“The red wave has begun!” she wrote

“America First is winning!” she added.

Then, for the next 36 hours, not a peep was heard
from Ms Boebert, as her race took an unexpected turn and
the so-called red wave failed to materialise across America.

an_beatup

 

*note .....Lauren Booby likely still wins her seat back.....but it wasn't supposed to be anywhere NEAR this close!  That's the point.

 
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Posted: #89

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Lauren Boebert last tweeted on Tuesday night when she claimed the “red wave” had started to sweep across the US. “The red wave has begun!” she wrote “America First is winning!” she added. Then, for the next 36 hours, not a peep was heard from Ms Boebert, as her race took an unexpected turn and the so-called red wave failed to materialise across America.  

*note .....Lauren Booby likely still wins her seat back.....but it wasn't supposed to be anywhere NEAR this close!  That's the point.

 

i wonder if she will remain a vocal antagonist in congress now

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #90

Massachusetts GOP Gov. Charlie Baker
says Trump is to blame

 

CNN —
Charlie Baker, the moderate Republican governor of Massachusetts,
said former President Donald Trump’s influence hurt their party in
this year’s midterm elections as voters demonstrated they
“aren’t interested in extremism.”

In an interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper, Baker said Trump
“hurt the party’s chances on Election Day, not just here in
Massachusetts and Maryland, but in many of those other
battleground states.”

 
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Posted: #91

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Massachusetts GOP Gov. Charlie Baker says Trump is to blame   CNN — Charlie Baker, the moderate Republican governor of Massachusetts, said former President Donald Trump’s influence hurt their party in this year’s midterm elections as voters demonstrated they “aren’t interested in extremism.” In an interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper, Baker said Trump “hurt the party’s chances on Election Day, not just here in Massachusetts and Maryland, but in many of those other battleground states.”

He's obviously spot on about that!   The voters have spoken loud and clear!

 
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Posted: #92

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

an_police  I just laid $17,000  on republicans
  to control the HOUSE after the elections

The "mid-term HOUSE flip" happens nearly every 1st midterm of a new president.  It's a solid trend.  So like I've been saying here  REPEATEDLY for more than a year,  I may as well profit from it! moneybag  Afterall, this is a betting website, and business is business.

 

an_clap     Congrats sir!     moneybag     win

 

 

 
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Posted: #93

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Massachusetts GOP Gov. Charlie Baker
says Trump is to blame

 

CNN —
Charlie Baker, the moderate Republican governor of Massachusetts,
said former President Donald Trump’s influence hurt their party in
this year’s midterm elections as voters demonstrated they
“aren’t interested in extremism.”

In an interview with CNN’s Jake Tapper, Baker said Trump
“hurt the party’s chances on Election Day, not just here in
Massachusetts and Maryland, but in many of those other
battleground states.”

 

as midnight1 says  baker is a decent guy

and he makes a good point on that

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #94

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

By looking at all of those race odds, GOP is heavily favored to retake both chambers and grabs great majority of gubernatorial races from this midterms. Republicans are going to be exuberant tomorrow and going forward.

 

huge  flop     an_beatup

 

in modern history no party has underperformed expectations as badly as the republicans just did

an_cheers

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #95

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

@fubah2 BTW Fubah, I'm pulling for Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. She is currently trailing her opponent Kelly Tshibaka by 1.5 points, I hope Murkowski overtakes this thing up.

 

and u  r  a winner !!  an_cheers

 

Murkowski made the comeback and whupped the candidate that trump endorsed

another virtual slap in the face to trumpism  an_woo

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #96

@sundance

 Minor correction / reality check. Cheney and Kinzinger are HONEST republicans, not arse kissing, anything for Donny, loyalists.

peace

Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #97

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: @fubah2 BTW Fubah, I'm pulling for Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. She is currently trailing her opponent Kelly Tshibaka by 1.5 points, I hope Murkowski overtakes this thing up.   and u  r  a winner !!    Murkowski made the comeback and whupped the candidate that trump endorsed another virtual slap in the face to trumpism

Nice! Good to see a moderate Republican triumph over the trumpism candidate. Dems and independents surely help Sen. Murkowski in this midterm as well.  

Lisa Murkowski  an_clap

 
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Posted: #98

Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:

Quote Originally Posted by sundance: Amazing you guys actually believe this report from 'fake' Republicans. The definition of a 'fake' Republican is Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger. And here is living proof why it won't matter to the low-IQ people who crawled out from under the rock that was lifted in 2016.   Liz stands for everything a true Conservative Republican would claim to want, yet she is chastised for going against Dear Leader.

Liz is a piece of sh@t that stands for everything that her 'dear daddy supported.  Ol man Dick lived up to his name.  A salty ass ribbed raw by Trump.. .   To which I say.  Deal w it you Dick !! Lol 

 
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Posted: #99

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Heavily favored for the HOUSE, yes.   Only marginal favs for the Senate, but personally I anticipate the GOP gaining 2 seats there, for a 52-48 majority. This "House turnover" is now accepted as a common and expected occurence during the first midterms of a new president.  Should be of no surprise.   Turnout is typically significantly lower by voters whose party has the WH.  My belief is that there is no compelling urgency for those voters to get out and vote for the President's party (whether GOP or Dem) because they know that regardless the results on midterm election day, a flipped congress can do very little with veto power still in the President's hip pocket.  That all changes of course after his term is up!  But during midterms, it's a thing.  Thus, despite all the hype about issues, it isn't about issues.  The flip comes almost entirely due to turnout numbers.  The president's party have less reason to go out and stand in EXTREMELY long, gerry-mandered lineups to defend the President's party when in truth he still has control (with veto power)!  Meanwhile the losers come out in full force because they are still bummed they LOST two years earlier.  By winning the HOUSE, a party can effectively "gridlock" government for 2 years.  Their tactic then is to use the fact that nothing good happened during those final two years as a major talking point to make the President and his party look like  failures!  This hurts America, of course, which is a bad thing, but politically it's sound strategy. Anyway that's why I have placed nearly $27,000 in bets on the republicans!!   I wanna scoop some easy profits off this common event. I'm pulling for the Dems, but historic trend really favors GOP in this midterm. BOL to you, bud!

No..  . If you knew anything you would understand that the minority party  does better against the president's party in the mid terms. 

 

 
 
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Posted: #100

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: @fubah2 BTW Fubah, I'm pulling for Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. She is currently trailing her opponent Kelly Tshibaka by 1.5 points, I hope Murkowski overtakes this thing up.   and u  r  a winner !!    Murkowski made the comeback and whupped the candidate that trump endorsed another virtual slap in the face to trumpism Nice! Good to see a moderate Republican triumph over the trumpism candidate. Dems and independents surely help Sen. Murkowski in this midterm as well.   Lisa Murkowski an_clap

 

Yes, she's one of the very few decent ones among the current republicans in Congress.

 

 

 

 

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