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Just Bet on Presidential Election

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Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 28
Posted: #251

trump -275

biden +200

whoever middled with me..congrats

dont get no easieran_lightgoodpost

 

 
Captain
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 7256
Posted: #252

Quote Originally Posted by atswinner39:

trump -275 biden +200 whoever middled with me..congrats dont get no easier

+180 action before and now +200 during... guaranteed profit peace_5

Save America
 
Captain
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Posts: 5303
Posted: #253

In CNN they already have diarrhea.

 
MVP
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Posts: 16126
Posted: #254

Trump is -340 now lmfaooooooo 

 
Prospect
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Posts: 342
Posted: #255

 If Biden wins, everyone looses!

 

 
Veteran
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Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 2982
Posted: #256

Surprise media and pollsters made things up again.

 

Even more surprising, people believed them.

 

The late vote is always heavily Republican people. Enjoy your evening.

B B B and B
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2982
Posted: #257

@fubah2

 He won't make it to 2024

B B B and B
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59683
Posted: #258

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @Circus_Bettor  Keep smoking pal.  Odds on winning the popular vote are UP to -1150. Tell me where I can get -300.  Please.  Did Trump tell you this? Vanzack: "I bet a lot of money on Biden." (paraphrase) What is "a lot." Are you a serious data person? Show us a ticket.  I actually believe the previous poster when he said he bet $80,000. At least he is up front. You however, can be accused of being dodgy, unless 1) you admit your losses in 2016, and 2) you tell us how much "a lot" is to you. A lot to me could be more than what you are wagering. Seems kind of the responsible thing to do.

You need some self reflection pal.

A lot to me means a lot to me.  If I normally bet 50 a game, that might mean 500.  If I normally bet 5,000 per game, that might be 50,000.  And so on.

You think I have a responsibility to some gatekeeping internet troll to provide personal information?  You are delusional.

And I do think you owe an apology to Buffer.  You can't even bet on the popular vote anymore because the odds are so high on Biden right now.

 

 
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Legend
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Posted: #259

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @Circus_Bettor  Keep smoking pal.  Odds on winning the popular vote are UP to -1150. Tell me where I can get -300.  Please.  Did Trump tell you this? Vanzack: "I bet a lot of money on Biden." (paraphrase) What is "a lot." Are you a serious data person? Show us a ticket.  I actually believe the previous poster when he said he bet $80,000. At least he is up front. You however, can be accused of being dodgy, unless 1) you admit your losses in 2016, and 2) you tell us how much "a lot" is to you. A lot to me could be more than what you are wagering. Seems kind of the responsible thing to do. You need some self reflection pal. A lot to me means a lot to me.  If I normally bet 50 a game, that might mean 500.  If I normally bet 5,000 per game, that might be 50,000.  And so on. You think I have a responsibility to some gatekeeping internet troll to provide personal information?  You are delusional. And I do think you owe an apology to Buffer.  You can't even bet on the popular vote anymore because the odds are so high on Biden right now.

Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada... these key battleground states are still counting mail-in ballots, it should take few more days to settle the final tally. The potential flip of state of Arizona might be crucial to Biden/Harris ticket. Biden is still in the game, good luck Van. 

 
All-Star
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Joined: Jul, 2013
Posts: 14854
Posted: #260

Quote Originally Posted by Europa:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @Circus_Bettor  Keep smoking pal.  Odds on winning the popular vote are UP to -1150. Tell me where I can get -300.  Please.  Did Trump tell you this? Vanzack: "I bet a lot of money on Biden." (paraphrase) What is "a lot." Are you a serious data person? Show us a ticket.  I actually believe the previous poster when he said he bet $80,000. At least he is up front. You however, can be accused of being dodgy, unless 1) you admit your losses in 2016, and 2) you tell us how much "a lot" is to you. A lot to me could be more than what you are wagering. Seems kind of the responsible thing to do. You need some self reflection pal. A lot to me means a lot to me.  If I normally bet 50 a game, that might mean 500.  If I normally bet 5,000 per game, that might be 50,000.  And so on. You think I have a responsibility to some gatekeeping internet troll to provide personal information?  You are delusional. And I do think you owe an apology to Buffer.  You can't even bet on the popular vote anymore because the odds are so high on Biden right now. Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada... these key battleground states are still counting mail-in ballots, it should take few more days to settle the final tally. The potential flip of state of Arizona might be crucial to Biden/Harris ticket. Biden is still in the game, good luck Van.

None of that is as concerning as what Trump and his lawyers will try to do. I don’t think Biden is losing the election based on votes. This is exactly why I decided not to bet this thing. To have my money tied up with these books for weeks or months would have driven me crazy. 

 
Legend
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Joined: Dec, 2003
Posts: 40788
Posted: #261

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @Circus_Bettor  Keep smoking pal.  Odds on winning the popular vote are UP to -1150. Tell me where I can get -300.  Please.  Did Trump tell you this? Vanzack: "I bet a lot of money on Biden." (paraphrase) What is "a lot." Are you a serious data person? Show us a ticket.  I actually believe the previous poster when he said he bet $80,000. At least he is up front. You however, can be accused of being dodgy, unless 1) you admit your losses in 2016, and 2) you tell us how much "a lot" is to you. A lot to me could be more than what you are wagering. Seems kind of the responsible thing to do. You need some self reflection pal. A lot to me means a lot to me.  If I normally bet 50 a game, that might mean 500.  If I normally bet 5,000 per game, that might be 50,000.  And so on. You think I have a responsibility to some gatekeeping internet troll to provide personal information?  You are delusional. And I do think you owe an apology to Buffer.  You can't even bet on the popular vote anymore because the odds are so high on Biden right now. Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada... these key battleground states are still counting mail-in ballots, it should take few more days to settle the final tally. The potential flip of state of Arizona might be crucial to Biden/Harris ticket. Biden is still in the game, good luck Van. None of that is as concerning as what Trump and his lawyers will try to do. I don’t think Biden is losing the election based on votes. This is exactly why I decided not to bet this thing. To have my money tied up with these books for weeks or months would have driven me crazy.

Looks like this potential legal action will drag for a while, however stock market says the opposite thing. It is charging ahead as of now, so it is seeing quick election settlement.    

 
Legend
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Posted: #262

Big line move on PA just happened.  Biden is now -190 to win PA.

 
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Prospect
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Posts: 403
Posted: #263

@searchwarrant

 Hows that working out for youan_wink

 
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Posted: #264

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Big line move on PA just happened.  Biden is now -190 to win PA.

Considering the popularity of this event, I was curious about your thoughts on the wild swings in odds last night into today during live betting. Depending on when you bet you could have gotten Biden or Trump at +300, which is insane, and that’s to say nothing of people hedging their initial bets. I’m sure you got in on some of that action but I’m wondering if that kind of volatility for an event as big as this is something the books like or would want. 

 
Legend
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Posted: #265

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Big line move on PA just happened.  Biden is now -190 to win PA. Considering the popularity of this event, I was curious about your thoughts on the wild swings in odds last night into today during live betting. Depending on when you bet you could have gotten Biden or Trump at +300, which is insane, and that’s to say nothing of people hedging their initial bets. I’m sure you got in on some of that action but I’m wondering if that kind of volatility for an event as big as this is something the books like or would want.

I missed a lot of opportunities.

As much as I want to say I am like a robot, I am not, and last night tension and anxiety got to me and I made some less than perfect decisions.

I will do well if Biden wins.  I will lose more state bet money than I win though.  I feel like I could've done a lot better - kind of that feeling you have when your team is winning and you say "I should've bet more".

Looking at the numbers and the map now it is hard to see a way Biden loses.  But I am prepared for anything.  And accepting of the outcome.

PS-  I could've gotten Biden at +480 at 10:02pm last night.  I took a pic of the screen.  And you can get Trump now at +520.  It is crazy.

 
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
All-Star
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Posted: #266

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: Big line move on PA just happened.  Biden is now -190 to win PA. Considering the popularity of this event, I was curious about your thoughts on the wild swings in odds last night into today during live betting. Depending on when you bet you could have gotten Biden or Trump at +300, which is insane, and that’s to say nothing of people hedging their initial bets. I’m sure you got in on some of that action but I’m wondering if that kind of volatility for an event as big as this is something the books like or would want. I missed a lot of opportunities. As much as I want to say I am like a robot, I am not, and last night tension and anxiety got to me and I made some less than perfect decisions. I will do well if Biden wins.  I will lose more state bet money than I win though.  I feel like I could've done a lot better - kind of that feeling you have when your team is winning and you say "I should've bet more". Looking at the numbers and the map now it is hard to see a way Biden loses.  But I am prepared for anything.  And accepting of the outcome. PS-  I could've gotten Biden at +480 at 10:02pm last night.  I took a pic of the screen.  And you can get Trump now at +520.  It is crazy.


I’ve never been very good at live-betting myself and I can only imagine the tension and anxiety last night, even for a cold-blooded shark like you (and I mean that in the best of terms:) I was being conservative with my +300 number, I’m sure they got as high as you say. What’s amazing is those numbers stayed there for a while, considering how slowly results come in, compared to a sporting event, where things can change within seconds, so people had more time to think about it, which probably only made second guessing oneself more likely:) Anyway, I hope you more than make up for for that Hillary thing. She was a disaster of a candidate, in hindsight. peace_5

 

 
 
Legend
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Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59683
Posted: #267

@begginerboy

 I did really well.  Hope you did also.  I might not collect until 2022, but I will be patient.

an_cheers

 
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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