I am a bit nervous over Minnesota due to possible BLM backlash, but can't think of why Nevada would go red. The state economy is a mess due to Covid which many blame on Trump's response, + four more years of Californians relocating to the state.
0
Quote Originally Posted by searchwarrant:
Nevada Minnesota
I am a bit nervous over Minnesota due to possible BLM backlash, but can't think of why Nevada would go red. The state economy is a mess due to Covid which many blame on Trump's response, + four more years of Californians relocating to the state.
It makes me laugh seeing you say that Biden supporters are the ones hiding buffer, you can literally get doxed and lose your job for wearing trump gear... not sure where your seeing the trumpers go after biden supporters unless your at a family dinner
3
It makes me laugh seeing you say that Biden supporters are the ones hiding buffer, you can literally get doxed and lose your job for wearing trump gear... not sure where your seeing the trumpers go after biden supporters unless your at a family dinner
Both are dog shiit, but Trump less stench. if only he would stay off twitter but he can't help it. He is think skinned and a malignant narcissist. Joe will need hospice soon for his dementia and if he wins Kamala will run the country with alt left policies. RIP AMERICA if Biden wins...
3
Both are dog shiit, but Trump less stench. if only he would stay off twitter but he can't help it. He is think skinned and a malignant narcissist. Joe will need hospice soon for his dementia and if he wins Kamala will run the country with alt left policies. RIP AMERICA if Biden wins...
We need trump?? We need a businessman?? trump is a FAILED businessman that has filed bankruptcy from 1991 to 2009 he has files 6 times with his hotels and casinos. Is that the type of person that you see as successful? NO trump is and ha always been a con man PLUS he is a racist POS, PATHOLOGICAL LIAR and will say anything to get elected so NO we do NOT need him he is by far the dumbest most ignorant person to occupy the white house. Us New Yorkers have seen this man close up and told the country the truth about him UNFIT, UNQUALIFIED and a CROOK!!! Also PLEASE stop watching the FAUX NOISE CHANNEL it kills brain cells and your ability to think for yourself. Also man PLEASE educate yourself Cheney did NOT OWN HALLIBURTON he was Chairman and CEO from 1995 - 2000. You said he owned the company lol WOW typical trump supporter.
6
@Allie0729
We need trump?? We need a businessman?? trump is a FAILED businessman that has filed bankruptcy from 1991 to 2009 he has files 6 times with his hotels and casinos. Is that the type of person that you see as successful? NO trump is and ha always been a con man PLUS he is a racist POS, PATHOLOGICAL LIAR and will say anything to get elected so NO we do NOT need him he is by far the dumbest most ignorant person to occupy the white house. Us New Yorkers have seen this man close up and told the country the truth about him UNFIT, UNQUALIFIED and a CROOK!!! Also PLEASE stop watching the FAUX NOISE CHANNEL it kills brain cells and your ability to think for yourself. Also man PLEASE educate yourself Cheney did NOT OWN HALLIBURTON he was Chairman and CEO from 1995 - 2000. You said he owned the company lol WOW typical trump supporter.
I think there is great value in Trump to repeat in Michigan at +200. Biden is missing the mark with some groups that he absolutely needs to win here. Complete toss up again so take the plus money
5
I think there is great value in Trump to repeat in Michigan at +200. Biden is missing the mark with some groups that he absolutely needs to win here. Complete toss up again so take the plus money
I am not exactly understanding the love for Trump. He is not a good businessman(6 business bankruptcies, USFL, airline, trump university, CASINOS lol etc), is 400 million in debt, didnt build a wall, didnt get you a better health plan, didnt reduce the deficit, cut taxes permanently for the wealthy and still reduced unemployment by a mere 1.2%(take a look at Obama and Biden record in comparison by every metric a better economy), ignores science, repeatedly insults the military(McCain not a hero, only idiots serve etc), has more cabinet turnover than a drunken khardasian, and panders to the Christian right even though he is has never acted like or practiced Christianity.
But like I said on a previous post. Numbers dont lie and Vegas doesnt give away money for free. Biden is minus 200 for a reason. Nate Silver, who is by far the most accurate political forecaster out there has done 40k simulations. Biden wins 9 out 10 times.
6
I am not exactly understanding the love for Trump. He is not a good businessman(6 business bankruptcies, USFL, airline, trump university, CASINOS lol etc), is 400 million in debt, didnt build a wall, didnt get you a better health plan, didnt reduce the deficit, cut taxes permanently for the wealthy and still reduced unemployment by a mere 1.2%(take a look at Obama and Biden record in comparison by every metric a better economy), ignores science, repeatedly insults the military(McCain not a hero, only idiots serve etc), has more cabinet turnover than a drunken khardasian, and panders to the Christian right even though he is has never acted like or practiced Christianity.
But like I said on a previous post. Numbers dont lie and Vegas doesnt give away money for free. Biden is minus 200 for a reason. Nate Silver, who is by far the most accurate political forecaster out there has done 40k simulations. Biden wins 9 out 10 times.
Only stupid people could vote for Trump, someone who induces people not to wear a mask. someone who wants to take away medicaid and Obama Care. someone who thinks dictatorship is better than democracy. He belongs in the White House, like a bull belongs in a China shop. its time to tell him to BOUNCE!!!!
Keep posting about game statistics and trends and lay off the Biden juice
Scared Money Don’t Make Money
7
Quote Originally Posted by RLeith35:
Only stupid people could vote for Trump, someone who induces people not to wear a mask. someone who wants to take away medicaid and Obama Care. someone who thinks dictatorship is better than democracy. He belongs in the White House, like a bull belongs in a China shop. its time to tell him to BOUNCE!!!!
Keep posting about game statistics and trends and lay off the Biden juice
Biden wins this in a landslide b/c the people have come out of the woodwork to vote this time around. Blacks didnt vote for Hillary in 2016 like they did with Obama but they are this year. Trump is a madman and a wannabe dictator. He is corrupt and I dont see how people like this guy so much. He is a morally bad person. Most of Biden's supporters are lying low and quiet b/c they dont want confrontation with Trump supporters. These Trump supporters are crazy people. Very mental. Believe me I have a lot of them in my family and they are plain nuts and racist. Trump or the republicans dont give a damn about middle class white people. Dont be so freaken ignorant. Most people fear Biden will stop fracking etc. He's not dumb he understands whats important to our economy and jobs. Im all for tax increases for families making over 400k per year. BTW, Trump was never wealthy filing bankruptcy 6x and evading paying taxes. He needs to be put behind bars for good so he can think about all the bad karma he's dished out and how its all come 360 to bite him in the a**. Can't believe so many people are so fascinated with this prick!
yeah right.... The trump supporters are the one out looting and burning their cities down. Lmao everything in your accusations are flipped side ways. It’s the other around buddy.
Scared Money Don’t Make Money
5
Quote Originally Posted by buffer:
Biden wins this in a landslide b/c the people have come out of the woodwork to vote this time around. Blacks didnt vote for Hillary in 2016 like they did with Obama but they are this year. Trump is a madman and a wannabe dictator. He is corrupt and I dont see how people like this guy so much. He is a morally bad person. Most of Biden's supporters are lying low and quiet b/c they dont want confrontation with Trump supporters. These Trump supporters are crazy people. Very mental. Believe me I have a lot of them in my family and they are plain nuts and racist. Trump or the republicans dont give a damn about middle class white people. Dont be so freaken ignorant. Most people fear Biden will stop fracking etc. He's not dumb he understands whats important to our economy and jobs. Im all for tax increases for families making over 400k per year. BTW, Trump was never wealthy filing bankruptcy 6x and evading paying taxes. He needs to be put behind bars for good so he can think about all the bad karma he's dished out and how its all come 360 to bite him in the a**. Can't believe so many people are so fascinated with this prick!
yeah right.... The trump supporters are the one out looting and burning their cities down. Lmao everything in your accusations are flipped side ways. It’s the other around buddy.
Joeymargs- I understand your point although Trump, albeit famous was unknown as to his ability to do well in govt. Private sector experience doesnt always translate to effective in politics. Think the mid-terms when Trump endorsed candidates lost pretty handily was an indication of his popularity aside from his base. People love the MAGA stuff and so forth, but there are an awful lot of us who thought America was already great and this guy has shown no ability to bring people together. He divides people, name calls, and otherwise acts like an immature teenager. We have become the laughing stock of the world. I hope people see that, because the solutions are not to become more like him(the debates for example, immaturity on both sides) it is to distance ourselves from people like him. Anyway I got about 1600 on Biden, half at even money and I hope the dems take back the senate too. I also hope we all become a little less tribal. The 2 most successful presidents in my lifetime were clinton and reagan. We actually had a congress and a president that did big things together.
2
Joeymargs- I understand your point although Trump, albeit famous was unknown as to his ability to do well in govt. Private sector experience doesnt always translate to effective in politics. Think the mid-terms when Trump endorsed candidates lost pretty handily was an indication of his popularity aside from his base. People love the MAGA stuff and so forth, but there are an awful lot of us who thought America was already great and this guy has shown no ability to bring people together. He divides people, name calls, and otherwise acts like an immature teenager. We have become the laughing stock of the world. I hope people see that, because the solutions are not to become more like him(the debates for example, immaturity on both sides) it is to distance ourselves from people like him. Anyway I got about 1600 on Biden, half at even money and I hope the dems take back the senate too. I also hope we all become a little less tribal. The 2 most successful presidents in my lifetime were clinton and reagan. We actually had a congress and a president that did big things together.
Trump will win Biden is tanking in all the polls that were correct in 2016. Two main reasons are his get rid of the oil industry statement and Biden’s corruption with his son. The Democrats look and are now worried because Trump is now leading in Pennsylvania.
2
Trump will win Biden is tanking in all the polls that were correct in 2016. Two main reasons are his get rid of the oil industry statement and Biden’s corruption with his son. The Democrats look and are now worried because Trump is now leading in Pennsylvania.
Look - this isnt a politics forum. So lets talk strictly numbers....
By all polls and statistical analysis, Biden has about a 90% chance of winning but yet the line is -200 (67%). That is what needs to be analyzed if you are going to bet.
The argument for betting Trump: The polls - for some reason - do not accurately measure this guy and that he is a total anomaly for what has been established in polling for generations. This is possible. But I will point to several statistical analysis that show that even if he gets the same bounce in relation to the polls that he got in 2016 he still loses. It has to be bigger than 2016.
The argument for betting Biden: There is no correlation between Trump the candidate and what happened in 2016. In any situation, a 15% (what Trump was before the election) comes in 1 out of 7 times - and 2016 was that 1 time. This time - you can get a -900 favorite for -200 and there is value there.
Why is the line so much lower than the polls? I would say it is because of results bias from 2016, and a closer tie to betting and fandom than in any sport by an exponential factor. If you like Trump, you will bet Trump. If you like Biden, you will bet Biden. There is nothing close to this in sports. There is also such a limited sample size (1 event every 4 years) that a recency effect of 2016 is still there - and is making Biden cheaper than the polls suggest.
Electoral college: Anyone will admit that Biden has more of a road to 270 than Trump. But Trump backers will say if one state goes his way, all will - which is what happened in 2016.
My money is on Biden at -200. I can't ignore the numbers. I can't ignore the immense voting turnout. And I can't ignore the electoral college map.
Biden -200 for a lot. And I mean a lot.
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
8
Look - this isnt a politics forum. So lets talk strictly numbers....
By all polls and statistical analysis, Biden has about a 90% chance of winning but yet the line is -200 (67%). That is what needs to be analyzed if you are going to bet.
The argument for betting Trump: The polls - for some reason - do not accurately measure this guy and that he is a total anomaly for what has been established in polling for generations. This is possible. But I will point to several statistical analysis that show that even if he gets the same bounce in relation to the polls that he got in 2016 he still loses. It has to be bigger than 2016.
The argument for betting Biden: There is no correlation between Trump the candidate and what happened in 2016. In any situation, a 15% (what Trump was before the election) comes in 1 out of 7 times - and 2016 was that 1 time. This time - you can get a -900 favorite for -200 and there is value there.
Why is the line so much lower than the polls? I would say it is because of results bias from 2016, and a closer tie to betting and fandom than in any sport by an exponential factor. If you like Trump, you will bet Trump. If you like Biden, you will bet Biden. There is nothing close to this in sports. There is also such a limited sample size (1 event every 4 years) that a recency effect of 2016 is still there - and is making Biden cheaper than the polls suggest.
Electoral college: Anyone will admit that Biden has more of a road to 270 than Trump. But Trump backers will say if one state goes his way, all will - which is what happened in 2016.
My money is on Biden at -200. I can't ignore the numbers. I can't ignore the immense voting turnout. And I can't ignore the electoral college map.
Saving the lives of babies. Gun rights Freedom of speech. Law and order. Strong police. Lower taxes. Strong military. Small government. Small businesses thriving. Opening the country. Oil industry continuation. Capitalism and free trade. Healthy trade deals.
It looks like the story they told in Venezuela
2
Quote Originally Posted by westlake888:
Saving the lives of babies. Gun rights Freedom of speech. Law and order. Strong police. Lower taxes. Strong military. Small government. Small businesses thriving. Opening the country. Oil industry continuation. Capitalism and free trade. Healthy trade deals.
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