Just Bet on Presidential Election

@DoubleUp4Life

 That is very interesting and similar to what I have heard from legal bookmakers taking action.

@buffer

 He’s Not Dumb. 

@buffer

 I think you are right here Buffer.  Hard to imagine a scenario where Biden doesn't win the popular vote.

GL with your wager.

@bigddaddy1960

Imagine harder!

I compare this election to an team that overlooked it opposition the first time around as in 2016. All the pro Trumpers and Trumpettes came out of the woodwork to vote for Trump. He wont be overlooked this year as every person who took it for granted Hillary would win or didnt want to vote for a woman president will come out and vote this time around. Already 70pct of 2016 votes have been casted and you cant tell me thats people for Trump. People want this arrogant bastard out of office. Everything is always about him! BTW, there are a lot of people who voted for him in 2016 that are not voting for him this year. 

GL, Buff and Van!   

@vanzack

 Is any of your “I mean a lot” amount have to do with hedging any market? 

@buffer

 Yeah - but that is a lot of conjecture.  Nice narrative, but still conjecture.

I think the key is the state maps.  Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin are up in the 90+% range. 

If Biden gets all 3, he very likely only needs to win 1 of FL, PA, NC, GA, AZ, OH, TX.

To me, that is well worth -200.  And the popular bet is a foregone conclusion.  It is up to -950 now, but that is as close to a lock as you can get.

Just put some on Trump +160.  I also got Texas -400, FLA -160 and a few other states that backed Trump in 2016.

Trump is Putin's DOG. PERIOD. Stupid people who support this orange face guy are just beyond stupid. This idiot Trump is great for stupid talk and there are so many idiot out there. How the hell you support the guy who does care about you. Stupid people coms to his rally and later get sick and die. How stupid are those Trump supporters? TRUMP SUPPORTERS= YOU ARE ALL STUPID. 

@kcblitzkrieg

 Total transparency here....

I bet a big position about 45 days ago on Biden at an average of -108.  I then sold some of it at a slight loss about 30 days ago, but sold some of it at a gain about 10 days ago.  I bet more at -200 last night.

I am averaged in at about -145 for a big position.

Trump may win up to 30% of the black vote and similar figure of the hispanic vote.  That will put him in the landslide category as opposed to high margin victory. These are internal poll numbers that are not available to the public as are real clear politics.

When will America actually be great again? This MAGA statement doesn't hold up.  4 years not great yet,  what gives?

Nice analysis. The voter turnout is a big tell, and the fandom observation is correct. My only question or worry is, what if Trump somehow muddles the result and there is no official result for weeks? Do the books keep your money until then? And what if he is able to get the courts involved and they decide the winner? Do you then lose your money? 

People like you are the reason why I vote for Trump.  You think anyone who doesn't share your view is stupid.  People like you never look in the mirror to see what you really are.  An ignorant fool who thinks his view is the only view and anyone who sees it different are stupid.

Polls are almost irrelevant at this point. There has been so much early voting.  Huge tell.

@begginerboy

 Yes.  And that risk has to be figured in.  Very good point that I missed in my write up.

If there was ever a thread filled with degenerates betting with their hearts.......

@vanzack

 Good deal, appreciate it and good luck 

@______P______

 They're known as exit polls. No, they are not irrelevant. 

Not easy to do when you have the left fighting you all the way. The left has tried to boot him 5 times, and still haven't gotten the job done. What gives?

Sooo early voting goes to the left? LOL! Prove it.

They were in 2016!