Brandon Lang
Super Bowl Winner ... 50 Dime Arizona Cardinals
10 Dime Money Line Bonus Arizona Cardinals
I've often been asked so many things about never losing this game.
How have I done it? Do I have a system? What has been the biggest key to hitting the Super Bowl every year of my career?
Simply
put, the one key is to look at the matchup. How do the two teams match
up with one another? Forget the season and look at the match up of this
game.
You can take what happened in the regular season and
playoffs to help gage where a team is at and what their weaknesses are
but for the most part, it's a game all to itself, especially with 2
weeks to prepare.
That is the biggest key of all.
Another
key is if I feel the underdog has a shot to win the game outright, I
roll with the dog because of the 42 Super bowls played, with the 3 that
feel right on the number withstanding, the straight up winner has
covered 34 of the 39.
I have looked at this game from every
angle possible and in my opinion I keep coming back to the same thing.
Which ever QB plays better and does not turn the ball over, his team
will win.
For my money today, it's Kurt Warner and not Ben
Roethlisberger, who I feel is due to implode. I have seen enough from
Warner in these playoffs and the past 1 1/2 years in this Cardinal
offense to jump on his bandwagon.
He has faced this Steelers
defense. He faced a good Ravens defense on the road last year. He is as
comfortable as I have ever seen him. He is better now than he ever was.
Experience will do that for you.
So enjoy the game folks and what I am confident will be Super bowl winner #17 in a row.
50
Dime Cardinals - Don't be surprised to see the Cardinals shock the
world and win this game outright. That's why we're playing a bonus on
the money line, because I do believe there's a chance the Redbirds win
this game.
I told you the same thing last year with the 11 point
underdog Giants and they didn't disappoint me and I am confident in
going for my 17th straight Super Bowl winner Arizona won't as well.
People
often asked me about the Giants call. They asked me if I could name one
thing that got me on the Giants what it was. My answer was always the
same.
I just couldn't see the Patriots blowing out the Giants
and quite frankly, I just don't see the Steelers blowing out the
Cardinals in this game either.
In picking the Giants I said if
they didn't lose the turnover battle, they would give themselves a shot
to win the game. They did just that as both the Patriots and G-men
turned it over once.
In their last 11 games, if the Arizona
Cardinals have a turnover advantage, they are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS.
When they don't, try 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS.
When they met in week
4 last year in Arizona, the Cardinals as 6 point home dogs upset the
Steelers 21-14 with each team turning it over twice.
Hines Ward
missed the game for the Steelers while Boldin missed it for Arizona and
Polamalu missed the 2nd half but most of the main players who did play
will be on the field Sunday give or take a few from both sides.
I talked on radio about so many intangibles involved in this game.
It
starts with Whisenhunt and his knowledge of everything Pittsburgh does
defensively since defensive coordinator **** Lebeau is one of his best
friends. Can you imagine the X's and O's talk they had golfing all the
time.
Some will argue the same goes for LeBeau and his knowledge
of what Whisenhunt likes to do offensively but trust me folks,
Whisenhunt didn't have the weapons in Pittsburgh he has at his disposal
now.
He also didn't have Todd Haley, as hot an offensive
coordinator the playoffs has ever seen, considering the Cardinals are
the first NFL team in history to put up 30 points in 3 straight playoff
games.
And Whisenhunt knows Ben Roethlisberger better than any coach in the NFL, even better than his own head coach Mike Tomlin.
After
the Steelers drafted Ben, it was Whisenhunt, then the offensive
coordinator who taught Ben everything about the offense, molded him and
along with that knows his every weakness as an NFL QB.
Whisenhunt can outsmart Big Ben and not the other way around.
Or
how about Russ Grimm, offensive line coach in Pittsburgh and now
assistant head coach in Arizona. How familiar is he with the defensive
line and blitzing schemes of Lebeau his offensive line will see Sunday.
Oh, and by the way, an Arizona offensive line that has started all 19 games together this year, unprecedented for an NFL season.
Lastly,
six other Cardinal coaches have ties to the Steelers, so much so people
have actually called Arizona the "Steelers" of the west. Information
like that is priceless in a game you have two weeks to prepare for.
Yes,
the Steelers have the best defense in the NFL across the board but they
haven't faced an offense like this all year long and especially an
offense peaking at exactly the right time with a QB playing the best
ball of his entire career.
I mean, think about this. The Eagles
came into Arizona with the 3rd best defense in the NFL and perhaps
playing their best ball of the entire year and the Cards shredded them
the entire first half.
Did they ease up in the 2nd half? You bet
they did but who could blame them up 24-6 but when the final bell
sounded, Warner led them on the game winning drive as cool and as calm
as could be.
Lastly, the Steelers offense has been inconsistent
all year and it's an offense the Cardinals match up very well against
defensively.
This is a much underrated defensive line that can
come after the one QB whose offensive line has allowed him to be sacked
more than any other QB in the NFL since 2004. They will get at least 3
sacks on Sunday.
Where I feel people are missing this game in
going with Pittsburgh is thinking the Steelers defensively are just
going to shut down Arizona. People, this is not happening on a neutral
field and 2 weeks to prepare.
They also think the Steelers
offense, which as mentioned above has been as inconsistent all year
long, is going to just roll over Arizona.
You know the offense I
am talking about. 10 points at Cleveland. 6 points at Philly. 14 at
home to the Giants. 11 at home to the Chargers. 14 at Tennessee and 13
at home to Dallas, (the other 7 came on the pick 6).
The
Steelers offense has been the benefit of a defense that for the most
part has handed them turnovers and great field position.
You
also can't discount what Arizona did defensively in the 2nd half of the
Falcons game, the entire Carolina game and the first half of the Eagles
game. A defensive line that has been together for the last 4 years.
Finally,
the Cardinals will not be intimidated by anything Pittsburgh does on
Sunday. This is a confident football team, led by confident coaches who
not only believe they can win, and knows they can win.
Of all
the teams the Steelers could have faced here in the Super bowl, they
are facing the one team that not only knows them but matches up well
with them across the board.
And in a game like this, more evenly
matched than people think your value sides with the underdog and a QB
who with a win today, punches his ticket to the Hall of fame.
This
game will go down to the wire. perhaps the last team with the ball gets
it done and maybe even OT but in my opinion, there will be no blowout
in what I feel will be a field goal game.
My 17th straight Super bowl winner is Arizona plus the points.