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Sweet 16 and Elite Eight Betting Trends
There is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. It’s on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Elite Eight for those teams that survived the opening two rounds.
Here are notes and trends related to the teams and seeds still kicking around:
Sweet 16 Trends:
• One-seed faves of less than 11 points off back to back ATS wins are 10-2 ATS
• Two-seeds are 12-5 ATS vs. opponents off a SU dog win
• Four-seed dogs are 2-8 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins
• Five-seeds are 1-4 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins
• Six-seeds off a double digit straight up win are 2-6 ATS
• Nine or higher seed dogs greater than two points are 3-10 ATS
• Favorites off a straight up win of 30 points or more are 4-0 ATS
• Favorites off back to back straight up wins of 15 points or more are 10-2 ATS
• Underdogs who scored less than 65 points last game are 7-3 ATS
• Underdogs off back to back dog wins are 2-9 ATS
• Underdogs who scored less than 85 points last game are 2-7 ATS
Best Team SU & ATS records in this round
Xavier: 3-0 ATS, Michigan St: 5-1 SU & ATS, Kentucky: 10-2 SU / 9-3 ATS, West Virginia: 3-1 ATS
Worst Team SU & ATS records in this round
Butler: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Tennessee: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Washington: 0-3 SU, Duke: 1-5 SU & ATS, Syracuse: 1-4 SU / 0-4-1 ATS, Purdue: 1-3 SU & ATS.
Best Conference ATS records in this round
Atlantic 10: 6-0, SEC: 8-2 as dogs, Big Ten: 14-5.
Worst Conference ATS records in this round
Big East: 0-5 as faves 7 points or less, Pac 10: 1-6 as dogs, Big 12: 1-5 as faves of less than 10 points, ACC: 3-11 as faves of 8 points or less.
Elite Eight trends
• One-seed faves greater than 7 points are 0-7 ATS vs. foe off back to back ATS wins
• Two-seeds are 2-9-1 ATS off a double-digit ATS win
• Three-seeds are 1-4 ATS
• Four-seeds are 7-1 ATS
• Five-seeds are 4-0 SU and ATS
• Six-seeds are 0-6 SU
• Eight or higher seeds are 6-2-2 ATS
• Teams off back to back ATS losses are 6-2 ATS
• Faves who scored less than 65 points last game are 0-5 ATS
• Dogs off three straight double digit wins are 1-4-1 ATS
• Dogs who scored less than 85 points last game are 1-4 ATS
Coach me if you can
• Jim Boeheim is 1-5-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games, but 6-0 ATS from the Elite Eight out.
• Tom Izzo is 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games.
• Bob Huggins is 1-9 ATS as an NCAA tourney dog or favorite of less than two points.
There is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. It’s on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Elite Eight for those teams that survived the opening two rounds.
Here are notes and trends related to the teams and seeds still kicking around:
Sweet 16 Trends:
• One-seed faves of less than 11 points off back to back ATS wins are 10-2 ATS
• Two-seeds are 12-5 ATS vs. opponents off a SU dog win
• Four-seed dogs are 2-8 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins
• Five-seeds are 1-4 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins
• Six-seeds off a double digit straight up win are 2-6 ATS
• Nine or higher seed dogs greater than two points are 3-10 ATS
• Favorites off a straight up win of 30 points or more are 4-0 ATS
• Favorites off back to back straight up wins of 15 points or more are 10-2 ATS
• Underdogs who scored less than 65 points last game are 7-3 ATS
• Underdogs off back to back dog wins are 2-9 ATS
• Underdogs who scored less than 85 points last game are 2-7 ATS
Best Team SU & ATS records in this round
Xavier: 3-0 ATS, Michigan St: 5-1 SU & ATS, Kentucky: 10-2 SU / 9-3 ATS, West Virginia: 3-1 ATS
Worst Team SU & ATS records in this round
Butler: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Tennessee: 0-3 SU / 1-2 ATS, Washington: 0-3 SU, Duke: 1-5 SU & ATS, Syracuse: 1-4 SU / 0-4-1 ATS, Purdue: 1-3 SU & ATS.
Best Conference ATS records in this round
Atlantic 10: 6-0, SEC: 8-2 as dogs, Big Ten: 14-5.
Worst Conference ATS records in this round
Big East: 0-5 as faves 7 points or less, Pac 10: 1-6 as dogs, Big 12: 1-5 as faves of less than 10 points, ACC: 3-11 as faves of 8 points or less.
Elite Eight trends
• One-seed faves greater than 7 points are 0-7 ATS vs. foe off back to back ATS wins
• Two-seeds are 2-9-1 ATS off a double-digit ATS win
• Three-seeds are 1-4 ATS
• Four-seeds are 7-1 ATS
• Five-seeds are 4-0 SU and ATS
• Six-seeds are 0-6 SU
• Eight or higher seeds are 6-2-2 ATS
• Teams off back to back ATS losses are 6-2 ATS
• Faves who scored less than 65 points last game are 0-5 ATS
• Dogs off three straight double digit wins are 1-4-1 ATS
• Dogs who scored less than 85 points last game are 1-4 ATS
Coach me if you can
• Jim Boeheim is 1-5-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games, but 6-0 ATS from the Elite Eight out.
• Tom Izzo is 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS in Sweet 16 and Elite Eight games.
• Bob Huggins is 1-9 ATS as an NCAA tourney dog or favorite of less than two points.
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