Green Bay at Minnesota (10/05/2009)

Agreed. Over will hit and competition of the game will not be Favre vs Rodgers. It's Grant vs Peterson. Grant is going to hit 124yds while AD will go 160yds on the ground.

Over 45. These teams will both score plenty especially minnesota. The packers gave 17 to the rams who have been shut out twice. GB wont run much but they will put up some points. Vikings win 31-23

And I remember you gave Steeler's Troy P.  a grade C before the first game too..   That's ALL I need to know...

I'm thinking of a 6 pt teaser, with GB + 10.5 and over 40.5.  Here's an opportunity where just a 6 pt tease puts you in a key spot to cover a couple of hooks.

- I have to think the # on this game is overvalued for Favre.
- Key to this game is can GB stop AP.
- I expect it will be close either way, probably down to the last possession. 
- Neither team has beaten anyone good yet, though the best team beaten was likely GB over CHI.  Also on Mon nite.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay has a very good QB, but Aaron Rodgers suffers a lot of sacks and if he plays in this game like he did in the previous games, Minnesota will "take good care" of him. The Vikings D is very strong against the passing game, but they are even better when facing the opponents' rushing game, showing a lot of agressiveness and unless the Packers offensive line does an outstanding game, we will see Aaron Rodgers suffering a lof of sacks instead of making more good plays. Packers D has been very weak lately, if we don't count with their season opening, and if their running defense doesn't dramatically improve, they won't be able to stop the best rusher in the league, RB Adrian Peterson, and they will have a lot of problems to stop the Vikes ground offense.

This is the QB Brett Favre game that everyone wants to see, both the supports and the players as well, and all the Minnesota roster has stated they are supporting Brett Favre on this game, so everyone is on the same page and hopes to see him shine big time. For the veteran QB, this will be one of the most important games of his long career, with an added revenge factor motivation for Favre to show to his former team, that the "Packers" shouldn't let him go like they did.

The Vikings have this year a good an experience QB, something they didn't had before, they have the best rusher in the league, the head coach is not binded to play only the rushing game anymore, since he has now someone who can deliver the ball to his receivers, even in a very dramatic way like we saw in their last game, which for any opponent facing this Vikings O, is a living nightmare.

I believe that Favre will do his best to win this game, the team will support him, so the usual rivalry between Vikings and Packers as an added motive, and the edge after comparing Green Bay and Minnesota goes for the Vikings, not only because they have the home field advantage, but also because they have the better team, both on the offensive plan, and on the defensive plan as well. Henceforth, I think the Minnesota Vikings are going to win this game by 1 or more touchdowns.

Pick: Minnesota Vikings -3,5 -110 (1,91) Bookmaker

 

I like this bet....

 

 

I'm going to just take the over at 46.... MNF Over 3-1

HK always like your grading and i know that half or more of the posters on here don't realize that the grading is for this game coming up not for the past.  Please don't stop the grading because of the flack from some posters.

I'm taking that 6pt teaser just wish i would have had it yesterday in that Baltimore - New England game.

No offense Happy but WTF!!!! You gave Chester Taylor a better rating then Peterson. Peterson is #1 in the league, or #2. Taylor is not even in the top 8 or 10. I would bet that anyone in this forum would disagree with your  Peterson rating. You also have a couple of other ratings that are way out of wack that other people have mentioned as well. Your not helping anyone man.

I hear you -- actually I teased the under in that one and got lucky.  Teased it to under 51.5, along with the Jets +14.5.  I'd rather be lucky than good.  I did have the Pats covering straight up in that one and feel like I dodged another bullet.

I don't do a lot of teasers and am not recommending people get in the habit of it.  But I find that the key to using them effectively is when it gets you over or under a key number, like the Jets example above.  That situation exists tonight as well.

Line just moved from 4.5 to 5, so I may wait to see if it moves even higher, then grab GB + 11.5.

MINNIE - 4 1/2

OVER 46

lets gamble  VIKINGS AND OVER   ILL SAY 31-23 I HOPE!!!!!!!!!!!!

if that grading is for the game, I still don't get why you are giving AP C+/- whatever you gave him against Packers' Rushing Defense. 

Anyways I expect Favre to teach his old team a thing or two.

Minn -4.5
Over 45.5

GB  team total over 20 (-135)