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Green Bay at Seattle (01/18/2015)

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Posted: #51
Packers +7
Cowboy
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by Dogjimbo:

How many people will tease Seattle to -1 and N.E. to -.5? 

It sounds to good to be true.  Vegas knows that. 

One of these 2 teams will lose on Sunday.  I'm thinking.   or maybe I'm over thinking...  Sounds to easy. 

Any thoughts?

I don't think teasing is really necessary in conference championships as the team that usually wins covers the spread.. but yes 7 points is kind of high which is unusual. I could see a lot of tickets teasing the favorites down to a pick em

If I had to tease I would take my chances with Green Bay +13.5 and New England -0.5 but there's not much value in that.

if Seattle wins I see them winning by 7-10 pts, but I think Packers can make this game close and with a little luck winning it outright thus covering both sides. we'll see...

Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #53
Vegas getting EXACTLY what they want here. They put out a line of  7.5, the majority of the action is on GB, and the line hasn't moved. Meanwhile the betting action for IND @ NE is much closer yet the line has moved a full point. 

Its sports so anything can happen, but ill be with vegas this weekend taming SEA big.
buy $BTC
 
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Posted: #54
Taking* sea big.
buy $BTC
 
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Posted: #55

Quote Originally Posted by freedomteam:



I live in Wisconsin and am a Packers fan.  I was wondering this myself.  How hurt is Rodgers leg really?  I don't think that it's made up but it may not be as bad as made out to be.

Also, when I handicap this game with my common opponents point system, GB is a whopping 20+ over the Hawks.  After I add the +7.5, I get 27.5+.  For me to have a legitimate bet, I need +7 or over.  +27.5 is insane!  Only question is does Rodgers finish the game?  If so, They easily cover and probably win the game.

Your personal system??? Green Bay a 20+ point favorite?????? Take off your cheese colored glasses bro. That is the most egregious post I have seen on Covers in quite a while...and that's saying a lot.

Don't be shocked if no one respects anything you say from here on out. You not only sound like a homer. You make yourself look foolish.

PS...I have had the same calf injury. It does not heal in just a few weeks. Rodgers will be limited again. On the play last week where he threw the 5 yard TD pass, he had an EASY running lane to the end zone. A healthy Rodgers runs that in untouched 10 out of 10 times. Good luck with your homer Packer bet. You will need it.

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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

Vegas getting EXACTLY what they want here. They put out a line of  7.5, the majority of the action is on GB, and the line hasn't moved. Meanwhile the betting action for IND @ NE is much closer yet the line has moved a full point. 

Its sports so anything can happen, but ill be with vegas this weekend taming SEA big.

I don't think so, maybe on Covers.. The action is more like 50/50 in actual bets placed with the slight edge going to Seattle. And the line began at -7 and action quickly moved it half a point. The Pats are getting a lot of action based on the previous two blowouts. Its more like 62/38 but I guess the sharps brought it down to 6.5. 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

Your personal system??? Green Bay a 20+ point favorite?????? Take off your cheese colored glasses bro. That is the most egregious post I have seen on Covers in quite a while...and that's saying a lot.

Don't be shocked if no one respects anything you say from here on out. You not only sound like a homer. You make yourself look foolish.

PS...I have had the same calf injury. It does not heal in just a few weeks. Rodgers will be limited again. On the play last week where he threw the 5 yard TD pass, he had an EASY running lane to the end zone. A healthy Rodgers runs that in untouched 10 out of 10 times. Good luck with your homer Packer bet. You will need it.



Hey Genius, this is a point system, which doesn't mean a team will win by a certain amount points.  Think about this before you post your crazy rants.

I will try to write this in language that you can understand.

I hope that you can follow this?

You give points for certain aspects by both teams, in this case games against common opponents.  This has nothing to do with how many points a team will score.  If this had came out the other way, I would recommend the Hawks, but it doesn't.

Because I live in Wisconsin, I've seen every Packer game and commenting on Rodgers injury.

Good luck this weekend!
 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by freedomteam:



Hey Genius, this is a point system, which doesn't mean a team will win by a certain amount points.  Think about this before you post your crazy rants.

I will try to write this in language that you can understand.

I hope that you can follow this?

You give points for certain aspects by both teams, in this case games against common opponents.  This has nothing to do with how many points a team will score.  If this had came out the other way, I would recommend the Hawks, but it doesn't.

Because I live in Wisconsin, I've seen every Packer game and commenting on Rodgers injury.

Good luck this weekend!

I agree your personal system that has GB +20 in ANYTHING vs this Seattle team is a joke.  Don't quit your day job buddy!

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by sunnny:

Not so fast 
GB is not at this game for nothing 
Sure Seahawk D is good but all games played have been close 
Even Carolina game until a pick and a letdown In the 4 th
Don't count out Pack 
Smart money would be to take GB & GB moneyline 
Final score 
Packers 23
Seachickens 20

Seattle's MO is a slow start and then turn it on in the 2nd half.  After that, it's hammer time in the 4th quarter.  Don't be surprised if Seattle is trailing at half time.  Whatever the spread is now or by kickoff, Seattle will cover.

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by themyth:

If you've been following me on these lately, you'll know I've been on fire. Not bragging, just a fact, and when I get in the "zone" I just keep going with my initial instinct and stick to it.That being said,I like Seattle and over  -  GL to you all.   -  THE Myth
Are you dillusional? unless you mean if people play your picks they are literally lighting there $ on fire. You called the SEA/CAR absolutely backwards azz backwards. And your only fan ragged on a guy who practically picked the final score. Now you have the nerve to write this? Once again having it backwards azz backwards. This will be a tight game just like last yrs NFC Championship Game probably coming down to the last play again. GB +7'. Much value. Oh yeah, one more thing, I thought you said you didnt play favs -6 or higher in the NFL. Stop posting as if your experience has given you wisdom because it hasnt. Your ongoing sucky azz picks prove it.
 
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Posted: #61
Seattle won't lose in that hostile environment!!!!
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by chipperj:

I agree your personal system that has GB +20 in ANYTHING vs this Seattle team is a joke.  Don't quit your day job buddy!

Exactly. But his day job is peddling miracle cure potions at the circus. What kind of a capper comes on here peddling a system that favors Green Bay by over 20 points??? Only a clown!

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Posted: #63

Quote Originally Posted by freedomteam:



As far as this teaser goes, in my opinion it's a better bet to take Packers +13.

Thinking that way also, freedom.  Maybe even Colts +12.5 instead of N.E. -.5.  For those that think teasers are sucker bets.... No matter how you teased Sundays 4 teams last week...you won.  Sometimes it happens.

 
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Posted: #64
My mistake.  Saturday games.  Not Sunday. 
 
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Posted: #65
I hope Matt Flynn has been drinking his ovaltine shakes. 
 
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Posted: #66

Take it back Green Bay don't cover Seattle wins by 14 or more

I think Lacy probable garbage his pants after having a concussion last time.

 
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Posted: #67

Quote Originally Posted by tapnitruc:

Are you dillusional? unless you mean if people play your picks they are literally lighting there $ on fire. You called the SEA/CAR absolutely backwards azz backwards. And your only fan ragged on a guy who practically picked the final score. Now you have the nerve to write this? Once again having it backwards azz backwards. This will be a tight game just like last yrs NFC Championship Game probably coming down to the last play again. GB +7'. Much value. Oh yeah, one more thing, I thought you said you didnt play favs -6 or higher in the NFL. Stop posting as if your experience has given you wisdom because it hasnt. Your ongoing sucky azz picks prove it.

  tap's.  respect your elders.  (I'm old also) 

 
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Posted: #68
A pack-pat super bowl is what the public wants. 
I think an Indy-Seattle matchup would result in ambivalence.
Teasing the home teams seems like easy money.
So....I'll take both dogs on the ML for small amounts.
 
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Posted: #69
Seahawks with face a different Packers team than they did in week one.

Packers have much better defense, especially against the run.  Peppers has been playing lights out and moving Matthews around has helped as well.  Dallas has a better QB and better receivers than the Hawks and the Packers were able hold them to 21 points.

Since week one, on offense, the Packers have improved as well.  With all the weapons Rodgers has to throw to, Sherman can't possibly cover all of them all at the same time.  Big question is, will Rodgers last the entire game?  If he does, Green Bay has a chance.

With Rodgers being a question mark for the entire game, it looks like betting for either side is more of a guessing game than a solid pick.

   
 
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Posted: #70
I like the Seahawks to win in a close one., but I think a good bet would be to tease Green Bay to +13 and take the over.
 
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Posted: #71
Seattle's defense is far superior to Dallas'. GB is not gonna pull this one off. Rodgers' calf is hurting, he can't run but he can throw still. I can see Seattle being up a field goal heading into the 4Q but Seattle pulls away for a 10-13 point win as the 12th man will be too much ultimately. Not to mention Seattle is playing the best ball in the NFC, such as NE playing the best in the AFC. Both teams are going to win, Colts have a stronger shot at covering. GL people
 
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Posted: #72
I Love to see Packer fans unite, and I can tell you all that Green Bay is not out of this game and possibly creates the upset. They still have good offense and with capers as the defense of coach with a new scheme against Seattle don't count them out.                                          I say Green Bay wins and goes against the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl so let's hear it for the Green Bay Packers
 
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Posted: #73
Total bull, the Packers will win this game,  Rogers might not be that mobile however staying in the pocket with a quick release to one of his three should be no problem, Dom capers I'm sure will have a defense of skiing to hold the offense less say chickens down
The Packers win this game maybe by 1 2 or even three points but they do win the game
 
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Posted: #74
Well it's obvious the Seahawks like to run , and yes Rodgers is hurting. Carolina gave the Seahawks a game until the 4th quarter. Wilson will run it if he finds the open lane -- so would Rodgers if he could ( but not with that calf ) . I see more passing on the Packers part and more running on the Seahawks part.Seattle looks more and more like a 4th quarter team and that's when they should pull it out for a win. Close ? maybe. Rodgers will wait to take his pain meds ( legal ) until halftime , when he also comes back to life. If this goes over it will be barely. P.S. I called the Packers correct last week but took a shellacking on the Bronco's --- my analysis was off in both games so I'm gonna wait a little bit to see what the real line is going to be before anymore of my bread get's sliced ....
 
 
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Posted: #75
Green Bay Wins 
Enough said 
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