Miami at Buffalo (11/29/2009)

Away:  Miami [5-5 ATS]
Home:  Buffalo [5-5 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Recent Meetings:
10/04/09 - BUF 10 vs. MIA 38

Team Leaders:

Miami:
Passing: Chad Henne (1337)
Rushing: Ricky Williams (677)
Receiving: Davone Bess (397)

Buffalo:
Passing: Trent Edwards (1170)
Rushing: Fred Jackson (528)
Receiving: Terrell Owens (563)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

Bills lost both starting gaurds last week, which makes an already bad o-line now horrible. They allow alot of sacks and Miami is near the top of the league in sacks, so the QB will not have time to get it to the Bills strong Wrs.

Bills have the worst run D in the league, allowing 4.9 ypc, and Miami has a very strong running game, and with Pat White they can actually run some better wildcat plays than they had with Ronnie Brown in there.

Miami -3

Sparano has put the clamps down on the wildcat. I doubt we will see the wildpat this week. Last game I think they only ran 2 plays out of the wildcat. The didnt have to with the way that Reefer was running over Panthers.

Jason Ferguson is out for the season and that really sucks. The 15 year vet has been playing great all season. It is time for Soliai to step it up. He has shown glimpses of being a beast, but he doesn't consistently bring it. I would expect Miami to mix in more 4-3 fronts than usually, but there is enough depth for their D to continue to be stout against the run.

This week they play a Buffalo squad thats been banged up since 1999. Although Henne's stats against the Panthers wont wow anybody he looked very impressive. And pass defense is one of the few things that they Panthers actually do well. I look for Henne to have another solid game.

 Just seen that my Dolphins released Matt Roth...he has been out early in the season and has played a very limited role this season but we need all the experienced bodies we can get due to all of our injuries...

Also heard that we just signed off free agency former Lions and Hawaii Warrior DE/DT Ikaika Alama Francis. He has great work ethic and can play but not sure why the Lions released him. But with his pick up I think jerrywrasse hit it on the nose to where I think Miami will start to go from a 3-4 to a 4-3 defense more often.

Miami has been trying to find ways to put Porter, Taylor, and Wake on the field at the same time and going to a 4-3 defense might just do it.

The loss of Ronnie Brown was big for us but Ricky proved in the Panthers game that he can still play..Watch for up and coming Lex Hilliard to make an impact as well in the running game to keep Ricky's legs fresh. Lex can play and is hard to take down so with Ronnie out for the season this is his chance to shine.

No Ronnie = very minimal wildcat but the Dolphins proved they can run the ball conventional style.

I'm still worried about Miami's defense. They are 2 rookie corners learning as they go so mistakes will happen but they really need to be mistake free going up against T.O & Lee Evans. T.O had a big game last week so I'm looking for the Bills to test the young corners early

Miami's defense always shines for 3qtrs of their games...it's the 4th qtr that I worry about as we are the worst in the leauge in giving up points in the 4th qtr. If this game stays really close my balls will really hurt...

Both teams with lots of injuries so I'm not too sure if my Dolphins can take this one easily as the Bills have shown some life last week against the Jax...I know the Bills would love to spoil any chances of Miami going to the playoffs so it's very tough to call.

Anyway...

LET'S GO DOLPHINS!!!!!!!!!

Good luck bro

Miami seems like the pick, but there are too many factors that would have to be answered, in order for me to play this one. The line is set at where I think this game will be decided, so I'll go on to the next game.

Good luck to everyone that plays this one... For what's it's worth, I'd take the under. I think there will be a lot of punting in this one.

I don't usually like fading Vegas, but I like Miami to cover (77% public faves).  Buffalo’s secondary is good, but the rest of the team isn’t.  Henne is used to cold weather playing in MI, so that won’t be a problem.  Ronnie Brown being out isn’t a factor as Sticky Ricky can carry the load.  Dolphins need this win and Buffalo can call it a season.

Dolphins – 20  

Bills – 10.

division game take the 3.5 from the home team. Miami always has problems traveling and playing in buffalo (look past last year it was played in a dome)

Bills probably the best play on the board this week.