This is a tricky game. Anyone know where the sharp $$ is?
The Eagles cost me a nice little bit yesterday, thinking about the Pats m/l w over 47 to break me even. I am a bit worried about the horrible offensive line vs the KC pass rush, and by NFL math, the Chiefs should win as they beat the Dolphins who beat the Patriots with defense.
Thoughts?
This is a tricky game. Anyone know where the sharp $$ is?
The Eagles cost me a nice little bit yesterday, thinking about the Pats m/l w over 47 to break me even. I am a bit worried about the horrible offensive line vs the KC pass rush, and by NFL math, the Chiefs should win as they beat the Dolphins who beat the Patriots with defense.
Thoughts?
Too many people are talking about the Patriot's having a lot of talent... These are not the same Patriot's that were Superbowl contenders of previous years.
At which positions are they talented? The receivers are not good, the running backs are average at best, the offensive line is terrible, and Brady has been missing targets all season long.
The defense, however, has some talent. Chandler Jones is a great pass rusher that also plays the run very well. Hightower should be used in a pass rushing role much more tonight. Revis on the back end and McCourty at safety, are in good position to make plays.
With two bad offenisve lines and defenses that can easily get at the quarterback, I don't think many points are going to be put up tonight.
The under should be the play.
Too many people are talking about the Patriot's having a lot of talent... These are not the same Patriot's that were Superbowl contenders of previous years.
At which positions are they talented? The receivers are not good, the running backs are average at best, the offensive line is terrible, and Brady has been missing targets all season long.
The defense, however, has some talent. Chandler Jones is a great pass rusher that also plays the run very well. Hightower should be used in a pass rushing role much more tonight. Revis on the back end and McCourty at safety, are in good position to make plays.
With two bad offenisve lines and defenses that can easily get at the quarterback, I don't think many points are going to be put up tonight.
The under should be the play.
Too many people are talking about the Patriot's having a lot of talent... These are not the same Patriot's that were Superbowl contenders of previous years.
At which positions are they talented? The receivers are not good, the running backs are average at best, the offensive line is terrible, and Brady has been missing targets all season long.
The defense, however, has some talent. Chandler Jones is a great pass rusher that also plays the run very well. Hightower should be used in a pass rushing role much more tonight. Revis on the back end and McCourty at safety, are in good position to make plays.
With two bad offenisve lines and defenses that can easily get at the quarterback, I don't think many points are going to be put up tonight.
The under should be the play.
Too many people are talking about the Patriot's having a lot of talent... These are not the same Patriot's that were Superbowl contenders of previous years.
At which positions are they talented? The receivers are not good, the running backs are average at best, the offensive line is terrible, and Brady has been missing targets all season long.
The defense, however, has some talent. Chandler Jones is a great pass rusher that also plays the run very well. Hightower should be used in a pass rushing role much more tonight. Revis on the back end and McCourty at safety, are in good position to make plays.
With two bad offenisve lines and defenses that can easily get at the quarterback, I don't think many points are going to be put up tonight.
The under should be the play.
I think New England's #2 ranked defense is a bit overrated and hasn't truly been tested yet especially against the pass and I don't see Chiefs being an aerial threat but Patriots certainly can be runned on. The Chiefs are very similar in style to the Dolphins. They can run the ball effectively and do just enough short passing to move the chains but not consistently enough. New England hasn't faced a good RB since week 1.. Matt Asiata? An Over-the-hill McFadden? They'll get to face a nice 1-2 combo in Jamaal Charles and Kniles Davis!
I also think the Cheifs can be runned on too. Pats have been conservative running the ball. they ran the ball effectively week 2 against the Vikings and they should have a much better effort than last week. Chiefs also given up scores to tight ends. They've given up a TD to Delanie Walker and Julius Thomas. Rob Gronkowski will be a red zone threat and I think he gets a TD tonight. the Cheifs pass defense can be exploited too. if Manning had his way with them, Brady can do it too..sort of. I know Brady will take his shots despite all the chemistry issues with recievers.
I see Pats being a little more aggressive than last week. It all comes down to protecting the QB and turnovers. I think the Chiefs are at a disadvantage there. It'll be a close game because its at Arrowhead.
the Monday night dog is 3-1 on a 3 win streak, but feel like it could end tonight. the trend reverses like it did on Thursday when the dog finally won, and on Monday night its the Favorites turn.
Still see a 24-21 score in favor of the Patriots. there'll be a lot of running and some 3 and outs to keep this low scoring
Pats -2.5 and Under!
I think New England's #2 ranked defense is a bit overrated and hasn't truly been tested yet especially against the pass and I don't see Chiefs being an aerial threat but Patriots certainly can be runned on. The Chiefs are very similar in style to the Dolphins. They can run the ball effectively and do just enough short passing to move the chains but not consistently enough. New England hasn't faced a good RB since week 1.. Matt Asiata? An Over-the-hill McFadden? They'll get to face a nice 1-2 combo in Jamaal Charles and Kniles Davis!
I also think the Cheifs can be runned on too. Pats have been conservative running the ball. they ran the ball effectively week 2 against the Vikings and they should have a much better effort than last week. Chiefs also given up scores to tight ends. They've given up a TD to Delanie Walker and Julius Thomas. Rob Gronkowski will be a red zone threat and I think he gets a TD tonight. the Cheifs pass defense can be exploited too. if Manning had his way with them, Brady can do it too..sort of. I know Brady will take his shots despite all the chemistry issues with recievers.
I see Pats being a little more aggressive than last week. It all comes down to protecting the QB and turnovers. I think the Chiefs are at a disadvantage there. It'll be a close game because its at Arrowhead.
the Monday night dog is 3-1 on a 3 win streak, but feel like it could end tonight. the trend reverses like it did on Thursday when the dog finally won, and on Monday night its the Favorites turn.
Still see a 24-21 score in favor of the Patriots. there'll be a lot of running and some 3 and outs to keep this low scoring
Pats -2.5 and Under!
If you feel KC wins then the pick is the under
UNDER IS THE PICK
Could not agree more with this post......Under is the play for large and medium play on Chiefs ML.If you feel KC wins then the pick is the under
UNDER IS THE PICK
Could not agree more with this post......Under is the play for large and medium play on Chiefs ML.I like all that, but I do hate going against "Satan's Bodyguard" at any time. But you know what? I think Belichick might have gone to the well one too many times and expected to create something out of nothing.
Primetime game, Monday night, in (arguably) the second rowdiest stadium in the league? You know what? I got some extra gravy from this weekend to sop up thanks to Romo last night, you're taking the points and buying the hook? I'm saying Chiefs S/U for +120
Good Luck All!
I like all that, but I do hate going against "Satan's Bodyguard" at any time. But you know what? I think Belichick might have gone to the well one too many times and expected to create something out of nothing.
Primetime game, Monday night, in (arguably) the second rowdiest stadium in the league? You know what? I got some extra gravy from this weekend to sop up thanks to Romo last night, you're taking the points and buying the hook? I'm saying Chiefs S/U for +120
Good Luck All!
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