New England at Seattle (02/01/2015)

my 2 cents I am no way a professional gambler, I like to bet and make money while I watch the games, last week I bet a 4 team parlay early in the week something I don't like to do but the lines were Seattle -7  & 46 1/2  and N.E -6 1/2  &  53 1/2 thinking the Seattle line would move up I put my parlay in early. I bet $115.00 4 team parlay, then I bought the lines down I took Seattle -4 bought down 3 1/2 points and over 44 bought down 2 1/2  then I took N.E -4 bought down 2 1/2 and 51 for the total bought down 2 1/2   doing this made me a winner, even thought I gave up big money since the parlay would have paid $1700.00 and change if I kept the original odds (AND IT WOULD HAVE LOST) as you all no. I ended up winning $676.00 plus my $115.00 back. I told you my story for one reason don't be happy with the lines Vegas sets or your off shore betting service, you figure out what's going to take place in the game to the best of your abilities and move the line to were you like them, now I no your payout will come down but a win is a win if you must just double your original action, like this game the super bowl hey I am 57 years old I started playing football at the age of 10 sandlot high school then some collage. went to the camps the whole nine yards so I go deep into the teams playing starting with were else in the trenches offence and defense. it shock me that Seattle could not get to A.Rodgers with just there 4 man rush G.Bay controlled the line of scrimmage for most of the game and I think N.E line is better then G.Bays and since we are not playing in Seattle with no  12th man is a big plus for Brady and the boys. Seattle I think must blitz to get to Brady which will open up the 5-10 yard under pass to Edelman.  N.E offensive line go's about 315 lb's  across the board advantage N.G  Before I go any further right now my line with my off shore book is N.Eng -1 1/2 and 47 1/2  I am taking that $676.00 and betting a 2 team parlay,  right now if I took Seattle +1 1/2 and over 47 1/2  for $676.00 the pay off is $1757.00 plus my $676.00 back now that's some sweet action, but I will be buying points. Look I like Seattle and I like the over but the game scares me one of the reasons I mentioned above but I expect this to be a close game no matter who wins so points I think will come in play, so my bet go's as follows Seattle +4 buying up 2 1/2 points and the over to 44 1/2 buying down 3  So now my $676.00 only pays out $873.50 plus my $676.00 back it's a big swing but ya no I started out with $115.00 to cash out $1549.50  that's fine with me the key here Don't be greedy. I made a lot of money betting R.Wilson from his days at N.C State to Wis and now the NFL he is the really deal. So I am backing him no matter what.  Best of luck to everyone break down the game and go with your brain not your heart, this super bowl is going to be one for the books.

Read the regular papers for the best analysis.  The New York times had an excellent piece last year.  Seattle was initially the favored team by +3 when the line was released last year on Sunday night; Monday morning it flipped.  The initial line before it moves is who Vegas thinks is the better team and this year Seattle was initially favored -1 on sunday night.  Deflate gate will be a factor in rattling NE's cage and it's worth reviewing the GB-SEA.  In martial arts, given two contenders of equal ability, the fighter in the best physical condition will win.  Watch the 4th qtr and OT against GB who was arguably the better team with best performance.  However, Seattle is in better physical shape when it comes to endurance.  Put simply, the Seahawks gassed them out!  This was the secret weapon of the Miami Heat in the Lebron James era: they would kick in the "turbo" 4th quarter and demolish their opoonents.  I would like to see Brady end his career on a high note however, bet against Seattle at your own peril.  ;-)

Correction to above:  Seattle was initially the favored team by -3 when the line was released last year on Sunday night;

I will go with NE because I just can't stand that guy Richard Sharman and punk behind Thomas III (cry baby) and little short sh*t QB and cocky as Marshawn Lynch (Piece of sh*t mode)...

It will all come down to tight end play and who has the better running game. Who can stop the run better and who will cover the tight end better.

  BRADY wins chapionships NE in a route

      Seahawks by 10 - 12 points...................

                    COMFORTABLY !!

I'm not accustom to throwing cheap shots or starting a "flame war" , Bro. However, as I recall, you "use to" have all those  RSI red  stars next to your name. What happened Bro- fell on hard  times?  My advice is others should start fading you, until you start producing again. Wouldn't want you giving others a "bum steer"! Anyway, Bro, I hold no grudges (and either should you) GL, but bet lightly-  I wouldn't want to see you getting burnt.

Watch out for Luke Willson. He'll be making some big plays..

WOW U take stupid to a whole new level. U r the type of guy.If  they caught Bill Belicheat on video raping a nun U and Bill would say it was consensual sex.

Hey- I didn't establish Covers capping standards- they did! If you're somewhat good they give you red stars- so so and you get no color, and if you're sucky ,you get black stars. It's their ball, game, and court-not mine.

"...Call it what you like - but the game boils down to defense, ball control, and a more consistent ground game."......hmm, can defense and ground game carry the OVR 48?  good luck Friend!!!

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -1

Yes ban Carlito

Very good point you bring up.  However, there are "two" teams combining to make up the total. I seriously doubt that Tom Brady will be stifled, and subsequently he will contribute to the scoring . For the Seahawks to win, they will have to severely limit Brady's onfield playing time. As is their playing style, that is accomplished by ball control (clock management) a ground game, and short manageable passes to move the chains. Couple their efforts on offense with one of the league's best secondary (both capable of supporting against the rush as well as limiting long strikes down field). Still , when Brady is  given ample time, he will do some damage. There is no "absolute" defense invented that can completely shut down the likes of a Brady,Manning, or Rogers.

NE 1st H PK

Denver had the best offense in all of football last Superbowl.

That went real well.

Seattle -7. big payout on the sold points.

lol...yea...like u wd really LAY 10pnts here...cut it out!!

ok...so I'll expect 2 read ur excuse come Monday mr. Chip$

Luke Wilson the ACTOR??

lmao... Ban Deez lil sissy boy..