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New Orleans at Seattle (01/08/2011)

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Prospect
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Posted: #126

 Line now down to 9.5 !!! Looking some action on the saints at -9.5.

 
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Posted: #127

whats up fellas? back from the dead

some plat with my usuall team teaz

SAINTS-0.5

UNDER-46 (SEA-NO)

B-MORE+7

GOODLUCK TO ALL... IM BACK FROM THE DEAD TO WIN THIS TEASE 

 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by rekamyenoM:

This will be the Saints' third game in 12 days.


Good Point. Also, their third road game out of their last four
 
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Posted: #129

Saints for me as well -11

Great job PITT smokin the Kentucky blue grass!!!

Last stop for the Saints before they play in cold weather.

 
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Posted: #130
Going with SEATTLE +10  Good Luck ALL
 
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Posted: #131
A list to consider:

Right is the EDGE:

Travel: Seahawks

Quarterback: Saints

Offense: ?

Home: Seattle

Coaching: ? (Carrol might know how to defend Bush)

Kicker: ?

Defense:?

Who wants the game more? This is difficult to explain since both teams want it, but I think Edge goes to Seattle because they are considered the Rodney Dangerfield of playoffs.

Speed?

Defensive line?

Momentum: Seattle

Vegas: Saints

Injuries: Edge to Seattle

Experience under pressure: Saints

Rest:?

Strength of schedule: Saints

Backup quarterback?

Special teams: Saints (Bush)

These are some points to consider...maybe you can fill in the blanks or add some categories that we could use for future games.

And maybe we could use this info' to help us beat the odds.

The Saints aren't the same as  last year. Anything is possible with Brees. How long will Hasselback last? Shockey will see more action because of another Saints' injury.

The weird factor: Seattle wins on goofy inexplicable plays like the blocked punt in Arkansas Bowl game that player decided not to run back for touchdown.
 
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Posted: #132
Quote Originally Posted by payitforward:

FRIGGINWAY you might want to look into some therapy, as you get "way" to excited about arguing and nobody is arguing back--and this is coming from no, not a doctor, a lawyer.  Nobody cares what you are writing because you are talking all kinds of nonsense.  However, we DO CARE about what VUE, DAWGS, etc. are writing becuase they do great work and it is much appreciated by many, many, people that don't post a lot.  Unless, you have a serious man-crush chill out bro.  I hope you win.  I hope everyone wins.  Sometimes we all


Haha I was just thinking the same thing? Never can understand the psychology of someone who feels the need to just post about how bad people are? Its so odd. Probably a result of an insecurity in my humble opinion.

I mean if you think someone is wrong. Pick the other way. We all have been 100% Certain on a game and were completely wrong. So since that is the case.. why belittle people on a pick?

And if you think someone is not a good capper.. why not just FADE them and thir picks and make money instead of wasting your time posting and saying they are stupid? haha. People are tards.
 
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Posted: #133

Quote Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:



Good Point. Also, their third road game out of their last four

And its not the same for the SEAHAWKS!

 
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Posted: #134

QUOTE Originally Posted by rekamyenoM:

This will be the Saints' third game in 12 days.

 

And its not the same for the SEAHAWKS!

 
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Posted: #135
Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?

When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.

Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?

Theories?
 
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Posted: #136
Quote Originally Posted by PHILLYPHILMS:

Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?

When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.

Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?

Theories?


maybe hasselbeck....


I got a 4-team tease going as well..... small play just for fun.... it's the playoffs.....

Saints +3
Jets +13
Jets/Colts Over 31.5
Packers +15.5

GL TO ALL!
 
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Posted: #137

Quote Originally Posted by PHILLYPHILMS:

Anyone curious as to how this line EVER dropped below the key spot of 10?

When vegas drops this to 9.5 there is A REASON.

Is it they are trying to drive money to the Saints side? Doubt that.. I assume there is plenty on that side.. so that can't be their logic.. so what is it? Why do they now give what looks like a gift at -9.5?

Theories?

REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY MAYBE? SOMETIME  THINK WHEN VEGAS KNOWS THERE IS NO CHANCE THEY SIMPLY GO THE OTHER WAY TO THROW PEOPLE OFF??? but who knows maybe it means Seattle is going to cover and Vegas is tryng to sucker in some more saints money ?

SAINTS -10

 
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Posted: #138

*Sorry for all the spelling errors and typos, using the computer at the beach...ha

  

 
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Posted: #139
NO @ SEA +10 O/U 45.5

New year, new method based on stats and probabilities.

Taking SEA and pts
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by bigdaddyhpd:

I had a hard time going against the Saints so I'm going with them early in this one...

Saints at the half -7

Aloha and good luck to all

 



agree except i got -6.5
 
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Posted: #141

Saint's at the Half  -7 

Saint's Game - 10 1/2 

Good Luck my Friends !!

"Stop chasing the money and start chasing the passion."
 
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Posted: #142
Thsi will be the the 3rd game in 13 days for the Seahawks
 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by bustn2night:

Saints for me as well -11

Great job PITT smokin the Kentucky blue grass!!!

Did they get high? 


Liking the Saints here, and the Over. (Neither team good runner.)

 
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Posted: #144
Saints will win this handily
Seahawks do not have an offense to compete with Saints
Hawks need to score way more than that Rams game to compete in this game.
Saints defense will show up and put a hurting on Asslefuk, he will throw a pick or two for a score.
Breese will throw precise and manage the Seahawks right out of this game.
35-10 Saints
 
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Posted: #145
Books want you to think Hawks have a chance cuz they know they lost this one with a Superbowl team from last year who lost the division with a good record playing a team that won a sappy division and backed into the playoffs with a collegeball coach.
This is the NFL which stands for Not For Long if your name is Pete Carroll
 
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Posted: #146
NO @ SEA +10 O/U 45.5

No longer listening to the noise.(weather, injuries, QBs)

Assumption is now the line is efficient and will try apply quant type analysis to sports betting.

New year with new method based on past line history. Just trying to see if the public is tilted.

This season:
Away teams faved by more than 9 occurred only 3 times
Home team covered 2, Away tm covered 1

Last season 09-10:
Away tms faved by more than 9 occurred 27 times
Hm tm covered 17, Awy tm covered 10

Overall that's 63% Hm tm covers when more than 9 pt dog counting this yr and last.

Taking SEA +10

Secret is how much to wager without reaching gamblers ruin.
For that you need the volatility, and I'm keeping it to myself.


 
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Posted: #147
Very off topic, but what is "ROT" on the covers scoreboard?
Thanks.
 
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Posted: #148

The line with my local is -12 and 46. While I don't think Seattle will win you never know in the world of the NFL. I do think it will be a 34-20 type game

OVER 46

 

 
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Posted: #149
Saints  Brees passing sets up enough for the running game, Seahawks O comes apart trying to catch up.
 
 
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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by NotW8:

The line with my local is -12 and 46. While I don't think Seattle will win you never know in the world of the NFL. I do think it will be a 34-20 type game

OVER 46

 

12?  sounds  like a great SEA indicator...
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